Astros vs Mariners Game Breakdown
Astros
52W-46L
July 21, 2024
04:10PM EST
Odds: 7.0 o/u
Mariners
52W-47L
Get ready to dial into the diamond drama as the Houston Astros, boasting a solid 52W-46L record, jet over to the scenic T-Mobile Park to lock horns with the Seattle Mariners, who are hot on their heels in the standings at 52W-47L. It’s a tight squeeze at the top of the American League conference, and every pitch counts in this 04:10 PM EST showdown. With the betting world buzzing, the lines are drawn at a razor-thin -113 for the Astros and -107 for the Mariners, setting the stage for a nail-biter. As the Mariners look to bounce back from their recent 2-4 hiccup against the Astros, the weather gods are smiling down with perfect sunny skies and a gentle eastern breeze. So, as these two titans clash, will the Astros continue to rocket past the competition, or will the Mariners sail to a smooth victory? Let’s find out if it’s Houston, we have lift-off, or Seattle, anchors aweigh!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: July 21, 2024 04:10PM EST
Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Weather: Sunny with winds from the E at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 65.8° with 69% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| HOU ML | SEA ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -113 | -107 | 7.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Recent | -107 | -113 | 8.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Difference | +6 | -6 | +1.0 | – |
Team Performance
51.7% Win Probability
48.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 5 | ||||
| 05/04/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 5 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 0 | ||||
| 05/05/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 5 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 4 | ||||
| 05/27/24 | Houston Astros HOU | 2 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | ||||
| 05/28/24 | Houston Astros HOU | 2 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 4 | ||||
| 05/29/24 | Houston Astros HOU | 1 | Under | -4.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 2 | ||||
| 05/30/24 | Houston Astros HOU | 4 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 0 | ||||
| 07/19/24 | Houston Astros HOU | 3 | Under | -4.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 0 | ||||
| 07/20/24 | Houston Astros HOU | 4 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 2 | ||||
| 05/05/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 6 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 4 | ||||
| 05/06/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 5 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 7 | ||||
| 05/07/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 1 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | ||||
| 07/06/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 5 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 1 | ||||
| 07/07/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 10 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 1 | ||||
| 07/08/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 2 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 3 | ||||
| 07/09/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 1 | ||||
| 08/18/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 2 | Under | -5.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 0 | ||||
| 08/19/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 10 | Over | +6.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 3 | ||||
| 08/20/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 7 | Over | +6.0 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 6 | ||||
| 09/25/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 5 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 1 | ||||
| 09/26/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 2 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 6 | ||||
| 09/27/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 8 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 |
Astros Vs Over/Under
Mariners Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09-24 | vsMIA | 3-4W | 7.0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | Under |
| 07-03-24 | @TOR | 9-2W | 5.7 | 4 | 2 | 4 | Over |
| 06-28-24 | @NYM | 2-7L | 5.7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | Over |
| 06-22-24 | vsBAL | 1-5W | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 06-16-24 | vsDET | 1-4W | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Under |
| 06-11-24 | @SF | 3-1W | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | Under |
| 06-05-24 | vsSTL | 4-2L | 5.7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | Under |
| 05-31-24 | vsMIN | 6-1L | 4.7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | Under |
| 05-26-24 | @OAK | 5-2W | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 05-14-24 | vsOAK | 1-2W | 3.0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12-24 | @LAA | 5-6L | 3.3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | Over |
| 06-24-24 | @TB | 3-4L | 3.0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | Under |
| 06-19-24 | @CLE | 0-8L | 4.0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | Push |
| 06-06-24 | @OAK | 3-0W | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | Under |
| 05-31-24 | vsLAA | 4-5W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | Over |
| 05-26-24 | @WAS | 9-5W | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 05-21-24 | @NYY | 6-3W | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | Over |
| 05-15-24 | vsKC | 2-4W | 5.3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | Under |
| 05-10-24 | vsOAK | 1-8W | 4.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | Over |
| 09-29-23 | vsTEX | 0-8W | 3.7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | Push |
Astros Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/22 | vs SEA | 4-2W | 7 | 2 | Under |
| 07/21 | vs SEA | 3-0W | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 07/15 | @ TEX | 1-2L | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 07/14 | @ TEX | 6-3W | 9 | 3 | Over |
| 07/13 | @ MIA | 6-3W | 5 | 0 | Over |
| 07/12 | @ MIA | 9-1W | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 07/11 | @ MIA | 4-3W | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 07/09 | vs MIN | 2-3L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 07/08 | vs MIN | 3-9L | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 07/07 | vs MIN | 13-12W | 16 | 1 | Over |
| 07/06 | vs TOR | 5-3W | 9 | 1 | Push |
| 07/05 | vs TOR | 9-2W | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 07/04 | vs TOR | 6-7L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 07/03 | vs TOR | 3-1W | 4 | 2 | Under |
| 07/02 | vs NYM | 10-5W | 15 | 1 | Over |
Mariners Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/22 | @ HOU | 2-4L | 3 | 1 | Under |
| 07/21 | @ HOU | 0-3L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 07/15 | vs LAA | 1-2L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 07/14 | vs LAA | 5-6L | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 07/13 | vs LAA | 11-0W | 15 | 3 | Over |
| 07/12 | vs SD | 2-0W | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 07/11 | vs SD | 8-3W | 13 | 3 | Over |
| 07/09 | @ TOR | 4-5L | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 07/08 | @ TOR | 4-5L | 6 | 2 | Over |
| 07/07 | @ TOR | 2-1W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 07/06 | @ BAL | 7-3W | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 07/05 | @ BAL | 1-4L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 07/04 | @ BAL | 0-2L | 2 | 0 | Under |
| 07/02 | @ MIN | 3-5L | 9 | 0 | Push |
| 07/01 | @ MIN | 1-5L | 6 | 1 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Houston Astros | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Jose Altuve
|
8.3 | 10.6 | 0.305 | 0.459 | 0.379 | 0.838 | 0.343 | 0.036 |
|
#2
Alex Bregman
|
7.1 | 9.3 | 0.257 | 0.415 | 0.352 | 0.767 | 0.314 | 0.033 |
| 9.3 | 12.2 | 0.297 | 0.529 | 0.442 | 0.971 | 0.385 | 0.055 | |
|
#4
Yainer Diaz
|
6.5 | 8.4 | 0.290 | 0.423 | 0.335 | 0.758 | 0.314 | 0.024 |
| 6.2 | 8.1 | 0.246 | 0.364 | 0.382 | 0.746 | 0.303 | 0.031 | |
|
#6
Jeremy Pena
|
6.0 | 7.7 | 0.272 | 0.379 | 0.343 | 0.723 | 0.299 | 0.019 |
|
#7
Jake Meyers
|
5.1 | 6.8 | 0.235 | 0.414 | 0.336 | 0.750 | 0.308 | 0.037 |
| 5.1 | 6.6 | 0.258 | 0.398 | 0.333 | 0.731 | 0.302 | 0.022 | |
|
#9
Trey Cabbage
|
4.6 | 6.1 | 0.239 | 0.394 | 0.268 | 0.662 | 0.278 | 0.014 |
| Seattle Mariners | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.4 | 9.8 | 0.204 | 0.340 | 0.340 | 0.681 | 0.279 | 0.028 | |
|
#2
Josh Rojas
|
7.0 | 8.9 | 0.244 | 0.356 | 0.356 | 0.711 | 0.292 | 0.015 |
| 7.2 | 9.1 | 0.265 | 0.376 | 0.339 | 0.714 | 0.295 | 0.029 | |
|
#4
Cal Raleigh
|
7.6 | 10.3 | 0.215 | 0.432 | 0.344 | 0.776 | 0.315 | 0.063 |
|
#5
Mitch Garver
|
6.9 | 9.4 | 0.173 | 0.353 | 0.346 | 0.699 | 0.285 | 0.044 |
| 6.2 | 8.1 | 0.199 | 0.287 | 0.324 | 0.611 | 0.255 | 0.023 | |
|
#7
Ty France
|
5.2 | 6.8 | 0.226 | 0.354 | 0.357 | 0.710 | 0.293 | 0.027 |
|
#8
Luke Raley
|
5.2 | 6.7 | 0.241 | 0.422 | 0.321 | 0.743 | 0.308 | 0.040 |
| 4.6 | 5.8 | 0.283 | 0.400 | 0.450 | 0.850 | 0.340 | 0.017 |
Astros Notable Injuries
- Victor Caratini OUT (C): Avg: 0.248 SLG:0.429 Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 1.7
Mariners Notable Injuries
- Dominic Canzone OUT (OF): Avg: 0.211 SLG:0.394 Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 1.7
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