Astros vs Nationals Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 19th 2024

Get ready for an electrifying showdown as the underdog Houston Astros, looking to shake off their recent slump, storm into Nationals Park to face the slightly steadier Washington Nationals. It’s a battle of wills in the capital with the first pitch set to fly at 06:45 PM EST. Both teams are itching to climb their respective conference ladders, with the Astros trailing by 5 in the AL and the Nats just 4.5 games behind in the NL. Betting enthusiasts will note the game’s spicy over/under at 8.5, favoring the Astros at -175. Fresh off a tight loss to Atlanta, the Astros are desperate to rebound, while the Nationals aim to build on their crisp 2-0 victory over the Dodgers. With overcast skies, a brisk eastern wind, and a hint of humidity setting the stage, tonight’s game promises more twists and turns than a Capitol Hill drama. So, as the Astros try to launch a comeback and the Nationals aim to defend their turf, expect a star-spangled clash that could only be described as out of this world!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 19, 2024 06:45PM EST

Location: Nationals Park, Washington

Weather: Overcast with winds from the E at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 53.1° with 80% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-175	+144	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-170	+141	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+5	-3	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

145W-104L

63.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

94W-151L

37.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/13/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-1.5
06/13/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Under	-1.5
06/14/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+0.5
06/14/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Over	+0.5
06/15/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Under	-3.5
06/15/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-3.5

Astros Vs Over/Under

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Luis Garcia

ERA 4.0 | IP 27.0 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 31.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-30-23	@ARI	1-0W	5.0	2	0	5	Under
09-25-23	@SEA	5-1W	8.0	3	1	8	Under
09-18-23	vsBAL	8-7L	6.0	8	3	5	Over
09-12-23	vsOAK	6-2L	7.0	8	5	7	Push
09-06-23	@TEX	12-3W	7.0	4	2	6	Over
09-01-23	vsNYY	6-2L	6.0	8	6	3	Push
08-27-23	@DET	17-4W	5.0	2	0	7	Over
08-22-23	vsBOS	3-7W	6.0	5	0	9	Over
08-16-23	@MIA	12-5W	5.0	9	5	2	Over
08-11-23	vsLAA	3-11W	6.0	6	3	7	Over
09-10-23	@LAD	7-3L	0.0	0	0	0	Over
05-01-23	vsSF	3-7W	0.0	1	0	0	Over
04-25-23	@TB	5-0W	6.0	3	0	7	Under
04-19-23	vsTOR	1-8W	7.0	2	0	9	Over
04-14-23	vsTEX	6-2L	5.0	6	5	7	Push
04-08-23	@MIN	6-9L	4.0	6	4	4	Over
04-02-23	vsCWS	6-3L	5.0	7	3	4	Over
10-02-22	vsTB	6-3L	6.0	3	1	4	Over
09-27-22	vsARI	6-3L	6.0	4	1	6	Over
09-19-22	vsTB	6-3L	5.0	2	0	4	Over

MacKenzie Gore

ERA 4.423 | IP 136.3 | 7.0W-10.0L | KO 151.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-13-24	@OAK	3-1W	5.0	4	0	11	Under
04-07-24	vsPHI	2-3W	5.7	5	2	6	Under
04-01-24	vsPIT	8-4L	5.3	5	3	6	Over
09-08-23	vsLAD	8-5L	4.0	6	4	4	Over
08-29-23	@TOR	5-4W	5.0	6	1	2	Over
08-23-23	@NYY	1-9L	4.0	4	6	4	Over
08-16-23	vsBOS	2-6W	6.3	1	0	7	Push
08-09-23	@PHI	0-7L	5.0	7	6	5	Under
08-02-23	vsMIL	2-3W	6.0	3	2	5	Under
07-28-23	@NYM	1-5L	5.0	5	3	2	Under

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/19	@ ATL	4-5L	9	2	Over
04/18	@ ATL	2-6L	7	1	Push
04/17	@ ATL	1-6L	7	0	Under
04/16	@ TEX	8-5W	10	2	Over
04/15	@ TEX	9-2W	14	0	Over
04/14	@ TEX	8-12L	11	2	Over
04/13	vs KC	3-13L	11	1	Over
04/12	vs KC	2-11L	9	0	Over
04/11	vs KC	3-3L	14	0	Under
04/10	vs TEX	10-5W	11	2	Over
04/09	vs TEX	3-1W	4	1	Under
04/08	vs TEX	2-7L	8	0	Over
04/07	vs TEX	2-10L	3	1	Over
04/05	@ TOR	8-0W	15	4	Push
04/04	@ TOR	1-2L	8	1	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/19	vs LAD	2-0W	4	1	Under
04/18	vs LAD	2-6L	6	1	Push
04/17	vs LAD	6-4W	8	2	Over
04/16	vs OAK	6-7L	12	1	Over
04/15	vs OAK	3-1W	10	0	Under
04/14	vs OAK	1-2L	8	1	Under
04/12	vs SF	1-7L	4	1	Push
04/11	vs SF	5-3W	8	1	Push
04/10	vs SF	7-1W	10	1	Push
04/09	@ PHI	3-2W	8	0	Under
04/08	@ PHI	2-5L	4	1	Under
04/07	@ PHI	0-4L	2	0	Under
04/06	@ PIT	4-7L	8	1	Over
04/05	@ PIT	5-3W	10	1	Push
04/03	@ PIT	4-8L	8	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	10.6	13.9	0.311	0.522	44.7%	96.9%	4.7%
#2 Yordan Alvarez	11.7	15.9	0.29	0.578	49.0%	106.8%	7.6%
#3 Alex Bregman	9.1	12.1	0.264	0.443	42.6%	86.9%	4.0%
#4 Luis Garcia	4.9	7.7	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#4 Kyle Tucker	9.9	13.1	0.285	0.52	42.9%	94.9%	5.1%
#5 Yainer Diaz	8.5	11.1	0.284	0.543	33.0%	87.2%	6.5%
#6 Jeremy Pena	8.4	10.8	0.268	0.387	35.9%	74.6%	1.7%
#7 Chas McCormick	8.1	10.7	0.272	0.489	39.7%	88.5%	5.5%
#8 Jose Abreu	7.3	9.3	0.237	0.384	32.6%	71.1%	3.4%
#9 Mauricio Dubon	6.9	8.8	0.281	0.415	32.8%	74.3%	2.2%

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	7.8	10.0	0.242	0.41	32.3%	73.3%	3.2%
#2 Jesse Winker	6.6	8.9	0.196	0.245	37.4%	62.0%	0.6%
#3 Lane Thomas	7.1	9.3	0.268	0.47	34.3%	81.4%	4.5%
#4 Luis Garcia Jr.	6.1	7.7	0.264	0.384	32.5%	70.9%	2.0%
#5 Joey Meneses	6.1	7.9	0.275	0.396	34.4%	74.0%	2.0%
#6 Joey Gallo	5.8	7.9	0.176	0.441	35.5%	79.6%	7.5%
#7 Nick Senzel	5.1	6.7	0.241	0.405	33.1%	73.6%	4.3%
#8 Eddie Rosario	5.1	6.7	0.255	0.451	32.9%	78.1%	4.4%
#9 Riley Adams	5.5	7.1	0.273	0.476	36.4%	83.9%	2.8%