Tigers vs Padres Game Breakdown

Get ready to roar and charge as the Detroit Tigers, clawing at a near-even season, invade the sunny climes of Petco Park to face the high-flying San Diego Padres tonight at 08:40 PM EST! With the Tigers trying to scratch their way closer in the American League and the Padres swinging to tighten their grip in the National League, this matchup promises all the thrills. The Padres, fresh off a narrow victory over the Tigers just yesterday, look to keep their momentum, while Detroit aims to flip the script under the clear skies and gentle breezes of a perfect baseball evening. Betting enthusiasts are eyeing an over/under of 8.5, hinting at a game teetering on the edge of high tension and high scores. So, as the Tigers try to cage the Padres’ recent surge, let’s see if Detroit can turn the tide or if San Diego continues to pad their lead!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 05, 2024 08:40PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 75.0° with 79% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	DET ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+133	-159	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+135	-161	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+2	-2	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

140W-167L

42.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

168W-140L

57.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/02/24	Detroit Tigers DET	0	Under	-5.5
09/02/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-5.5
09/04/24	Detroit Tigers DET	5	Over	+2.5
09/04/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+2.5
07/21/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+0.5
07/21/23	Detroit Tigers DET	4	Over	+0.5
07/22/23	San Diego Padres SD	14	Over	+8.5
07/22/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Over	+8.5
07/23/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-4.5
07/23/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-4.5

Tigers Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Casey Mize

ERA 4.358 | IP 84.7 | 2.0W-6.0L | KO 62.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-30-24	vsBOS	7-5L	6.0	6	4	4	Over
06-30-24	@LAA	7-6W	5.3	3	0	2	Over
06-24-24	vsPHI	8-1L	4.3	9	4	10	Over
06-18-24	@ATL	1-2L	4.0	5	2	3	Under
06-13-24	vsWAS	2-7W	6.0	4	1	4	Over
06-08-24	vsMIL	5-4L	5.3	8	5	1	Over
06-02-24	@BOS	8-4W	4.0	5	3	4	Over
05-26-24	vsTOR	11-14W	4.3	8	3	0	Over
05-21-24	@KC	3-10L	1.7	9	6	2	Over
05-15-24	vsMIA	2-0L	6.0	2	2	6	Under

Martin Perez

ERA 4.631 | IP 114.7 | 4.0W-5.0L | KO 91.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-30-24	@TB	13-5W	5.0	7	4	4	Over
08-25-24	vsNYM	2-3W	3.7	4	1	1	Under
08-20-24	vsMIN	5-7W	4.7	7	3	2	Over
08-14-24	vsPIT	2-8W	5.3	5	1	8	Over
08-09-24	@MIA	6-2W	7.0	3	2	6	Under
08-03-24	vsCOL	2-3W	6.0	3	1	7	Under
07-24-24	@STL	0-5W	6.0	4	0	2	Under
07-19-24	@PHI	7-8W	3.7	7	6	4	Over
07-10-24	@MIL	0-9W	4.7	9	5	5	Over
07-04-24	@STL	3-2L	7.3	6	1	2	Under

Tigers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/06	vs SD	5-6L	7	2	Over
09/04	vs SD	0-3L	6	0	Under
09/03	@ BOS	4-1W	3	2	Under
09/02	@ BOS	2-1W	8	0	Under
09/01	@ BOS	5-7L	7	1	Over
08/31	@ LAA	0-3L	8	0	Under
08/30	@ LAA	3-2W	5	1	Under
08/29	@ LAA	6-2W	6	3	Under
08/28	vs CWS	6-3W	13	2	Over
08/27	vs CWS	9-4W	14	1	Over
08/26	vs CWS	13-4W	14	3	Over
08/25	vs CWS	5-2W	10	0	Under
08/24	vs CHC	2-10L	5	1	Over
08/23	vs CHC	8-2W	10	3	Over
08/22	vs CHC	1-3L	9	0	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/06	@ DET	6-5W	10	1	Over
09/04	@ DET	3-0W	8	0	Under
09/03	vs TB	4-3W	6	1	Under
09/02	vs TB	4-11L	10	1	Over
09/01	vs TB	13-5W	13	3	Over
08/31	vs STL	1-4L	3	1	Under
08/30	vs STL	3-4L	10	1	Under
08/29	vs STL	7-5W	10	1	Over
08/28	vs STL	7-4W	8	1	Over
08/27	@ NYM	3-2W	7	2	Under
08/26	@ NYM	1-7L	6	0	Under
08/25	@ NYM	7-0W	16	2	Under
08/24	@ NYM	3-8L	7	0	Over
08/23	@ MIN	4-11L	7	2	Over
08/22	@ MIN	7-5W	10	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Detroit Tigers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Matt Vierling	8.6	11.2	0.264	0.447	0.333	0.780	0.321	0.036
#2 Andy Ibanez	7.2	9.5	0.251	0.388	0.322	0.710	0.294	0.027
#3 Riley Greene	7.5	9.9	0.256	0.479	0.400	0.879	0.351	0.047
#4 Spencer Torkelson	8.1	10.7	0.218	0.380	0.314	0.694	0.287	0.030
#5 Dillon Dingler	6.5	8.6	0.131	0.262	0.164	0.426	0.180	0.016
#6 Justyn-Henry Malloy	7.3	9.5	0.210	0.387	0.337	0.724	0.296	0.044
#7 Jake Rogers	6.2	8.3	0.192	0.369	0.262	0.631	0.264	0.038
#8 Jace Jung	5.7	7.4	0.208	0.245	0.358	0.604	0.251	0.000
#9 Ryan Kreidler	5.0	6.4	0.145	0.200	0.236	0.436	0.188	0.018

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.7	9.5	0.311	0.385	0.365	0.750	0.310	0.007
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	10.2	13.2	0.274	0.465	0.384	0.848	0.344	0.045
#3 Jurickson Profar	7.4	9.9	0.276	0.458	0.450	0.908	0.360	0.044
#4 Manny Machado	8.2	10.7	0.272	0.455	0.346	0.801	0.329	0.044
#5 Jake Cronenworth	7.0	9.3	0.247	0.404	0.364	0.769	0.314	0.032
#6 Xander Bogaerts	7.6	9.6	0.256	0.359	0.329	0.688	0.285	0.021
#7 Jackson Merrill	7.5	9.7	0.297	0.507	0.349	0.857	0.351	0.046
#8 Kyle Higashioka	5.7	7.6	0.236	0.533	0.302	0.834	0.342	0.080
#9 Mason McCoy	5.4	7.1	0.250	0.300	0.375	0.675	0.278	0.000

Tigers Notable Injuries

Wenceel Perez OUT (OF): Avg: 0.246 SLG:0.392 Last game: 08/11/24. Impact: 2.2
Javier Baez OUT (SS): Avg: 0.184 SLG:0.294 Last game: 08/24/24. Impact: 2.5
Alex Faedo OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/22/24. Impact: 1.3