Astros vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some Major League excitement as the Houston Astros rocket into Fenway Park, ready to clash bats with the Boston Red Sox in a showdown that’s as hot as the summer sun! With both teams sitting pretty with over 60 wins, it’s a tight race in the American League, and today’s game at 1:35 PM EST could tip the scales. The stakes are sky-high with the betting lines buzzing—Astros at -135 and Red Sox at +113, and an over/under that’s ballooning at 10.0. Fresh off a nail-biter where the Astros edged the Red Sox 5-4, and with clear skies and a gentle breeze setting the stage, today’s game promises to be another epic chapter in their rivalry. So, will the Astros continue their orbital trajectory, or will the Red Sox swing into a comeback? It’s time to find out if Houston can keep their space or if Boston will start their tea party early!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 11, 2024 01:35PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Sunny with winds from the WSW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 80.2° with 38% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-135	+113	10.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-144	+121	10.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-9	+8	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

172W-128L

59.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

153W-141L

41.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/09/24	Houston Astros HOU	8	Over	+2.0
08/09/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+2.0
08/10/24	Houston Astros HOU	5	Under	-1.0
08/10/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Under	-1.0
08/21/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+3.0
08/21/23	Houston Astros HOU	9	Over	+3.0
08/22/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Push	-0.0
08/22/23	Houston Astros HOU	7	Push	-0.0
08/23/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+2.0
08/23/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Over	+2.0
08/24/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	17	Over	+8.0
08/24/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Over	+8.0
08/28/23	Houston Astros HOU	13	Over	+8.0
08/28/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+8.0
08/29/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Under	-2.0
08/29/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-2.0
08/30/23	Houston Astros HOU	7	Over	+1.0
08/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+1.0

Astros Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Hunter Brown

ERA 3.984 | IP 122.0 | 9.0W-7.0L | KO 130.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-05-24	@TEX	3-4L	6.0	3	1	4	Under
07-30-24	vsPIT	6-2L	5.7	9	5	8	Under
07-24-24	@OAK	8-1W	6.0	8	1	8	Under
07-19-24	@SEA	3-0W	6.0	4	0	5	Under
07-12-24	vsTEX	3-6W	6.0	5	2	5	Under
07-06-24	@MIN	3-9L	6.0	12	7	6	Over
07-01-24	@TOR	3-1W	6.0	2	0	5	Under
06-25-24	vsCOL	2-5W	6.0	2	0	7	Under
06-19-24	@CWS	4-1W	6.0	7	1	6	Under
06-14-24	vsDET	0-4W	7.0	5	0	9	Under

James Paxton

ERA 4.425 | IP 99.7 | 9.0W-3.0L | KO 73.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-05-24	@KC	9-5W	6.0	5	2	4	Over
07-30-24	vsSEA	10-6L	4.3	6	6	5	Over
07-21-24	@BOS	6-9L	5.0	4	3	7	Over
07-12-24	@DET	4-3L	3.7	5	3	1	Under
07-06-24	@MIL	3-5W	5.0	4	2	3	Under
06-30-24	@SF	4-10W	4.0	12	9	4	Over
06-24-24	@CWS	3-0L	5.0	3	0	6	Under
06-17-24	@COL	9-5L	7.0	2	1	8	Over
06-11-24	@TEX	2-15W	6.0	2	1	2	Over
06-05-24	@PIT	6-10W	1.7	6	7	2	Over

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/12	vs BOS	5-4W	10	4	Under
08/11	vs BOS	8-4W	16	2	Over
08/09	vs TEX	6-4W	13	2	Under
08/08	vs TEX	4-2W	11	1	Under
08/07	vs TEX	3-4L	4	1	Under
08/06	@ TB	0-1L	3	0	Under
08/05	@ TB	1-6L	5	1	Under
08/04	@ TB	3-2W	9	0	Under
08/02	@ PIT	4-4L	4	1	Under
08/01	@ PIT	2-6L	10	1	Under
07/31	@ PIT	3-5L	9	0	Under
07/30	@ LAD	2-6L	4	1	Under
07/29	@ LAD	7-6W	12	1	Over
07/28	@ LAD	5-0W	11	2	Under
07/26	vs OAK	8-1W	11	1	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/12	@ HOU	4-5L	6	2	Under
08/11	@ HOU	4-8L	6	0	Over
08/09	vs KC	4-8L	6	2	Over
08/08	vs KC	6-5W	7	1	Over
08/07	vs KC	9-5W	18	1	Over
08/06	vs TEX	7-2W	10	4	Under
08/05	vs TEX	4-7L	11	2	Over
08/04	vs TEX	11-6W	16	3	Over
08/02	@ SEA	3-2W	10	0	Under
08/01	@ SEA	6-10L	11	1	Over
07/31	@ SEA	14-7W	16	3	Over
07/30	@ NYY	2-8L	7	2	Under
07/29	@ NYY	8-11L	13	3	Over
07/28	@ NYY	9-7W	14	1	Over
07/26	vs COL	7-20L	11	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	11.8	15.0	0.299	0.443	0.382	0.824	0.337	0.033
#2 Alex Bregman	9.6	12.5	0.258	0.427	0.346	0.773	0.317	0.036
#3 Yordan Alvarez	11.4	14.9	0.307	0.557	0.455	1.012	0.400	0.058
#4 Yainer Diaz	9.1	11.7	0.303	0.450	0.353	0.803	0.331	0.027
#5 Jeremy Pena	8.6	11.1	0.267	0.378	0.339	0.717	0.297	0.021
#6 Zach Dezenzo	7.5	9.5	0.312	0.562	0.375	0.938	0.382	0.062
#7 Jake Meyers	7.1	9.3	0.224	0.378	0.314	0.692	0.286	0.030
#8 Mauricio Dubon	7.0	9.1	0.261	0.377	0.301	0.678	0.283	0.014
#9 Pedro Leon	6.7	8.0	0.111	0.111	0.222	0.333	0.149	0.000

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	10.3	13.3	0.288	0.501	0.381	0.882	0.357	0.029
#2 Enmanuel Valdez	7.3	9.8	0.224	0.400	0.315	0.715	0.295	0.036
#3 Wilyer Abreu	8.5	11.2	0.268	0.500	0.375	0.875	0.354	0.044
#4 Masataka Yoshida	7.6	10.0	0.287	0.426	0.401	0.827	0.336	0.030
#5 Connor Wong	8.7	11.2	0.294	0.434	0.386	0.820	0.335	0.032
#6 Dominic Smith	6.4	8.6	0.226	0.376	0.342	0.718	0.296	0.021
#7 Nick Sogard	6.4	8.5	0.280	0.320	0.440	0.760	0.306	0.000
#8 Ceddanne Rafaela	7.0	9.1	0.260	0.417	0.310	0.728	0.302	0.033
#9 David Hamilton	5.9	7.6	0.248	0.397	0.326	0.723	0.298	0.025

Astros Notable Injuries

No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.

Red Sox Notable Injuries

Brayan Bello OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/08/24. Impact: 5.7
Cooper Criswell OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/07/24. Impact: 3.3
Tyler O’Neill OUT (OF): Avg: 0.269 SLG:0.548 Last game: 08/04/24. Impact: 4.5