Astros vs Mets Game Breakdown

Strap yourselves in, sports fans! Today’s MLB showdown at Citi Field is nothing short of a cosmic collision, as the perfectly balanced 41-41 Houston Astros rocket into New York to face the equally matched 40-40 Mets. With the first pitch at 01:40 PM EST, the stakes are as high as the afternoon sun, and the betting lines are buzzing with anticipation. The Astros, just 4.5 games shy of the American League lead, are fresh off a thrilling 9-6 victory over these very Mets, who are looking to flip the script and close their 12-game gap in the National League. The forecast? Partly cloudy with a breeze just brisk enough to keep the excitement in the air—perfect baseball weather. So, as the players take their positions and the fans settle in, get ready for an interstellar battle where Mets might just prove that even Astros can fall from the sky.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 30, 2024 01:40PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the W at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 82.0° with 74% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+136	-162	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+108	-130	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-28	+32	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

160W-121L

48.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

161W-121L

51.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/28/24	Houston Astros HOU	2	Over	+0.5
06/28/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+0.5
06/29/24	Houston Astros HOU	9	Over	+6.5
06/29/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+6.5
06/19/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+3.5
06/19/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Over	+3.5
06/20/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
06/20/23	Houston Astros HOU	4	Under	-2.5
06/21/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+9.5
06/21/23	Houston Astros HOU	10	Over	+9.5

Astros Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-26-24	vsCOL	1-7W	1.0	1	1	2	Under
06-21-24	vsBAL	11-14W	2.3	3	1	3	Over
06-15-24	vsDET	13-5L	1.0	6	3	0	Over
06-12-24	@SF	3-5L	2.0	1	0	5	Under
06-05-24	vsSTL	4-2L	2.3	0	0	2	Under
05-16-24	vsOAK	1-8W	3.0	2	1	2	Push
05-11-24	@DET	2-8L	1.0	1	0	1	Over
05-08-24	@NYY	4-9L	1.0	2	3	0	Over
05-05-24	vsSEA	5-4L	1.0	1	0	1	Push
05-01-24	vsCLE	3-2L	1.0	1	1	1	Under

Luis Severino

ERA 3.587 | IP 90.3 | 5.0W-2.0L | KO 71.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-23-24	@CHC	5-2W	6.0	3	0	10	Under
06-18-24	@TEX	7-6W	6.3	8	6	1	Over
06-13-24	vsMIA	2-3W	6.0	7	1	2	Under
06-05-24	@WAS	9-1W	8.0	7	1	4	Over
05-31-24	vsARI	9-10W	5.3	6	5	4	Over
05-25-24	vsSF	7-2L	7.0	2	1	6	Push
05-18-24	@MIA	9-10L	6.7	6	5	3	Over
05-12-24	vsATL	3-4W	5.0	4	2	4	Under
05-05-24	@TB	6-7L	5.0	4	4	6	Over
04-29-24	vsCHC	3-1L	8.0	1	1	5	Under

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/01	vs NYM	9-6W	10	1	Over
06/30	vs NYM	2-7L	12	1	Push
06/28	@ COL	7-1W	11	0	Under
06/27	@ COL	5-2W	9	0	Under
06/25	@ BAL	8-1W	15	1	Push
06/24	@ BAL	5-1W	6	3	Under
06/23	@ BAL	14-11W	14	1	Over
06/22	vs CWS	5-3W	11	1	Under
06/21	vs CWS	4-1W	12	0	Under
06/20	vs CWS	0-2L	7	0	Under
06/18	@ DET	4-1W	5	1	Under
06/17	@ DET	5-13L	10	1	Over
06/16	@ DET	4-0W	6	1	Under
06/14	vs SF	3-5L	9	1	Under
06/13	vs SF	3-1W	7	0	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/01	@ HOU	6-9L	11	1	Over
06/30	@ HOU	7-2W	9	3	Push
06/28	@ NYY	12-2W	12	3	Over
06/27	@ NYY	9-7W	12	4	Over
06/25	vs CHC	5-2W	9	3	Under
06/24	vs CHC	1-8L	7	1	Push
06/23	vs CHC	11-1W	14	3	Over
06/21	vs TEX	3-5L	5	1	Under
06/20	vs TEX	7-6W	10	2	Over
06/19	vs TEX	14-2W	22	2	Over
06/18	@ SD	11-6W	14	3	Over
06/17	@ SD	5-1W	10	2	Under
06/16	@ SD	2-1W	4	0	Under
06/15	@ MIA	3-2W	3	1	Under
06/14	@ MIA	10-4W	14	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	9.3	11.8	0.301	0.469	0.379	0.848	0.346	0.039
#2 Alex Bregman	8.4	10.9	0.248	0.397	0.339	0.735	0.302	0.029
#3 Yordan Alvarez	10.8	14.1	0.297	0.525	0.419	0.944	0.378	0.053
#4 Yainer Diaz	7.0	9.0	0.276	0.414	0.321	0.735	0.305	0.026
#5 Luis Garcia	9.3	9.3	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#5 Jake Meyers	6.7	8.7	0.262	0.444	0.364	0.808	0.330	0.037
#6 Jon Singleton	5.9	7.8	0.230	0.333	0.379	0.713	0.290	0.029
#7 Jeremy Pena	6.1	7.8	0.281	0.382	0.350	0.732	0.303	0.016
#8 Mauricio Dubon	5.4	6.9	0.296	0.414	0.335	0.749	0.311	0.015
#9 Trey Cabbage	5.4	7.1	0.273	0.409	0.318	0.727	0.302	0.023

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	9.4	12.3	0.252	0.445	0.353	0.798	0.327	0.040
#2 Brandon Nimmo	8.4	11.4	0.239	0.430	0.430	0.859	0.342	0.042
#3 J.D. Martinez	8.6	11.3	0.277	0.485	0.396	0.881	0.355	0.045
#4 Pete Alonso	8.8	11.8	0.244	0.472	0.375	0.847	0.342	0.055
#5 DJ Stewart	7.7	10.6	0.189	0.344	0.426	0.770	0.307	0.041
#6 Mark Vientos	6.9	9.1	0.297	0.578	0.391	0.969	0.390	0.078
#7 Ben Gamel	9.4	9.4	nan	nan	nan	nan	0.000	nan
#8 Luis Torrens	5.6	7.4	0.360	0.760	0.440	1.200	0.480	0.120
#9 Jeff McNeil	5.5	7.1	0.221	0.312	0.308	0.621	0.259	0.016

Astros Notable Injuries

Justin Verlander OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/11/24. Impact: 7.1
Kyle Tucker OUT (OF): Avg: 0.266 SLG:0.584 Last game: 06/05/24. Impact: 2.9
Victor Caratini OUT (C): Avg: 0.248 SLG:0.429 Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 1.7
Jake Bloss OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 1.2

Mets Notable Injuries

Starling Marte OUT (OF): Avg: 0.278 SLG:0.416 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.2
Edwin Diaz OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.0
Sean Reid-Foley OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 0.9
Drew Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.0