Astros vs Rockies Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 28th 2024

Strap in, sports fans, because the MLB showdown of the underdogs is about to unfold at Estadio Alfredo Harp Helú! Yes, you heard that right, the Houston Astros, who’ve been scraping the barrel with an 8-19 record, are set to clash with the slightly rockier Colorado Rockies, standing at 7-20. As the clock ticks down to the first pitch at 04:05 PM EST, both teams are looking to claw their way up from the depths of their respective conferences. With the betting lines tipping heavily in favor of the Astros and an over/under that’s sky-high at 16.5, expect bats to swing and balls to fly, especially with today’s light rain and a chilly breeze adding a slick twist to the game. Fresh off a decisive victory over the Rockies just yesterday, the Astros might just have the upper hand. But hey, in a game where the stakes are as unpredictable as today’s weather, who knows if the Astros will rocket to victory or if the Rockies will roll over them in a stunning upset?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 28, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: Estadio Alfredo Harp HelÃº, Colorado

Weather: Light rain with winds from the W at 3.8 mph. Temperature is at 37.4° with 93% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	COL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-206	+168	16.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-218	+178	16.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-12	+10	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

147W-109L

68.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

129W-125L

31.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/27/24	Houston Astros HOU	12	Under	-0.5
04/27/24	Colorado Rockies COL	4	Under	-0.5
07/04/23	Colorado Rockies COL	1	Under	-11.5
07/04/23	Houston Astros HOU	4	Under	-11.5
07/05/23	Colorado Rockies COL	4	Under	-6.5
07/05/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Under	-6.5
07/18/23	Houston Astros HOU	3	Under	-9.5
07/18/23	Colorado Rockies COL	4	Under	-9.5
07/19/23	Houston Astros HOU	4	Under	-11.5
07/19/23	Colorado Rockies COL	1	Under	-11.5

Astros Vs Over/Under

Rockies Vs Over/Under

Framber Valdez

ERA 2.189 | IP 12.3 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 10.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-02-24	vsTOR	2-1L	7.7	6	0	5	Under
03-28-24	vsNYY	5-4L	4.7	5	3	5	Under
09-27-23	@SEA	8-3W	4.0	5	3	7	Under
09-22-23	vsKC	7-5L	5.3	4	7	10	Under
09-17-23	@KC	7-1W	7.0	5	1	5	Under
09-11-23	vsOAK	4-0L	7.0	4	3	10	Under
09-05-23	@TEX	14-1W	7.0	6	1	4	Under
08-30-23	@BOS	7-4W	6.0	5	4	5	Under
08-25-23	@DET	1-4L	7.0	0	0	6	Under
08-19-23	vsSEA	10-3L	5.0	10	6	5	Under

Austin Gomber

ERA 4.32 | IP 25.0 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 20.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-22-24	vsSD	3-1L	5.0	4	1	2	Under
04-16-24	@PHI	0-5L	5.3	6	3	4	Under
04-10-24	vsARI	5-3L	6.0	6	2	4	Under
04-05-24	vsTB	7-10W	4.0	4	2	7	Over
03-30-24	@ARI	9-4W	4.7	6	4	3	Under
08-28-23	vsATL	14-4L	2.7	4	2	1	Over
08-23-23	@TB	5-6L	6.0	7	3	4	Under
08-16-23	vsARI	9-7L	5.3	7	6	1	Push
08-11-23	@LAD	1-6L	5.0	8	2	2	Under
08-06-23	@STL	1-0W	6.0	6	0	2	Under

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/29	vs COL	12-4W	15	3	Push
04/27	vs CHC	1-3L	4	0	Under
04/26	vs CHC	3-4L	10	1	Under
04/25	vs CHC	2-7L	6	1	Under
04/23	vs WAS	0-6L	4	0	Under
04/22	vs WAS	4-5L	9	0	Under
04/21	vs WAS	5-3W	13	0	Under
04/19	@ ATL	4-5L	9	2	Under
04/18	@ ATL	2-6L	7	1	Under
04/17	@ ATL	1-6L	7	0	Under
04/16	@ TEX	8-5W	10	2	Under
04/15	@ TEX	9-2W	14	0	Under
04/14	@ TEX	8-12L	11	2	Over
04/13	vs KC	3-13L	11	1	Push
04/12	vs KC	2-11L	9	0	Under

Rockies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/29	@ HOU	4-12L	8	1	Push
04/27	@ SD	10-9W	14	2	Over
04/26	@ SD	2-5L	5	2	Under
04/25	@ SD	7-4W	13	1	Under
04/24	@ SD	1-3L	4	0	Under
04/23	@ SEA	2-10L	6	0	Under
04/23	@ SEA	2-1W	10	0	Under
04/22	@ SEA	0-7L	3	0	Under
04/19	vs PHI	6-7L	11	0	Under
04/18	vs PHI	0-5L	7	0	Under
04/17	vs PHI	1-2L	5	1	Under
04/16	vs TOR	0-5L	2	0	Under
04/15	vs TOR	3-5L	7	1	Under
04/14	vs TOR	12-4W	20	2	Push
04/12	@ ARI	3-5L	6	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	14.1	17.8	0.336	0.573	45.5%	102.7%	5.5%
#2 Alex Bregman	13.5	17.0	0.204	0.258	31.2%	57.0%	0.0%
#3 Yordan Alvarez	13.5	17.8	0.283	0.509	40.6%	91.5%	6.6%
#4 Kyle Tucker	12.6	16.7	0.291	0.534	47.6%	101.0%	5.8%
#5 Yainer Diaz	12.3	15.6	0.293	0.444	36.4%	80.8%	3.0%
#6 Jeremy Pena	11.7	14.5	0.321	0.425	36.8%	79.2%	1.9%
#7 Chas McCormick	10.6	13.7	0.236	0.278	37.5%	65.3%	0.0%
#8 Jose Abreu	10.1	12.7	0.104	0.119	17.9%	29.9%	0.0%
#9 Jake Meyers	8.4	11.2	0.217	0.457	30.4%	76.1%	6.5%

Colorado Rockies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ezequiel Tovar	10.1	12.9	0.295	0.438	38.1%	81.9%	2.9%
#2 Brenton Doyle	8.9	11.3	0.316	0.505	38.9%	89.5%	3.2%
#3 Ryan McMahon	8.9	11.6	0.31	0.48	46.0%	94.0%	4.0%
#4 Elias Diaz	8.3	10.8	0.294	0.412	37.6%	78.8%	2.4%
#5 Elehuris Montero	8.2	10.3	0.231	0.295	32.1%	61.5%	1.3%
#6 Brendan Rodgers	7.8	10.1	0.235	0.358	30.9%	66.7%	1.2%
#7 Nolan Jones	8.8	11.6	0.163	0.261	26.1%	52.2%	1.1%
#8 Hunter Goodman	6.2	8.9	0.111	0.444	22.2%	66.7%	11.1%
#9 Sean Bouchard	7.9	10.0	0.278	0.389	55.6%	94.4%	0.0%