Astros vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown
Astros
42W-41L
July 01, 2024
03:07PM EST
Odds: 8.5 o/u
Blue Jays
38W-44L
Get ready to slide into some major league excitement as the Houston Astros, hanging tough with a 42-41 record, rocket into Rogers Centre to clash with the Toronto Blue Jays, who are looking to shake off their 38-44 feathers after a recent tumble. The stakes are high with the Astros just 3.5 games shy of the top spot in the American League, while the Blue Jays flap 14 games behind, both eager to claw their way up the ranks. The first pitch is set to soar at 03:07 PM EST, under a canopy of perfect sunny skies, a gentle northern breeze, and a crisp 68 degrees setting the stage. With the betting lines drawing a crowd and the over/under teasing at 8.5, today’s matchup promises to be a scoreboard scorcher, especially with the Astros coming off a fiery 10-5 victory and the Blue Jays nursing the wounds of an 8-1 thrashing. So, as the Astros aim to keep their engines burning and the Blue Jays hope to wing their way to redemption, it’s clear that today’s game is all about whether Houston can continue their stellar orbit or if Toronto will finally get their wings back. Let’s see which team will truly take flight!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: July 01, 2024 03:07PM EST
Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto
Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 68.0° with 49% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| HOU ML | TOR ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -142 | +119 | 8.5 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Recent | -147 | +123 | 8.5 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Difference | -5 | +4 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
59.5% Win Probability
40.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 0 | Over | +1.5 | ![]() |
| Houston Astros HOU | 10 | ||||
| 04/02/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 2 | Under | -5.5 | ![]() |
| Houston Astros HOU | 1 | ||||
| 04/03/24 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 0 | Under | -0.5 | ![]() |
| Houston Astros HOU | 8 | ||||
| 04/17/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 2 | Over | +2.5 | ![]() |
| Houston Astros HOU | 9 | ||||
| 04/18/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 4 | Under | -2.5 | ![]() |
| Houston Astros HOU | 2 | ||||
| 04/19/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 1 | Over | +0.5 | ![]() |
| Houston Astros HOU | 8 | ||||
| 06/05/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 11 | Over | +6.5 | ![]() |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 4 | ||||
| 06/06/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 1 | Under | -2.5 | ![]() |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | ||||
| 06/07/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 2 | Under | -3.5 | ![]() |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
| 06/08/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 2 | Under | -3.5 | ![]() |
| Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 |
Astros Vs Over/Under
Blue Jays Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25-24 | vsCOL | 2-5W | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | Under |
| 06-19-24 | @CWS | 4-1W | 6.0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 06-14-24 | vsDET | 0-4W | 7.0 | 5 | 0 | 9 | Under |
| 06-08-24 | @LAA | 6-1W | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | Under |
| 06-02-24 | vsMIN | 4-3L | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Under |
| 05-28-24 | @SEA | 2-4L | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | Under |
| 05-22-24 | vsLAA | 2-1L | 6.0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | Under |
| 05-17-24 | vsMIL | 4-5W | 5.0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | Over |
| 05-11-24 | @DET | 2-8L | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | Over |
| 05-05-24 | vsSEA | 5-4L | 4.3 | 5 | 2 | 5 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21-24 | @CLE | 1-7L | 1.3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 04-29-24 | vsKC | 5-6W | 3.7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 04-24-24 | @KC | 2-3L | 4.0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | Under |
| 04-19-24 | @SD | 5-1W | 4.0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 04-13-24 | vsCOL | 3-5W | 3.7 | 4 | 1 | 6 | Under |
Astros Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02 | vs NYM | 10-5W | 15 | 1 | Over |
| 07/01 | vs NYM | 9-6W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 06/30 | vs NYM | 2-7L | 12 | 1 | Over |
| 06/28 | @ COL | 7-1W | 11 | 0 | Under |
| 06/27 | @ COL | 5-2W | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 06/25 | @ BAL | 8-1W | 15 | 1 | Over |
| 06/24 | @ BAL | 5-1W | 6 | 3 | Under |
| 06/23 | @ BAL | 14-11W | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 06/22 | vs CWS | 5-3W | 11 | 1 | Under |
| 06/21 | vs CWS | 4-1W | 12 | 0 | Under |
| 06/20 | vs CWS | 0-2L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 06/18 | @ DET | 4-1W | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 06/17 | @ DET | 5-13L | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 06/16 | @ DET | 4-0W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 06/14 | vs SF | 3-5L | 9 | 1 | Under |
Blue Jays Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02 | @ NYY | 1-8L | 4 | 0 | Over |
| 07/01 | @ NYY | 9-3W | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 06/30 | @ NYY | 5-16L | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 06/29 | @ NYY | 9-2W | 11 | 3 | Over |
| 06/27 | vs BOS | 9-4W | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 06/26 | vs BOS | 6-7L | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 06/25 | vs CLE | 5-6L | 9 | 3 | Over |
| 06/24 | vs CLE | 3-6L | 4 | 3 | Over |
| 06/23 | vs CLE | 1-7L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 06/21 | @ BOS | 3-7L | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 06/20 | @ BOS | 3-4L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 06/19 | @ BOS | 3-7L | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 06/18 | @ CLE | 7-6W | 11 | 2 | Over |
| 06/17 | @ CLE | 5-0W | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 06/16 | @ CLE | 1-3L | 3 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Houston Astros | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Jose Altuve
|
7.5 | 9.6 | 0.304 | 0.469 | 0.381 | 0.850 | 0.347 | 0.038 |
|
#2
Alex Bregman
|
6.5 | 8.5 | 0.248 | 0.397 | 0.337 | 0.733 | 0.301 | 0.029 |
| 7.9 | 10.3 | 0.294 | 0.520 | 0.422 | 0.941 | 0.376 | 0.052 | |
|
#4
Yainer Diaz
|
5.6 | 7.2 | 0.282 | 0.421 | 0.326 | 0.747 | 0.309 | 0.026 |
|
#5
Jake Meyers
|
5.2 | 6.8 | 0.260 | 0.438 | 0.361 | 0.799 | 0.326 | 0.037 |
| 4.3 | 5.6 | 0.242 | 0.360 | 0.388 | 0.747 | 0.303 | 0.034 | |
|
#7
Jeremy Pena
|
4.6 | 5.8 | 0.277 | 0.376 | 0.344 | 0.720 | 0.298 | 0.016 |
| 4.4 | 5.7 | 0.293 | 0.409 | 0.332 | 0.740 | 0.308 | 0.014 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 5.7 | 0.292 | 0.420 | 0.366 | 0.786 | 0.323 | 0.027 | |
| 5.2 | 6.9 | 0.315 | 0.463 | 0.593 | 1.056 | 0.398 | 0.037 | |
|
#3
V. Guerrero
|
6.3 | 8.2 | 0.297 | 0.471 | 0.421 | 0.892 | 0.358 | 0.040 |
| 5.2 | 6.9 | 0.251 | 0.379 | 0.417 | 0.796 | 0.320 | 0.021 | |
| 5.9 | 7.7 | 0.214 | 0.341 | 0.344 | 0.685 | 0.281 | 0.029 | |
| 5.5 | 7.4 | 0.199 | 0.406 | 0.309 | 0.715 | 0.293 | 0.043 |
Astros Notable Injuries
- Justin Verlander OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/11/24. Impact: 7.1
- Kyle Tucker OUT (OF): Avg: 0.266 SLG:0.584 Last game: 06/05/24. Impact: 2.9
- Victor Caratini OUT (C): Avg: 0.248 SLG:0.429 Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 1.7
- Jake Bloss OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 1.2
Blue Jays Notable Injuries
- Yimi Garcia OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 1.5
- Orelvis Martinez OUT (2B): Avg: 0.333 SLG:0.333 Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 1.2
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