Astros vs Royals Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 9th 2024

Alright, strap in sports junkies, because we’ve got a barn-burner of a game coming your way! The Houston Astros, who’ve been more like ‘Astro-nots’ with their 4-7 record, are packing their bags and rocketing over to the heartland to duke it out with the 6-4 Kansas City Royals at the majestic Kauffman Stadium. The first pitch is set to sizzle across the plate at 7:40 PM EST, and boy, are these two teams hungry for a win! The ‘Stros are trailing by 2.5 games in the American League conference, while the Royals are hot on their heels, just 2.0 games back. The betting lines are buzzing, with the over/under pegged at 8.5, the Astros at -124, and the Royals at 104. Both teams are riding the wave of recent victories, with the Royals having royally whipped the White Sox 5-3, and the Astros having blasted the Rangers 10-5. The weather is looking as fine as a ballpark frank, sunny with a gentle northern breeze at 2.2 mph, and a comfortable 46.9°. So, whether you’re a betting man, a fantasy league fanatic, or just a baseball lover, this is a game you won’t want to miss. And remember, in this game of Royals versus Astros, it’s all about who can ‘rule the diamond’ and ‘shoot for the stars’!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 09, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 46.9° with 71% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	KC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-124	+104	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-132	+110	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-8	+6	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

145W-101L

56.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

110W-133L

43.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/15/23	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-2.5
09/15/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-2.5
09/16/23	Houston Astros HOU	8	Over	+9.5
09/16/23	Kansas City Royals KC	10	Over	+9.5
09/17/23	Houston Astros HOU	7	Under	-0.5
09/17/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-0.5
09/22/23	Kansas City Royals KC	7	Over	+3.5
09/22/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Over	+3.5
09/23/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Under	-3.5
09/23/23	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-3.5
09/24/23	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Over	+2.5
09/24/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Over	+2.5

Astros Vs Over/Under

Royals Vs Over/Under

Cristian Javier

ERA 4.5 | IP 162.0 | 10.0W-5.0L | KO 159.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-02-24	vsTOR	2-1L	7.7	6	0	5	Under
03-28-24	vsNYY	5-4L	4.7	5	3	5	Over
09-27-23	@SEA	8-3W	4.0	5	3	7	Over
09-22-23	vsKC	7-5L	5.3	4	7	10	Over
09-17-23	@KC	7-1W	7.0	5	1	5	Under
09-11-23	vsOAK	4-0L	7.0	4	3	10	Under
09-05-23	@TEX	14-1W	7.0	6	1	4	Over
08-30-23	@BOS	7-4W	6.0	5	4	5	Over
08-25-23	@DET	1-4L	7.0	0	0	6	Under
08-19-23	vsSEA	10-3L	5.0	10	6	5	Over
04-03-24	vsTOR	0-8W	5.0	1	0	3	Under
03-29-24	vsNYY	7-1L	6.0	4	0	6	Under
10-01-23	@ARI	8-1W	6.0	3	0	4	Over
09-26-23	@SEA	2-6L	4.7	3	4	6	Under
09-20-23	vsBAL	1-2W	5.0	3	1	11	Under
09-15-23	@KC	2-4L	5.0	5	3	6	Under
09-09-23	vsSD	5-7W	4.0	4	4	5	Over
09-03-23	vsNYY	6-1L	6.0	4	3	8	Under
08-28-23	@BOS	13-5W	4.0	6	4	4	Over
08-21-23	vsBOS	4-9W	5.0	7	3	3	Over

Will Smith

ERA 4.395 | IP 57.3 | 2.0W-7.0L | KO 55.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-03-24	@BAL	3-4L	6.3	1	0	7	Under
03-28-24	vsMIN	4-1L	6.0	5	2	9	Under
09-28-23	@DET	3-7L	6.3	5	4	8	Over
09-22-23	@HOU	7-5W	6.0	3	2	5	Over
09-16-23	vsHOU	8-10W	6.0	6	5	7	Over
09-10-23	@TOR	2-5L	5.7	1	2	6	Under
09-04-23	vsCWS	1-12W	6.0	1	0	7	Over
08-29-23	vsPIT	6-3L	7.0	3	0	9	Over
08-23-23	@OAK	4-0W	6.0	2	0	11	Under
08-18-23	@CHC	4-3W	6.0	8	3	9	Under
04-07-24	vsCWS	3-5W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
04-05-24	vsCWS	1-2W	0.3	1	0	1	Under
04-03-24	@BAL	3-4L	0.7	2	2	1	Under
04-02-24	@BAL	4-1W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
03-30-24	vsMIN	5-1L	1.0	2	4	0	Under
09-29-23	@SEA	0-8W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-26-23	@LAA	3-9W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-20-23	@BOS	5-15W	1.0	3	1	1	Over
09-18-23	@BOS	4-2L	0.3	2	3	1	Under
09-16-23	@CLE	1-2W	0.7	1	2	0	Under

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/10	vs TEX	10-5W	11	2	Over
04/09	vs TEX	3-1W	4	1	Under
04/08	vs TEX	2-7L	8	0	Over
04/07	vs TEX	2-10L	3	1	Over
04/05	@ TOR	8-0W	15	4	Under
04/04	@ TOR	1-2L	8	1	Under
04/03	@ TOR	10-0W	12	5	Over
04/02	@ NYY	3-4L	12	1	Under
04/01	@ NYY	3-5L	4	0	Under
03/31	@ NYY	1-7L	7	0	Under
03/30	@ NYY	4-5L	13	1	Over
10/03	vs ARI	9-1W	9	2	Over
10/02	vs ARI	1-0W	6	0	Under
10/01	vs ARI	2-1W	8	0	Under
09/29	vs SEA	8-3W	14	3	Over

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/09	@ CWS	5-3W	6	2	Under
04/08	@ CWS	3-0W	10	1	Under
04/07	@ CWS	2-1W	7	0	Under
04/06	@ CWS	10-1W	10	2	Over
04/05	vs BAL	3-4L	10	1	Under
04/04	vs BAL	4-1W	8	0	Under
04/03	vs BAL	4-6L	7	2	Over
04/02	@ MIN	11-0W	14	5	Over
04/01	@ MIN	1-5L	5	0	Under
03/30	@ MIN	1-4L	5	1	Under
10/03	@ NYY	5-2W	11	3	Under
10/02	@ NYY	2-5L	11	1	Under
10/01	@ NYY	12-5W	15	2	Over
09/30	vs DET	3-7L	6	1	Over
09/30	vs DET	0-8L	4	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	10.5	13.7	0.311	0.522	44.7%	96.9%	4.7%
#2 Yordan Alvarez	10.7	14.5	0.29	0.578	49.0%	106.8%	7.6%
#3 Kyle Tucker	10.3	13.6	0.285	0.52	42.9%	94.9%	5.1%
#4 Alex Bregman	9.0	12.0	0.264	0.443	42.6%	86.9%	4.0%
#5 Yainer Diaz	8.4	11.0	0.284	0.543	33.0%	87.2%	6.5%
#6 Chas McCormick	7.9	10.4	0.272	0.489	39.7%	88.5%	5.5%
#7 Jose Abreu	7.6	9.7	0.237	0.384	32.6%	71.1%	3.4%
#8 Jeremy Pena	7.5	9.6	0.268	0.387	35.9%	74.6%	1.7%
#9 Jake Meyers	6.7	8.8	0.232	0.395	33.3%	72.9%	3.3%

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Maikel Garcia	6.7	8.5	0.272	0.359	35.9%	71.7%	0.9%
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	8.7	11.2	0.276	0.494	34.3%	83.7%	4.7%
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	7.7	10.1	0.247	0.437	36.4%	80.1%	3.9%
#4 Salvador Perez	6.6	8.6	0.254	0.422	31.2%	73.5%	4.3%
#4 Will Smith	6.6	11.7	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#5 MJ Melendez	7.0	9.2	0.236	0.4	35.7%	75.7%	3.0%
#6 Nelson Velazquez	7.1	9.7	0.228	0.58	32.7%	90.7%	10.5%
#7 Adam Frazier	6.0	7.9	0.24	0.396	32.8%	72.3%	3.2%
#8 Hunter Renfroe	5.5	7.3	0.233	0.416	32.7%	74.3%	4.0%
#9 Kyle Isbel	5.7	7.5	0.236	0.368	29.9%	66.7%	1.4%