Astros vs Royals Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 10th 2024
Astros
4W-8L
April 10, 2024
07:40PM EST
Odds: 9.0 o/u
Royals
7W-4L
Hold on to your hats, sports fans! We’ve got a barnburner on our hands tonight as the scrappy Houston Astros, dragging their 4-8 record behind them, are saddling up to gallop into the Royals’ court at the iconic Kauffman Stadium. The Royals, sitting pretty with a 7-4 record, are ready to defend their kingdom and extend their lead in the American League conference. The first pitch is expected to sizzle across the plate at 7:40 PM EST, under a sky as clear as a bell with a gentle breeze from the NNW to keep things cool. The bookies are having a field day with this one, setting the over/under at a tantalizing 9.0 and favoring the Astros at -120, while the Royals sit at an even 100. With the Royals fresh off a win and the Astros smarting from a loss, both against each other just a couple of days ago, the tension is palpable. Tonight’s game is sure to be a royal rumble under the stars, and let’s just say, the Astros better be ready to ‘rocket’ or they might find themselves ‘royally’ flushed out of the competition.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 10, 2024 07:40PM EST
Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
Weather: Sunny with winds from the NNW at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 59.0° with 51% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| HOU ML | KC ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -120 | +100 | 9.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Recent | -121 | +101 | 9.5 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Difference | -1 | +1 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance
54.8% Win Probability
45.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/24 | Houston Astros HOU | 3 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 4 | ||||
| 09/15/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 2 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 4 | ||||
| 09/16/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 8 | Over | +9.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 10 | ||||
| 09/17/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 7 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 1 | ||||
| 09/22/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 7 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 5 | ||||
| 09/23/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 3 | Under | -4.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 2 | ||||
| 09/24/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 6 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 5 |
Astros Vs Over/Under
Royals Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09-24 | @KC | 3-4L | 5.3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | Under |
| 04-03-24 | vsTOR | 0-8W | 5.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | Under |
| 03-29-24 | vsNYY | 7-1L | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | Under |
| 10-01-23 | @ARI | 8-1W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | Under |
| 09-26-23 | @SEA | 2-6L | 4.7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | Under |
| 09-20-23 | vsBAL | 1-2W | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | Under |
| 09-15-23 | @KC | 2-4L | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | Under |
| 09-09-23 | vsSD | 5-7W | 4.0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | Over |
| 09-03-23 | vsNYY | 6-1L | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | Under |
| 08-28-23 | @BOS | 13-5W | 4.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | Over |
| 09-10-23 | @LAD | 7-3L | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Over |
| 05-01-23 | vsSF | 3-7W | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Over |
| 04-25-23 | @TB | 5-0W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | Under |
| 04-19-23 | vsTOR | 1-8W | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | Under |
| 04-14-23 | vsTEX | 6-2L | 5.0 | 6 | 5 | 7 | Under |
| 04-08-23 | @MIN | 6-9L | 4.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | Over |
| 04-02-23 | vsCWS | 6-3L | 5.0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | Under |
| 10-02-22 | vsTB | 6-3L | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 09-27-22 | vsARI | 6-3L | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 09-19-22 | vsTB | 6-3L | 5.0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09-24 | vsHOU | 3-4W | 5.0 | 10 | 3 | 5 | Under |
| 04-03-24 | @BAL | 3-4L | 6.3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | Under |
| 03-28-24 | vsMIN | 4-1L | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 9 | Under |
| 09-28-23 | @DET | 3-7L | 6.3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | Over |
| 09-22-23 | @HOU | 7-5W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | Over |
| 09-16-23 | vsHOU | 8-10W | 6.0 | 6 | 5 | 7 | Over |
| 09-10-23 | @TOR | 2-5L | 5.7 | 1 | 2 | 6 | Under |
| 09-04-23 | vsCWS | 1-12W | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | Over |
| 08-29-23 | vsPIT | 6-3L | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | Under |
| 08-23-23 | @OAK | 4-0W | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | Under |
| 04-04-24 | vsCWS | 1-10W | 6.7 | 8 | 1 | 3 | Over |
| 03-30-24 | vsMIN | 5-1L | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | Under |
| 09-26-23 | @SF | 4-0L | 8.7 | 3 | 0 | 7 | Under |
| 09-20-23 | @COL | 2-3W | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 7 | Under |
| 09-15-23 | @OAK | 8-3L | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Over |
| 09-09-23 | @HOU | 5-7W | 4.3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | Over |
| 09-03-23 | @SF | 0-4W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | Under |
| 08-29-23 | @STL | 5-6W | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 6 | Over |
| 08-23-23 | @MIA | 0-4W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | Under |
| 08-18-23 | @ARI | 0-4W | 6.0 | 5 | 0 | 9 | Under |
| 04-07-24 | vsCWS | 3-5W | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 04-05-24 | vsCWS | 1-2W | 0.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 04-03-24 | @BAL | 3-4L | 0.7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | Under |
| 04-02-24 | @BAL | 4-1W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 03-30-24 | vsMIN | 5-1L | 1.0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 09-29-23 | @SEA | 0-8W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 09-26-23 | @LAA | 3-9W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Over |
| 09-20-23 | @BOS | 5-15W | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | Over |
| 09-18-23 | @BOS | 4-2L | 0.3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | Under |
| 09-16-23 | @CLE | 1-2W | 0.7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | Under |
Astros Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | vs KC | 3-3L | 14 | 0 | Under |
| 04/10 | vs TEX | 10-5W | 11 | 2 | Over |
| 04/09 | vs TEX | 3-1W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 04/08 | vs TEX | 2-7L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/07 | vs TEX | 2-10L | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 04/05 | @ TOR | 8-0W | 15 | 4 | Under |
| 04/04 | @ TOR | 1-2L | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/03 | @ TOR | 10-0W | 12 | 5 | Over |
| 04/02 | @ NYY | 3-4L | 12 | 1 | Under |
| 04/01 | @ NYY | 3-5L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 03/31 | @ NYY | 1-7L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 03/30 | @ NYY | 4-5L | 13 | 1 | Under |
| 10/03 | vs ARI | 9-1W | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 10/02 | vs ARI | 1-0W | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 10/01 | vs ARI | 2-1W | 8 | 0 | Under |
Royals Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | @ HOU | 3-3L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 04/09 | @ CWS | 5-3W | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 04/08 | @ CWS | 3-0W | 10 | 1 | Under |
| 04/07 | @ CWS | 2-1W | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 04/06 | @ CWS | 10-1W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 04/05 | vs BAL | 3-4L | 10 | 1 | Under |
| 04/04 | vs BAL | 4-1W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/03 | vs BAL | 4-6L | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 04/02 | @ MIN | 11-0W | 14 | 5 | Over |
| 04/01 | @ MIN | 1-5L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 03/30 | @ MIN | 1-4L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 10/03 | @ NYY | 5-2W | 11 | 3 | Under |
| 10/02 | @ NYY | 2-5L | 11 | 1 | Under |
| 10/01 | @ NYY | 12-5W | 15 | 2 | Over |
| 09/30 | vs DET | 0-8L | 4 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Houston Astros | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Jose Altuve
|
9.2 | 12.0 | 0.311 | 0.522 | 44.7% | 96.9% | 4.7% |
| 9.7 | 13.2 | 0.29 | 0.578 | 49.0% | 106.8% | 7.6% | |
|
#3
Kyle Tucker
|
8.7 | 11.6 | 0.285 | 0.52 | 42.9% | 94.9% | 5.1% |
|
#4
Alex Bregman
|
7.5 | 10.0 | 0.264 | 0.443 | 42.6% | 86.9% | 4.0% |
|
#5
Yainer Diaz
|
6.7 | 8.8 | 0.284 | 0.543 | 33.0% | 87.2% | 6.5% |
| 7.1 | 9.4 | 0.272 | 0.489 | 39.7% | 88.5% | 5.5% | |
|
#7
Jose Abreu
|
6.9 | 8.7 | 0.237 | 0.384 | 32.6% | 71.1% | 3.4% |
|
#8
Luis Garcia
|
4.1 | 6.4 | nan | nan | nan% | nan% | nan% |
|
#8
Jeremy Pena
|
6.1 | 7.8 | 0.268 | 0.387 | 35.9% | 74.6% | 1.7% |
| 5.6 | 7.2 | 0.281 | 0.415 | 32.8% | 74.3% | 2.2% | |
|
#9
Jake Meyers
|
5.8 | 7.6 | 0.232 | 0.395 | 33.3% | 72.9% | 3.3% |
| Kansas City Royals | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.1 | 9.0 | 0.272 | 0.359 | 35.9% | 71.7% | 0.9% | |
| 8.7 | 11.2 | 0.276 | 0.494 | 34.3% | 83.7% | 4.7% | |
| 8.0 | 10.4 | 0.247 | 0.437 | 36.4% | 80.1% | 3.9% | |
|
#4
Will Smith
|
6.5 | 11.6 | nan | nan | nan% | nan% | nan% |
| 6.5 | 8.5 | 0.254 | 0.422 | 31.2% | 73.5% | 4.3% | |
|
#5
MJ Melendez
|
7.7 | 10.1 | 0.236 | 0.4 | 35.7% | 75.7% | 3.0% |
| 7.0 | 9.5 | 0.228 | 0.58 | 32.7% | 90.7% | 10.5% | |
|
#7
Adam Frazier
|
5.7 | 7.5 | 0.24 | 0.396 | 32.8% | 72.3% | 3.2% |
| 5.9 | 7.8 | 0.233 | 0.416 | 32.7% | 74.3% | 4.0% | |
|
#9
Kyle Isbel
|
6.0 | 7.8 | 0.236 | 0.368 | 29.9% | 66.7% | 1.4% |
Astros Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Royals Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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