Astros vs Mariners Game Breakdown

Strap in, sports fans, because tonight’s MLB showdown at T-Mobile Park is not just any game—it’s a clash of titans as the Houston Astros, looking to claw their way up from a 24W-30L record, sail into Seattle to face the Mariners, who are riding the wave of a recent victory with a 29W-26L standing. The stakes? Just a casual 09:40 PM EST battle where the Astros are hungry to bridge a 4.5-game gap, while the Mariners defend their ground at the top of the American League conference. With the over/under teasing at 7.5 and the betting lines drawn, this game is set against a backdrop of moody Seattle skies, promising a brisk breeze and a hint of drama at 57 degrees. After the Mariners hooked a 3-2 win against the Astros just yesterday, tonight’s game is anyone’s ballgame. Will the Mariners continue to sail smoothly, or will the Astros launch a comeback that’s out of this world?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 28, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Weather: Overcast with winds from the SSE at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 57.0° with 77% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	SEA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+110	-132	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+107	-128	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-3	+4	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

153W-114L

48.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

146W-115L

51.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/03/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+0.5
05/03/24	Houston Astros HOU	5	Over	+0.5
05/04/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Under	-2.5
05/04/24	Houston Astros HOU	0	Under	-2.5
05/05/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Over	+1.5
05/05/24	Houston Astros HOU	4	Over	+1.5
05/27/24	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-2.5
05/27/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-2.5
05/05/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Over	+2.5
05/05/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Over	+2.5
05/06/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Over	+4.5
05/06/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	7	Over	+4.5
05/07/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-3.5
05/07/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-3.5
07/06/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Under	-1.5
07/06/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-1.5
07/07/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	10	Over	+3.5
07/07/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Over	+3.5
07/08/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-2.5
07/08/23	Houston Astros HOU	3	Under	-2.5
07/09/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-3.5
07/09/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-3.5
08/18/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-5.5
08/18/23	Houston Astros HOU	0	Under	-5.5
08/19/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	10	Over	+5.5
08/19/23	Houston Astros HOU	3	Over	+5.5
08/20/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	7	Over	+5.5
08/20/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Over	+5.5
09/25/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Under	-1.5
09/25/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	1	Under	-1.5
09/26/23	Houston Astros HOU	2	Over	+0.5
09/26/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Over	+0.5
09/27/23	Houston Astros HOU	8	Over	+3.5
09/27/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+3.5

Astros Vs Over/Under

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-22-24	vsLAA	2-1L	6.0	2	2	3	Under
05-17-24	vsMIL	4-5W	5.0	4	4	5	Over
05-11-24	@DET	2-8L	5.0	5	1	7	Over
05-05-24	vsSEA	5-4L	4.3	5	2	5	Over
04-30-24	vsCLE	9-10W	5.3	5	6	7	Over
04-21-24	@WAS	0-6L	4.0	4	3	6	Under
04-16-24	vsATL	6-2L	6.0	5	2	3	Over
04-11-24	@KC	3-13L	0.7	11	9	0	Over
04-05-24	@TEX	2-10L	3.0	8	5	3	Over
03-30-24	vsNYY	5-3L	4.0	4	1	5	Over

Luis Castillo

ERA 3.444 | IP 65.3 | 4.0W-6.0L | KO 69.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-23-24	@NYY	0-5L	5.0	7	2	3	Under
05-18-24	@BAL	4-3W	6.0	4	2	2	Push
05-12-24	vsOAK	4-8W	6.0	7	2	8	Over
05-06-24	@MIN	1-3L	6.7	3	3	7	Under
04-30-24	vsATL	2-3W	7.0	3	0	7	Under
04-25-24	@TEX	4-3W	6.0	4	2	6	Push
04-20-24	@COL	7-0W	7.0	2	0	9	Push
04-14-24	vsCHC	3-2L	6.0	7	3	9	Under
04-08-24	@TOR	2-5L	5.0	9	4	6	Push
04-02-24	vsCLE	5-2L	5.7	10	4	7	Push

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/29	vs SEA	2-3L	6	0	Under
05/28	vs OAK	5-2W	11	1	Push
05/27	vs OAK	1-3L	4	0	Under
05/26	vs OAK	6-3W	12	1	Over
05/24	@ LAA	1-2L	6	0	Under
05/23	@ LAA	6-5W	10	4	Over
05/22	@ LAA	7-9L	10	2	Over
05/21	@ MIL	9-4W	14	3	Over
05/20	@ MIL	2-4L	8	1	Under
05/19	@ MIL	5-4W	10	2	Over
05/18	@ OAK	8-1W	8	1	Over
05/17	@ OAK	3-0W	8	0	Under
05/16	@ OAK	2-1W	6	1	Under
05/15	@ OAK	9-2W	10	2	Over
05/14	vs DET	9-3W	18	1	Over

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/29	@ HOU	3-2W	6	0	Under
05/28	vs WAS	9-5W	10	2	Over
05/27	vs WAS	1-3L	5	1	Under
05/26	vs WAS	1-6L	5	1	Push
05/25	vs NYY	0-5L	3	0	Under
05/24	vs NYY	3-7L	6	1	Over
05/23	vs NYY	6-3W	10	4	Over
05/22	vs NYY	5-4W	7	1	Over
05/21	vs BAL	3-6L	9	0	Over
05/20	vs BAL	4-3W	7	0	Push
05/19	vs BAL	2-9L	9	1	Over
05/17	@ KC	4-2W	9	1	Under
05/16	@ KC	2-4L	7	2	Under
05/15	@ KC	6-2W	11	2	Over
05/14	@ OAK	8-4W	8	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	8.3	10.6	0.295	0.468	38.2%	85.0%	4.1%
#2 Kyle Tucker	9.1	12.2	0.276	0.615	50.0%	111.5%	9.4%
#3 Yordan Alvarez	10.0	13.0	0.265	0.446	39.2%	83.8%	4.4%
#4 Jeremy Pena	6.8	8.6	0.314	0.438	37.1%	81.0%	2.4%
#5 Alex Bregman	6.3	8.2	0.206	0.317	30.2%	61.8%	2.0%
#6 Jake Meyers	6.1	8.0	0.3	0.525	41.7%	94.2%	5.0%
#7 Luis Garcia	7.2	7.2	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#7 Jon Singleton	5.0	6.7	0.234	0.379	39.5%	77.4%	4.0%
#8 Yainer Diaz	5.8	7.4	0.255	0.37	30.4%	67.4%	1.6%
#9 Jose Abreu	5.2	6.5	0.108	0.122	17.6%	29.7%	0.0%

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 J.P. Crawford	7.7	10.1	0.217	0.339	34.8%	68.7%	2.6%
#2 Dylan Moore	8.7	11.6	0.239	0.478	43.3%	91.0%	4.5%
#3 Luke Raley	7.9	10.0	0.283	0.433	33.3%	76.7%	3.3%
#4 Cal Raleigh	7.6	10.3	0.21	0.431	31.7%	74.9%	6.6%
#5 Julio Rodriguez	8.7	10.8	0.265	0.342	32.9%	67.1%	1.8%
#6 Dominic Canzone	6.5	8.6	0.212	0.481	30.8%	78.8%	7.7%
#7 Ty France	6.6	8.5	0.244	0.383	33.3%	71.7%	3.3%
#8 Josh Rojas	6.4	8.0	0.281	0.417	38.1%	79.9%	2.2%
#9 Jonatan Clase	4.7	6.0	0.176	0.206	20.6%	41.2%	0.0%