Royals vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB action as the Kansas City Royals, boasting a solid 52W-43L record, gallop into Fenway Park to challenge the equally impressive Boston Red Sox, who stand just a hair better at 52W-42L. It’s a high noon showdown with the first pitch at 01:35 PM EST, and the stakes are as high as the summer temps. With the Royals looking to revenge their recent shutout and the Red Sox aiming to keep their winning momentum, the betting lines are buzzing—Royals at 109 and Red Sox at -131, with an over/under that promises a scorefest at 9.5. As the winds whisper secrets from the southeast, will the Royals ride their luck or will the Sox sock it to ’em again? With both teams swinging for their spot in the American League standings, it’s more than just a game—it’s a royal rumble in the Red kingdom!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 14, 2024 01:35PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SE at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 81.0° with 67% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	KC ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+109	-131	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+129	-154	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+20	-23	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

103W-185L

43.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

150W-136L

56.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/12/24	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Under	-2.5
07/12/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-2.5
07/13/24	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-4.5
07/13/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-4.5
08/07/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-1.5
08/07/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Under	-1.5
08/08/23	Kansas City Royals KC	9	Over	+2.5
08/08/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+2.5
08/09/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Under	-2.5
08/09/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Under	-2.5
08/10/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-7.5
08/10/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-7.5
09/01/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Over	+5.5
09/01/23	Kansas City Royals KC	13	Over	+5.5
09/02/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+4.5
09/02/23	Kansas City Royals KC	5	Over	+4.5
09/03/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+0.5
09/03/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+0.5

Royals Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Will Smith

ERA 4.709 | IP 28.7 | 0.0W-3.0L | KO 17.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-07-24	@COL	10-1W	7.0	6	1	7	Over
07-02-24	vsTB	5-1L	5.0	3	1	4	Under
06-26-24	vsMIA	1-5W	7.3	5	1	5	Under
06-21-24	@TEX	2-6L	5.0	3	1	4	Under
06-16-24	@LAD	0-3L	6.0	5	3	4	Under
06-11-24	vsNYY	10-1L	5.7	7	7	6	Over
06-06-24	@CLE	4-3W	3.7	9	3	2	Under
05-25-24	@TB	7-4W	5.0	4	2	3	Over
05-19-24	vsOAK	4-8W	6.0	6	1	9	Over
05-13-24	@SEA	2-6L	5.0	9	4	6	Under
07-10-24	@STL	6-4W	1.0	0	0	0	Over
07-04-24	vsTB	10-8L	1.0	3	1	0	Over
06-30-24	vsCLE	2-6W	1.0	0	0	0	Under
06-29-24	vsCLE	7-2L	1.0	1	1	0	Under
06-25-24	vsMIA	2-1L	1.0	1	0	0	Under
06-22-24	@TEX	0-6L	1.0	1	0	0	Under
06-18-24	@OAK	5-7L	1.0	0	0	0	Over
06-14-24	@LAD	3-4L	0.7	2	1	1	Under
06-09-24	vsSEA	6-5L	0.3	0	0	1	Over
06-08-24	vsSEA	4-8W	1.0	0	0	1	Over

Brayan Bello

ERA 5.4 | IP 83.3 | 9.0W-5.0L | KO 82.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-09-24	vsOAK	9-12W	5.3	9	5	11	Over
07-03-24	@MIA	7-2W	6.7	7	1	7	Under
06-25-24	vsTOR	9-4L	2.3	5	7	2	Over
06-19-24	@TOR	7-3W	6.0	7	2	6	Over
06-14-24	vsNYY	8-1L	4.7	6	5	5	Under
06-08-24	@CWS	1-6L	4.7	9	5	2	Under
06-02-24	vsDET	8-4L	6.3	8	4	5	Over
05-28-24	@BAL	8-3W	5.0	5	3	7	Over
05-22-24	@TB	8-5W	6.0	4	3	6	Over
05-17-24	@STL	6-10L	4.7	7	5	4	Over

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/15	vs BOS	0-5L	4	0	Under
07/14	vs BOS	6-1W	9	2	Under
07/12	vs STL	8-5W	12	3	Over
07/12	vs STL	6-4W	9	1	Over
07/09	vs COL	10-1W	12	3	Over
07/08	vs COL	1-3L	8	1	Under
07/07	vs COL	2-4L	10	0	Under
07/06	@ TB	8-10L	10	2	Over
07/05	@ TB	4-2W	7	0	Under
07/04	@ TB	1-5L	6	1	Under
07/02	@ CLE	6-2W	11	1	Under
07/01	@ CLE	2-7L	6	2	Under
06/30	@ CLE	10-3W	13	4	Over
06/29	@ CLE	2-1W	6	0	Under
06/28	@ MIA	5-1W	10	0	Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/15	@ KC	5-0W	12	1	Under
07/14	@ KC	1-6L	5	0	Under
07/13	@ OAK	7-0W	10	3	Under
07/12	@ OAK	2-5L	8	1	Under
07/11	@ OAK	12-9W	13	2	Over
07/09	vs NYY	3-0W	6	3	Under
07/08	vs NYY	4-14L	8	1	Over
07/07	vs NYY	5-3W	8	3	Under
07/06	vs MIA	6-5W	8	0	Over
07/05	vs MIA	7-2W	12	0	Under
07/04	vs MIA	8-3W	13	2	Over
07/02	@ SD	4-1W	8	2	Under
07/01	@ SD	1-11L	6	1	Over
06/30	@ SD	2-9L	8	1	Over
06/27	@ TOR	4-9L	5	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Adam Frazier	8.6	11.2	0.209	0.288	0.325	0.613	0.256	0.012
#2 Will Smith	6.1	13.6	nan	nan	nan	nan	0.000	nan
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	11.0	14.3	0.324	0.561	0.407	0.969	0.391	0.042
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	8.9	12.0	0.246	0.423	0.354	0.778	0.318	0.033
#4 Salvador Perez	8.4	11.0	0.279	0.468	0.376	0.844	0.344	0.047
#5 Michael Massey	8.6	11.3	0.273	0.490	0.301	0.790	0.329	0.056
#6 Hunter Renfroe	8.1	10.8	0.221	0.385	0.325	0.710	0.292	0.035
#7 MJ Melendez	7.8	10.3	0.194	0.388	0.281	0.669	0.277	0.042
#8 Freddy Fermin	7.0	9.1	0.291	0.413	0.372	0.785	0.322	0.023
#9 Kyle Isbel	6.5	8.4	0.234	0.387	0.311	0.698	0.288	0.032

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	11.2	14.4	0.277	0.471	0.372	0.842	0.342	0.025
#2 David Hamilton	9.3	11.9	0.266	0.411	0.349	0.760	0.312	0.026
#3 Masataka Yoshida	9.2	12.0	0.271	0.388	0.371	0.759	0.312	0.024
#4 Rafael Devers	10.6	14.1	0.291	0.586	0.430	1.016	0.402	0.071
#5 Tyler O’Neill	7.7	10.3	0.252	0.496	0.402	0.898	0.358	0.065
#6 Wilyer Abreu	8.3	10.9	0.264	0.477	0.364	0.841	0.341	0.036
#7 Dominic Smith	7.0	9.4	0.226	0.345	0.356	0.701	0.288	0.023
#8 Reese McGuire	5.8	7.6	0.219	0.312	0.336	0.648	0.269	0.023
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	5.5	7.2	0.246	0.422	0.286	0.708	0.294	0.034

Royals Notable Injuries

Dan Altavilla OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: -0.1

Red Sox Notable Injuries

Justin Slaten OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/09/24. Impact: 1.6
Chris Martin OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/05/24. Impact: 1.4