Royals vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at Fenway tonight as the Kansas City Royals, boasting a solid 51-42 record, roll into Boston to clash with the equally formidable Red Sox, who are just a hair ahead at 51-41. The air’s buzzing at Fenway Park with the first pitch slated for 07:10 PM EST, and both teams hot on the heels of the American League leaders, looking to close gaps of 6.0 and 5.5 games respectively. With the betting lines tight and the over/under at a tantalizing 9.0, tonight’s matchup promises a lot of action. The Royals are riding high from an 8-5 victory over STL, while the Red Sox shut out OAK 7-0 in their last outing. With partly cloudy skies, a gentle southwestern breeze, and the murmur of 82.9° temperatures, the stage is set for a night where Royals and Sox will weave a thrilling tale of pitches and hits!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 12, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SW at 15.0 mph. Temperature is at 82.9° with 72% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	KC ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-116	-104	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-114	-106	9.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+2	-2	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

102W-184L

53.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

149W-135L

46.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/07/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-1.0
08/07/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Under	-1.0
08/08/23	Kansas City Royals KC	9	Over	+3.0
08/08/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+3.0
08/09/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Under	-2.0
08/09/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Under	-2.0
08/10/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-7.0
08/10/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-7.0
09/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Over	+6.0
09/01/23	Kansas City Royals KC	13	Over	+6.0
09/02/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+5.0
09/02/23	Kansas City Royals KC	5	Over	+5.0
09/03/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+1.0
09/03/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+1.0

Royals Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Will Smith

ERA 4.709 | IP 28.7 | 0.0W-3.0L | KO 17.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-05-24	@COL	2-4L	7.0	5	2	8	Under
06-29-24	vsCLE	7-2L	4.7	6	5	6	Under
06-24-24	vsMIA	1-4W	6.0	4	1	11	Under
06-19-24	@OAK	1-5L	6.0	4	2	7	Under
06-14-24	@LAD	3-4L	7.0	6	3	4	Under
06-09-24	vsSEA	6-5L	6.0	3	1	9	Over
06-02-24	vsSD	3-4W	6.0	5	1	6	Under
05-28-24	@MIN	2-4L	5.0	9	3	7	Under
05-22-24	vsDET	3-8W	6.0	1	0	12	Over
05-17-24	vsOAK	2-6W	7.0	2	0	7	Under
07-10-24	@STL	6-4W	1.0	0	0	0	Over
07-04-24	vsTB	10-8L	1.0	3	1	0	Over
06-30-24	vsCLE	2-6W	1.0	0	0	0	Under
06-29-24	vsCLE	7-2L	1.0	1	1	0	Under
06-25-24	vsMIA	2-1L	1.0	1	0	0	Under
06-22-24	@TEX	0-6L	1.0	1	0	0	Under
06-18-24	@OAK	5-7L	1.0	0	0	0	Over
06-14-24	@LAD	3-4L	0.7	2	1	1	Under
06-09-24	vsSEA	6-5L	0.3	0	0	1	Over
06-08-24	vsSEA	4-8W	1.0	0	0	1	Over

Cooper Criswell

ERA 3.981 | IP 52.0 | 3.0W-3.0L | KO 49.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-15-24	vsNYY	4-8W	4.0	3	2	6	Over
06-07-24	@CWS	2-7L	4.3	5	4	2	Under
06-01-24	vsDET	3-6W	5.0	4	1	5	Under
05-27-24	@BAL	3-11L	4.0	6	7	2	Over
05-21-24	@TB	5-2W	5.3	6	2	6	Under
05-16-24	vsTB	7-5L	3.7	4	5	3	Over
05-11-24	vsWAS	2-4W	5.0	3	2	9	Under
05-05-24	@MIN	9-2W	4.3	5	1	5	Over
04-30-24	vsSF	0-4W	5.0	2	0	4	Under
04-24-24	@CLE	8-0W	5.0	3	0	3	Under

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/12	vs STL	8-5W	12	3	Over
07/12	vs STL	6-4W	9	1	Over
07/09	vs COL	10-1W	12	3	Over
07/08	vs COL	1-3L	8	1	Under
07/07	vs COL	2-4L	10	0	Under
07/06	@ TB	8-10L	10	2	Over
07/05	@ TB	4-2W	7	0	Under
07/04	@ TB	1-5L	6	1	Under
07/02	@ CLE	6-2W	11	1	Under
07/01	@ CLE	2-7L	6	2	Under
06/30	@ CLE	10-3W	13	4	Over
06/29	@ CLE	2-1W	6	0	Under
06/28	@ MIA	5-1W	10	0	Under
06/27	@ MIA	1-2L	4	0	Under
06/26	@ MIA	4-1W	6	3	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/13	@ OAK	7-0W	10	3	Under
07/12	@ OAK	2-5L	8	1	Under
07/11	@ OAK	12-9W	13	2	Over
07/09	vs NYY	3-0W	6	3	Under
07/08	vs NYY	4-14L	8	1	Over
07/07	vs NYY	5-3W	8	3	Under
07/06	vs MIA	6-5W	8	0	Over
07/05	vs MIA	7-2W	12	0	Under
07/04	vs MIA	8-3W	13	2	Over
07/02	@ SD	4-1W	8	2	Under
07/01	@ SD	1-11L	6	1	Over
06/30	@ SD	2-9L	8	1	Over
06/27	@ TOR	4-9L	5	2	Over
06/26	@ TOR	7-6W	11	2	Over
06/25	vs CIN	7-4W	10	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Adam Frazier	7.8	10.1	0.206	0.290	0.323	0.613	0.256	0.013
#2 Will Smith	4.6	10.2	nan	nan	nan	nan	0.000	nan
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	10.3	13.3	0.325	0.560	0.408	0.968	0.390	0.040
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	8.5	11.4	0.249	0.431	0.360	0.791	0.322	0.034
#4 Salvador Perez	8.1	10.6	0.279	0.471	0.378	0.850	0.346	0.048
#5 Michael Massey	7.7	10.2	0.281	0.504	0.309	0.813	0.338	0.058
#6 Hunter Renfroe	7.9	10.5	0.224	0.395	0.332	0.726	0.298	0.036
#7 MJ Melendez	6.7	8.8	0.191	0.379	0.277	0.656	0.272	0.039
#8 Maikel Garcia	6.3	8.2	0.229	0.345	0.305	0.650	0.269	0.016
#9 Kyle Isbel	5.7	7.4	0.236	0.391	0.305	0.695	0.287	0.032

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	9.3	11.9	0.278	0.473	0.374	0.847	0.343	0.026
#2 Rob Refsnyder	8.1	10.5	0.303	0.471	0.465	0.935	0.371	0.026
#3 Tyler O’Neill	8.6	11.4	0.256	0.504	0.409	0.913	0.363	0.066
#4 Rafael Devers	8.2	11.0	0.289	0.581	0.432	1.013	0.400	0.070
#5 Connor Wong	6.8	8.7	0.314	0.452	0.414	0.866	0.351	0.033
#6 Romy Gonzalez	6.5	8.3	0.269	0.388	0.373	0.761	0.311	0.015
#7 Masataka Yoshida	6.4	8.3	0.271	0.392	0.373	0.765	0.314	0.024
#8 Jamie Westbrook	5.3	7.2	0.190	0.381	0.333	0.714	0.294	0.048
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	5.7	7.5	0.245	0.420	0.285	0.705	0.293	0.034