Astros vs Phillies Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the Houston Astros, with a solid 70-62 record, gear up to clash with the Philadelphia Phillies, who are sitting pretty at 77-54, at the electrifying Citizens Bank Park today at 4:05 PM EST. This face-off isn’t just about the win; it’s a top-tier conference showdown with both teams sitting neck and neck at zero games back in their respective leagues. Vegas is buzzing too, setting the stakes high with an over/under of 9.5, and the betting lines almost too close to call. Fresh off a chilly defeat, the Astros are burning to even the score against the Phillies, who just handed them a 5-0 shutout. With the weather playing nice—partly cloudy skies and a brisk wind—it’s the perfect backdrop for what promises to be an epic battle. So, as the Astros aim to launch it out of the park and the Phillies look to ring the Liberty Bell with another win, make sure you’re tuned in—it’s going to be an all-star showdown where we find out if Houston can rocket past Philly!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 28, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the WSW at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 81.0° with 72% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	PHI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-109	-111	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-113	-107	10.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-4	+4	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

178W-132L

53.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

184W-119L

46.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/26/24	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-4.5
08/26/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-4.5
08/27/24	Houston Astros HOU	0	Under	-4.5
08/27/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-4.5
04/28/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-5.5
04/28/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-5.5
04/29/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Under	-2.5
04/29/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-2.5
04/30/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-2.5
04/30/23	Houston Astros HOU	4	Under	-2.5

Astros Vs Over/Under

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Spencer Arrighetti

ERA 4.937 | IP 116.7 | 6.0W-11.0L | KO 140.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-22-24	@BAL	6-0W	6.0	3	0	6	Under
08-16-24	vsCWS	5-4L	5.7	7	4	5	Under
08-10-24	@BOS	5-4W	7.0	2	2	13	Under
08-04-24	vsTB	1-0L	6.0	5	1	12	Under
07-28-24	vsLAD	6-2L	6.0	4	3	8	Under
07-22-24	@OAK	0-4L	6.0	7	4	3	Under
07-13-24	vsTEX	2-1L	6.0	2	1	7	Under
07-07-24	@MIN	2-3L	5.0	7	2	6	Under
07-02-24	@TOR	6-7L	4.0	6	7	5	Over
06-26-24	vsCOL	1-7W	7.0	3	0	10	Under

Taijuan Walker

ERA 6.263 | IP 64.7 | 3.0W-5.0L | KO 53.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-23-24	@KC	4-7L	3.0	8	6	2	Over
08-18-24	vsWAS	6-4L	4.7	4	3	3	Push
08-13-24	vsMIA	5-0L	4.0	4	3	5	Under
06-21-24	vsARI	5-4L	4.0	5	4	3	Under
06-15-24	@BAL	2-6L	5.7	6	3	4	Under
06-09-24	vsNYM	6-5L	5.7	2	2	6	Over
06-02-24	vsSTL	5-4L	5.0	5	4	5	Under
05-27-24	@SF	4-8L	6.0	9	6	4	Over
05-22-24	vsTEX	4-11W	4.7	6	3	5	Over
05-16-24	vsNYM	6-5L	3.3	4	2	1	Over

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/29	vs PHI	0-5L	6	0	Under
08/28	vs PHI	2-3L	8	0	Under
08/27	vs BAL	6-3W	10	2	Under
08/26	vs BAL	2-3L	6	2	Under
08/25	vs BAL	5-7L	10	2	Over
08/24	vs BAL	6-0W	8	0	Under
08/23	@ BOS	1-4L	8	1	Under
08/22	@ BOS	5-6L	7	2	Over
08/21	@ BOS	5-4W	13	1	Under
08/20	@ CWS	2-0W	5	2	Under
08/19	@ CWS	6-1W	13	0	Under
08/18	@ CWS	4-5L	8	2	Under
08/16	vs TB	2-1W	2	1	Under
08/15	vs TB	3-2W	9	2	Under
08/14	vs TB	6-1W	10	2	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/29	@ HOU	5-0W	11	1	Under
08/28	@ HOU	3-2W	9	1	Under
08/27	vs KC	11-3W	16	1	Over
08/26	vs KC	11-2W	18	2	Over
08/25	vs KC	4-7L	11	0	Over
08/24	vs ATL	2-3L	3	0	Under
08/23	vs ATL	3-2W	5	0	Under
08/22	vs ATL	1-3L	5	0	Under
08/20	@ WAS	4-6L	10	3	Push
08/19	@ WAS	5-1W	10	0	Under
08/18	@ WAS	3-2W	10	0	Under
08/17	@ WAS	13-3W	17	3	Over
08/16	@ MIA	9-5W	13	1	Over
08/15	@ MIA	0-5L	4	0	Under
08/13	vs ARI	5-12L	8	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	11.7	14.9	0.298	0.443	0.380	0.823	0.336	0.035
#2 Alex Bregman	10.4	13.5	0.259	0.445	0.342	0.787	0.323	0.043
#3 Yordan Alvarez	12.4	16.2	0.308	0.545	0.459	1.004	0.396	0.055
#4 Yainer Diaz	9.7	12.4	0.300	0.460	0.345	0.804	0.332	0.034
#5 Jon Singleton	8.5	11.1	0.237	0.370	0.363	0.733	0.299	0.037
#6 Jeremy Pena	8.2	10.5	0.270	0.404	0.337	0.742	0.307	0.028
#7 Victor Caratini	7.6	9.9	0.273	0.424	0.376	0.800	0.326	0.036
#8 Jake Meyers	6.9	9.0	0.225	0.371	0.321	0.692	0.286	0.029
#9 Ben Gamel	7.0	9.2	0.293	0.341	0.512	0.854	0.335	0.000

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	10.7	14.6	0.246	0.467	0.456	0.923	0.361	0.061
#2 Trea Turner	10.0	12.8	0.302	0.457	0.367	0.824	0.338	0.034
#3 Bryce Harper	9.8	13.0	0.278	0.524	0.420	0.944	0.375	0.059
#4 Alec Bohm	7.5	9.9	0.289	0.460	0.378	0.837	0.342	0.026
#5 Nick Castellanos	8.5	11.1	0.251	0.423	0.329	0.752	0.310	0.036
#6 Bryson Stott	7.7	10.0	0.244	0.357	0.359	0.716	0.293	0.022
#7 J.T. Realmuto	7.5	9.7	0.265	0.418	0.350	0.768	0.315	0.033
#8 Brandon Marsh	6.8	8.9	0.244	0.414	0.363	0.777	0.315	0.039
#9 Austin Hays	6.5	8.3	0.262	0.403	0.340	0.743	0.308	0.019

Astros Notable Injuries

Ryan Pressly OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/15/24. Impact: 0.6

Phillies Notable Injuries

Weston Wilson OUT (OF): Avg: 0.36 SLG:0.66 Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 3.0
Jose Alvarado OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: 0.6