Astros vs Cubs Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 25th 2024

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the underdog Houston Astros, with a record that’s been more miss than hit this season, gear up to challenge the high-flying Chicago Cubs at the iconic Wrigley Field today at 2:20 PM EST. With the Astros trying to claw back from a 6-game deficit in the American League and the Cubs swinging to maintain their razor-thin lead in the National League, the stakes are as high as the Chicago skyline. The betting world’s buzzing too, setting the stage with an over/under of 8.0, where the Astros are slight favorites despite their recent slip-up against these very Cubs. Speaking of weather, it’s partly cloudy with a breeze just brisk enough to remind you it’s still Chicago. As these two teams prepare to square off again, remember: in the world of baseball, it’s not just the winds that can change the game, but also whether the Cubs can bear down or the Astros can launch a comeback!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 25, 2024 02:20PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SE at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 45.0° with 71% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-126	+106	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-128	+107	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-2	+1	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

146W-108L

56.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

126W-122L

43.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/23/24	Houston Astros HOU	2	Over	+1.0
04/23/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+1.0
04/24/24	Houston Astros HOU	3	Under	-1.0
04/24/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-1.0
05/15/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+2.0
05/15/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Over	+2.0
05/16/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Over	+2.0
05/16/23	Houston Astros HOU	7	Over	+2.0
05/17/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+5.0
05/17/23	Houston Astros HOU	7	Over	+5.0

Astros Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-19-24	@WAS	5-3W	6.0	4	2	4	Over
09-30-23	@ARI	1-0W	5.0	2	0	5	Under
09-25-23	@SEA	5-1W	8.0	3	1	8	Under
09-18-23	vsBAL	8-7L	6.0	8	3	5	Over
09-12-23	vsOAK	6-2L	7.0	8	5	7	Over
09-06-23	@TEX	12-3W	7.0	4	2	6	Over
09-01-23	vsNYY	6-2L	6.0	8	6	3	Over
08-27-23	@DET	17-4W	5.0	2	0	7	Over
08-22-23	vsBOS	3-7W	6.0	5	0	9	Over
08-16-23	@MIA	12-5W	5.0	9	5	2	Over

Javier Assad

ERA 2.109 | IP 21.3 | 2.0W-0.0L | KO 21.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	vsMIA	3-2L	4.7	3	1	3	Under
04-14-24	@SEA	3-2W	5.7	4	2	6	Under
04-08-24	@SD	8-9L	5.0	3	2	7	Over
04-02-24	vsCOL	2-12W	6.0	4	0	5	Over
09-30-23	@MIL	10-6W	1.7	2	0	4	Over
09-28-23	@ATL	3-5L	2.0	1	1	3	Over
09-26-23	@ATL	6-7L	1.0	1	2	2	Over
09-23-23	vsCOL	3-6W	4.0	2	0	6	Over
09-19-23	vsPIT	1-14W	5.0	5	1	8	Over
09-12-23	@COL	4-6L	3.3	5	4	4	Over

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/26	vs CHC	3-4L	10	1	Under
04/25	vs CHC	2-7L	6	1	Over
04/23	vs WAS	0-6L	4	0	Under
04/22	vs WAS	4-5L	9	0	Over
04/21	vs WAS	5-3W	13	0	Over
04/19	@ ATL	4-5L	9	2	Over
04/18	@ ATL	2-6L	7	1	Over
04/17	@ ATL	1-6L	7	0	Under
04/16	@ TEX	8-5W	10	2	Over
04/15	@ TEX	9-2W	14	0	Over
04/14	@ TEX	8-12L	11	2	Over
04/13	vs KC	3-13L	11	1	Over
04/12	vs KC	2-11L	9	0	Over
04/11	vs KC	3-3L	14	0	Under
04/10	vs TEX	10-5W	11	2	Over

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/26	@ HOU	4-3W	8	1	Under
04/25	@ HOU	7-2W	6	3	Over
04/23	@ MIA	3-6L	8	0	Over
04/22	@ MIA	2-3L	7	0	Under
04/22	@ MIA	5-3W	7	2	Over
04/21	@ MIA	8-3W	10	0	Over
04/19	vs ARI	5-3W	9	1	Over
04/18	vs ARI	11-11L	14	1	Over
04/17	vs ARI	3-2W	9	1	Under
04/16	vs SEA	3-2W	8	1	Under
04/15	vs SEA	4-1W	6	3	Under
04/14	vs SEA	2-4L	4	1	Under
04/12	vs SD	2-10L	3	1	Over
04/11	vs SD	5-1W	9	2	Under
04/10	vs SD	8-9L	8	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	10.1	12.7	0.35	0.602	45.6%	105.8%	5.8%
#2 Alex Bregman	8.6	11.0	0.202	0.262	32.1%	58.3%	0.0%
#3 Yordan Alvarez	9.8	12.8	0.273	0.455	39.4%	84.8%	5.1%
#4 Luis Garcia	8.5	8.5	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#4 Kyle Tucker	9.9	13.1	0.281	0.51	45.8%	96.9%	5.2%
#5 Yainer Diaz	7.6	9.6	0.286	0.429	35.2%	78.0%	3.3%
#6 Jeremy Pena	7.3	9.0	0.337	0.449	37.8%	82.7%	2.0%
#7 Chas McCormick	7.2	9.3	0.246	0.292	38.5%	67.7%	0.0%
#8 Jose Abreu	6.2	7.8	0.081	0.097	16.1%	25.8%	0.0%
#9 Mauricio Dubon	5.4	7.0	0.294	0.412	33.3%	74.5%	2.0%

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner	7.9	10.4	0.271	0.365	42.4%	78.8%	0.0%
#2 Mike Tauchman	6.8	9.2	0.286	0.482	48.2%	96.4%	3.6%
#3 Ian Happ	7.1	9.7	0.232	0.354	40.2%	75.6%	1.2%
#4 Michael Busch	7.0	9.3	0.28	0.56	40.0%	96.0%	8.0%
#5 Christopher Morel	7.3	9.8	0.205	0.352	33.0%	68.2%	3.4%
#6 Dansby Swanson	6.9	9.1	0.235	0.4	35.3%	75.3%	3.5%
#7 Matt Mervis	6.9	6.9	0.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#8 Miguel Amaya	5.4	7.1	0.273	0.432	38.6%	81.8%	2.3%