Tigers vs Padres Game Breakdown

Get ready for a showdown that’s as balanced as a seesaw at Petco Park tonight! The Detroit Tigers, straddling the .500 line with a 69-69 record, are roaring into San Diego to claw at the Padres, who stand tall with a 79-61 record. With the first pitch at 09:40 PM EST, the stakes are high as Detroit tries to claw back from a 10-game deficit in the American League, while San Diego aims to tighten their 5.5-game gap in the National League. The betting world’s buzzing with an over/under of 7.5, hinting at a tight contest under the partly cloudy skies, a gentle breeze, and a hint of humidity. Fresh off a tactical 3-0 victory over the Tigers just yesterday, the Padres are looking to keep their momentum, but Detroit’s ready to rewrite the script. As these two teams prepare to battle it out, it’s clear tonight’s game might just turn into a real ‘Tigers’ den of strategy with the ‘Padres’ preaching patience!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 04, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NE at 3.8 mph. Temperature is at 70.0° with 90% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	DET ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+156	-190	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+172	-212	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+16	-22	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

140W-166L

36.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

167W-140L

63.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/02/24	Detroit Tigers DET	0	Under	-4.5
09/02/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-4.5
07/21/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+1.5
07/21/23	Detroit Tigers DET	4	Over	+1.5
07/22/23	San Diego Padres SD	14	Over	+9.5
07/22/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Over	+9.5
07/23/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-3.5
07/23/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-3.5

Tigers Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Keider Montero

ERA 5.167 | IP 69.7 | 4.0W-6.0L | KO 58.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-29-24	vsLAA	3-0L	5.0	5	3	5	Under
08-23-24	@CWS	5-2W	5.0	6	2	4	Under
08-17-24	vsNYY	0-4W	5.0	2	0	5	Under
08-11-24	@SF	5-4W	5.0	5	4	2	Over
08-06-24	@SEA	4-2W	6.0	4	1	8	Under
08-01-24	vsKC	7-1L	7.0	6	4	3	Push
07-26-24	vsMIN	9-3L	5.0	8	6	5	Over
07-21-24	@TOR	4-5L	5.3	8	5	3	Over
07-13-24	vsLAD	9-11W	5.0	7	5	4	Over
07-08-24	vsCLE	0-1W	6.3	3	0	4	Under

Yu Darvish

ERA 3.418 | IP 52.7 | 4.0W-3.0L | KO 50.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-29-24	vsMIA	9-1L	3.0	6	3	2	Over
05-24-24	vsNYY	8-0L	5.7	9	7	5	Push
05-19-24	@ATL	9-1W	7.0	2	0	9	Over
05-12-24	vsLAD	0-4W	7.0	2	0	7	Under
05-06-24	@CHC	6-3W	5.0	3	0	5	Over
04-30-24	vsCIN	4-6W	5.0	3	0	3	Over
04-14-24	@LAD	6-3W	5.0	4	3	2	Over
04-08-24	vsCHC	8-9W	3.0	4	4	4	Over
04-02-24	vsSTL	5-2L	7.0	5	3	6	Under
03-28-24	vsSF	4-6W	5.0	5	1	7	Over

Tigers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/04	vs SD	0-3L	6	0	Under
09/03	@ BOS	4-1W	3	2	Under
09/02	@ BOS	2-1W	8	0	Under
09/01	@ BOS	5-7L	7	1	Over
08/31	@ LAA	0-3L	8	0	Under
08/30	@ LAA	3-2W	5	1	Under
08/29	@ LAA	6-2W	6	3	Push
08/28	vs CWS	6-3W	13	2	Over
08/27	vs CWS	9-4W	14	1	Over
08/26	vs CWS	13-4W	14	3	Over
08/25	vs CWS	5-2W	10	0	Under
08/24	vs CHC	2-10L	5	1	Over
08/23	vs CHC	8-2W	10	3	Over
08/22	vs CHC	1-3L	9	0	Under
08/20	@ NYY	3-2W	8	0	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/04	@ DET	3-0W	8	0	Under
09/03	vs TB	4-3W	6	1	Under
09/02	vs TB	4-11L	10	1	Over
09/01	vs TB	13-5W	13	3	Over
08/31	vs STL	1-4L	3	1	Under
08/30	vs STL	3-4L	10	1	Under
08/29	vs STL	7-5W	10	1	Over
08/28	vs STL	7-4W	8	1	Over
08/27	@ NYM	3-2W	7	2	Under
08/26	@ NYM	1-7L	6	0	Push
08/25	@ NYM	7-0W	16	2	Under
08/24	@ NYM	3-8L	7	0	Over
08/23	@ MIN	4-11L	7	2	Over
08/22	@ MIN	7-5W	10	2	Over
08/21	@ MIN	5-3W	4	0	Push

Team’s Batting Order

Detroit Tigers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Parker Meadows	6.9	8.8	0.225	0.410	0.326	0.736	0.301	0.028
#2 Riley Greene	6.6	8.7	0.258	0.482	0.399	0.881	0.352	0.048
#3 Matt Vierling	6.7	8.7	0.263	0.440	0.333	0.773	0.318	0.034
#4 Kerry Carpenter	6.6	8.8	0.286	0.586	0.394	0.980	0.393	0.069
#5 Colt Keith	5.6	7.2	0.257	0.385	0.333	0.718	0.296	0.027
#6 Spencer Torkelson	6.1	8.0	0.220	0.384	0.310	0.694	0.287	0.030
#7 Jace Jung	5.3	6.9	0.192	0.231	0.327	0.558	0.234	0.000
#8 Trey Sweeney	4.8	6.1	0.190	0.310	0.214	0.524	0.223	0.024
#9 Dillon Dingler	4.6	6.1	0.138	0.276	0.172	0.448	0.189	0.017

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Fernando Tatis Jr.	9.9	12.8	0.273	0.464	0.385	0.849	0.344	0.046
#2 Luis Arraez	7.9	9.8	0.310	0.385	0.363	0.748	0.310	0.007
#3 Jurickson Profar	7.7	10.2	0.278	0.461	0.448	0.909	0.361	0.044
#4 Manny Machado	8.6	11.2	0.273	0.458	0.347	0.805	0.330	0.044
#5 Jake Cronenworth	7.8	10.4	0.246	0.404	0.364	0.768	0.314	0.033
#6 Xander Bogaerts	7.4	9.3	0.257	0.361	0.322	0.683	0.283	0.021
#7 Jackson Merrill	7.6	9.8	0.294	0.498	0.347	0.845	0.346	0.045
#8 Kyle Higashioka	5.2	7.0	0.236	0.533	0.302	0.834	0.342	0.080
#9 Mason McCoy	5.1	6.7	0.278	0.333	0.417	0.750	0.304	0.000

Tigers Notable Injuries

Wenceel Perez OUT (OF): Avg: 0.246 SLG:0.392 Last game: 08/11/24. Impact: 2.2
Javier Baez OUT (SS): Avg: 0.184 SLG:0.294 Last game: 08/24/24. Impact: 2.5
Alex Faedo OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/22/24. Impact: 1.3