Astros vs Guardians Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB action as the Houston Astros, boasting a solid 87 wins, jet off to Progressive Field to clash with the 92-win Cleveland Guardians today at a brisk 06:10PM EST showdown. Both teams are neck and neck in the American League, not giving an inch as they eye the top spot. With the betting lines buzzing and the over/under teasing at 8.0, it’s anyone’s game after yesterday’s face-off where the Astros rocketed past the Guardians 5-2. Despite the looming heavy rain and gusty winds in the forecast, the heat is on with a steamy 72 degrees and humidity sticking at 87%. As these two titans prepare to battle it out again, fans are eager to see if the Astros can continue their launch sequence or if the Guardians will shield their turf and rewrite the stars.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 28, 2024 06:10PM EST

Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland

Weather: Heavy rain with winds from the ESE at 9.2 mph. Temperature is at 72.0° with 87% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	CLE ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-103	-117	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+101	-121	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+204	-4	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

184W-137L

49.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

176W-140L

50.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/30/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	9	Over	+11.0
04/30/24	Houston Astros HOU	10	Over	+11.0
05/01/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-3.0
05/01/24	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-3.0
05/02/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Over	+2.0
05/02/24	Houston Astros HOU	8	Over	+2.0
09/27/24	Houston Astros HOU	5	Under	-1.0
09/27/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-1.0
06/09/23	Houston Astros HOU	9	Over	+11.0
06/09/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	10	Over	+11.0
06/10/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Over	+2.0
06/10/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Over	+2.0
06/11/23	Houston Astros HOU	0	Under	-3.0
06/11/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-3.0
07/31/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Over	+2.0
07/31/23	Houston Astros HOU	7	Over	+2.0
08/01/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-6.0
08/01/23	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-6.0
08/02/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-3.0
08/02/23	Houston Astros HOU	3	Under	-3.0

Astros Vs Over/Under

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-20-24	vsLAA	7-9W	4.7	8	6	4	Over
09-14-24	@LAA	5-3W	5.0	4	2	2	Under
09-08-24	vsARI	12-6L	3.0	8	8	0	Over
09-02-24	@CIN	3-5L	4.7	8	5	3	Under
08-27-24	@PHI	0-5L	5.0	7	4	3	Under
08-21-24	vsBOS	4-1L	5.0	4	2	6	Under
06-09-24	@LAA	7-9L	5.0	7	4	3	Over
06-03-24	vsSTL	4-7W	5.0	7	4	4	Over
05-29-24	@SEA	1-2L	7.0	3	1	9	Under
05-24-24	@OAK	6-3W	6.0	8	2	9	Over

Ben Lively

ERA 3.812 | IP 141.7 | 13.0W-8.0L | KO 107.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-20-24	@STL	5-1W	5.0	3	1	2	Under
09-15-24	vsTB	0-2W	5.0	4	0	2	Under
09-10-24	@CWS	5-0W	2.0	1	0	2	Under
09-04-24	@KC	1-4L	4.0	7	4	3	Under
08-30-24	vsPIT	8-10W	4.3	9	6	3	Over
08-24-24	vsTEX	5-13W	6.7	5	3	4	Over
08-18-24	@MIL	0-2L	6.0	5	2	5	Under
08-12-24	vsCHC	8-9W	3.7	5	3	1	Over
08-07-24	vsARI	7-3L	5.0	4	4	2	Over
08-01-24	vsBAL	3-10W	6.0	4	2	4	Over

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	vs CLE	5-2W	13	2	Under
09/27	@ SEA	1-8L	4	0	Over
09/26	@ SEA	4-3W	6	3	Under
09/25	@ SEA	1-6L	4	1	Under
09/24	@ LAA	8-9L	12	2	Over
09/24	@ LAA	8-9L	12	2	Over
09/23	@ LAA	10-4W	20	3	Over
09/22	@ LAA	9-7W	14	3	Over
09/21	@ LAA	3-1W	6	0	Under
09/20	vs SD	0-4L	2	0	Under
09/19	vs SD	3-3L	9	0	Under
09/18	vs SD	1-3L	6	0	Under
09/17	vs LAA	5-4W	8	1	Over
09/16	vs LAA	5-3W	10	2	Under
09/15	vs LAA	5-3W	14	2	Under

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	@ HOU	2-5L	3	0	Under
09/27	@ CIN	5-2W	8	2	Under
09/26	@ CIN	6-1W	10	2	Under
09/24	vs STL	1-1L	2	0	Under
09/24	vs STL	1-1L	2	0	Under
09/23	vs STL	5-6L	10	2	Over
09/22	vs STL	5-1W	8	3	Under
09/21	@ MIN	3-2W	11	1	Under
09/20	@ MIN	5-4W	7	2	Over
09/19	@ MIN	1-4L	8	1	Under
09/18	@ MIN	4-3W	10	1	Under
09/17	@ TB	2-0W	7	0	Under
09/16	@ TB	6-1W	8	2	Under
09/15	@ TB	1-3L	4	0	Under
09/14	@ TB	2-5L	5	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	9.1	11.6	0.295	0.444	0.382	0.826	0.337	0.033
#2 Kyle Tucker	9.8	13.1	0.284	0.582	0.498	1.080	0.414	0.084
#3 Alex Bregman	8.1	10.6	0.263	0.461	0.348	0.809	0.331	0.046
#4 Yainer Diaz	7.5	9.6	0.304	0.447	0.348	0.795	0.328	0.027
#4 Luis Garcia	8.5	8.5	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#5 Jon Singleton	6.8	8.9	0.241	0.395	0.367	0.762	0.309	0.037
#6 Victor Caratini	7.1	9.2	0.268	0.407	0.370	0.776	0.317	0.033
#7 Jeremy Pena	6.4	8.2	0.266	0.397	0.333	0.730	0.303	0.025
#8 Jason Heyward	5.1	6.8	0.205	0.409	0.323	0.732	0.300	0.045
#9 Mauricio Dubon	5.4	6.9	0.266	0.354	0.314	0.668	0.279	0.010

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Steven Kwan	8.3	10.7	0.293	0.427	0.415	0.842	0.339	0.029
#2 Kyle Manzardo	8.2	10.6	0.239	0.430	0.310	0.739	0.306	0.035
#3 Jose Ramirez	9.2	12.1	0.275	0.528	0.363	0.891	0.362	0.062
#4 Josh Naylor	7.6	10.2	0.239	0.451	0.355	0.806	0.328	0.056
#5 Lane Thomas	7.6	9.9	0.237	0.402	0.346	0.748	0.306	0.032
#6 Andres Gimenez	6.7	8.5	0.246	0.334	0.317	0.652	0.272	0.016
#7 Will Brennan	5.4	6.8	0.256	0.375	0.320	0.695	0.288	0.024
#8 Bo Naylor	5.5	7.2	0.205	0.357	0.294	0.651	0.270	0.037
#9 Brayan Rocchio	5.3	7.0	0.212	0.325	0.352	0.677	0.279	0.021

Astros Notable Injuries

Ben Gamel OUT (OF): Avg: 0.247 SLG:0.333 Last game: 09/16/24. Impact: 1.7
Chas McCormick OUT (OF): Avg: 0.211 SLG:0.306 Last game: 09/12/24. Impact: 2.2
Tayler Scott OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/18/24. Impact: 0.8