Astros vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready to dial in to Citi Field tonight as the Houston Astros, sitting squarely at .500, rocket into New York to clash with the equally balanced Mets. It’s a dead heat with both teams looking to tip the scales in a 07:10 PM showdown. With the Astros trying to close a 4.5-game gap in the AL and the Mets looking to climb out of a 12-game NL hole, stakes are high and the betting lines are buzzing. The Astros, fresh off a stellar 7-1 victory against the Rockies, and the Mets, who just demolished the Yankees 12-2, are bringing their A-games under clear skies and perfect baseball weather. With an over/under that’s teasing a close contest, tonight’s game promises to be as tightly wound as a pitcher’s curveball. So, let’s see if the Mets can “mete” out some home field justice or if the Astros will continue to “orbit” towards a winning streak!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 28, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 75.9° with 27% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-115	-105	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-109	-111	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+6	-6	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

159W-120L

52.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

160W-120L

47.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/19/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+3.5
06/19/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Over	+3.5
06/20/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
06/20/23	Houston Astros HOU	4	Under	-2.5
06/21/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+9.5
06/21/23	Houston Astros HOU	10	Over	+9.5

Astros Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-22-24	vsBAL	1-5W	7.0	4	1	4	Under
06-16-24	vsDET	1-4W	7.0	0	0	8	Under
06-11-24	@SF	3-1W	6.0	3	1	8	Under
06-05-24	vsSTL	4-2L	5.7	5	4	2	Under
05-31-24	vsMIN	6-1L	4.7	3	4	6	Under
05-26-24	@OAK	5-2W	7.0	4	1	6	Under
05-14-24	vsOAK	1-2W	3.0	4	0	4	Under
05-09-24	@NYY	4-3W	5.7	4	2	5	Under
05-03-24	vsSEA	3-5W	6.0	5	3	6	Push
04-27-24	@COL	12-4W	5.7	5	2	8	Over

Jose Quintana

ERA 4.576 | IP 78.7 | 3.0W-5.0L | KO 58.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-21-24	@CHC	11-1W	6.3	4	1	8	Over
06-15-24	vsSD	1-5W	6.0	2	1	6	Under
06-09-24	@PHI	6-5W	3.7	6	3	1	Over
06-02-24	vsARI	5-4L	4.0	4	3	4	Over
05-28-24	vsLAD	3-0L	6.0	8	3	3	Under
05-22-24	@CLE	3-6L	6.0	4	3	4	Over
05-16-24	@PHI	6-5W	5.3	4	2	4	Over
05-10-24	vsATL	4-2L	5.0	6	4	3	Under
05-03-24	@TB	8-10L	2.7	10	8	2	Over
04-28-24	vsSTL	2-4W	8.0	3	1	3	Under

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/28	@ COL	7-1W	11	0	Push
06/27	@ COL	5-2W	9	0	Under
06/25	@ BAL	8-1W	15	1	Over
06/24	@ BAL	5-1W	6	3	Under
06/23	@ BAL	14-11W	14	1	Over
06/22	vs CWS	5-3W	11	1	Push
06/21	vs CWS	4-1W	12	0	Under
06/20	vs CWS	0-2L	7	0	Under
06/18	@ DET	4-1W	5	1	Under
06/17	@ DET	5-13L	10	1	Over
06/16	@ DET	4-0W	6	1	Under
06/14	vs SF	3-5L	9	1	Push
06/13	vs SF	3-1W	7	0	Under
06/12	vs SF	3-4L	9	0	Under
06/11	vs LAA	7-9L	14	1	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/28	@ NYY	12-2W	12	3	Over
06/27	@ NYY	9-7W	12	4	Over
06/25	vs CHC	5-2W	9	3	Under
06/24	vs CHC	1-8L	7	1	Over
06/23	vs CHC	11-1W	14	3	Over
06/21	vs TEX	3-5L	5	1	Push
06/20	vs TEX	7-6W	10	2	Over
06/19	vs TEX	14-2W	22	2	Over
06/18	@ SD	11-6W	14	3	Over
06/17	@ SD	5-1W	10	2	Under
06/16	@ SD	2-1W	4	0	Under
06/15	@ MIA	3-2W	3	1	Under
06/14	@ MIA	10-4W	14	3	Over
06/13	@ MIA	2-4L	4	0	Under
06/11	vs PHI	5-5L	7	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	10.2	13.0	0.303	0.462	0.376	0.838	0.343	0.037
#2 Alex Bregman	9.0	11.7	0.253	0.407	0.347	0.753	0.309	0.030
#3 Yordan Alvarez	9.6	12.6	0.288	0.515	0.407	0.922	0.370	0.054
#4 Yainer Diaz	7.7	10.0	0.271	0.415	0.318	0.733	0.304	0.027
#5 Luis Garcia	8.0	8.0	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#5 Jeremy Pena	7.7	9.7	0.280	0.380	0.340	0.720	0.299	0.017
#6 Jake Meyers	6.6	8.6	0.256	0.425	0.348	0.773	0.317	0.034
#7 Mauricio Dubon	6.5	8.4	0.295	0.415	0.337	0.751	0.312	0.016
#8 Chas McCormick	6.8	8.9	0.219	0.344	0.305	0.648	0.269	0.023
#9 Joey Loperfido	6.3	8.0	0.309	0.418	0.400	0.818	0.334	0.018

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	8.6	11.3	0.246	0.442	0.347	0.789	0.323	0.041
#2 Brandon Nimmo	7.8	10.5	0.242	0.433	0.426	0.859	0.342	0.043
#3 J.D. Martinez	7.9	10.4	0.282	0.497	0.390	0.887	0.359	0.046
#4 Pete Alonso	7.9	10.6	0.241	0.465	0.371	0.836	0.338	0.054
#5 Francisco Alvarez	7.3	9.6	0.312	0.521	0.427	0.948	0.380	0.042
#6 Tyrone Taylor	6.6	8.6	0.233	0.363	0.301	0.664	0.277	0.021
#7 Mark Vientos	6.6	8.7	0.298	0.570	0.397	0.967	0.389	0.074
#8 Jeff McNeil	5.4	7.0	0.213	0.293	0.301	0.594	0.249	0.012
#9 Harrison Bader	5.3	6.9	0.271	0.417	0.344	0.761	0.314	0.028

Astros Notable Injuries

Justin Verlander OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/11/24. Impact: 7.1
Kyle Tucker OUT (OF): Avg: 0.266 SLG:0.584 Last game: 06/05/24. Impact: 2.9
Victor Caratini OUT (C): Avg: 0.248 SLG:0.429 Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 1.7
Jake Bloss OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 1.2

Mets Notable Injuries

Starling Marte OUT (OF): Avg: 0.278 SLG:0.416 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.2
Edwin Diaz OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.0
Sean Reid-Foley OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 0.9
Drew Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.0