Royals vs Tigers Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 26th 2024

Get ready to rumble at Comerica Park as the surging Kansas City Royals, just a few strides behind in the American League standings, gear up to face the gritty Detroit Tigers in a midday showdown that’s got all the makings of a classic. With the Royals riding high on a recent victory and the Tigers itching to bounce back from a stumble, today’s clash at 01:10 PM EST under the clear, breezy skies of Detroit is not just about the win but about setting the pace in the conference. The stakes are as tantalizing as the betting lines, with whispers of underdog triumphs and favorite falls stirring the pot. So, as the Royals aim to rule and the Tigers look to claw their way up, expect a royal rumble in the Tiger’s den that’s anything but tame!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 26, 2024 01:10PM EST

Location: Comerica Park, Detroit

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ESE at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 50.0° with 56% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	KC ML	DET ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+102	-122	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+101	-121	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-1	+1	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

86W-164L

49.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

116W-135L

50.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/22/23	Detroit Tigers DET	8	Over	+8.5
05/22/23	Kansas City Royals KC	5	Over	+8.5
05/23/23	Detroit Tigers DET	1	Over	+0.5
05/23/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+0.5
05/24/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Over	+5.5
05/24/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+5.5
06/19/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+5.5
06/19/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Over	+5.5
06/20/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-3.5
06/20/23	Detroit Tigers DET	0	Under	-3.5
06/21/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+8.5
06/21/23	Detroit Tigers DET	9	Over	+8.5
07/17/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Over	+0.5
07/17/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Over	+0.5
07/18/23	Detroit Tigers DET	10	Over	+16.5
07/18/23	Kansas City Royals KC	11	Over	+16.5
07/19/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Over	+0.5
07/19/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Over	+0.5
07/20/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-1.5
07/20/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-1.5
09/26/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+4.5
09/26/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Over	+4.5
09/28/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Over	+3.5
09/28/23	Detroit Tigers DET	8	Over	+3.5
09/28/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+5.5
09/28/23	Detroit Tigers DET	7	Over	+5.5

Royals Vs Over/Under

Tigers Vs Over/Under

Will Smith

ERA 12.375 | IP 8.0 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 7.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-21-24	vsBAL	5-0L	5.3	9	4	1	Under
04-15-24	@CWS	2-0W	7.0	4	0	4	Under
04-10-24	vsHOU	2-11W	6.0	7	2	2	Over
04-04-24	vsCWS	1-10W	6.7	8	1	3	Over
03-30-24	vsMIN	5-1L	6.0	2	0	4	Under
09-26-23	@SF	4-0L	8.7	3	0	7	Under
09-20-23	@COL	2-3W	6.0	7	2	7	Under
09-15-23	@OAK	8-3L	6.0	5	3	7	Over
09-09-23	@HOU	5-7W	4.3	7	6	2	Over
09-03-23	@SF	0-4W	6.0	3	0	4	Under
04-21-24	vsBAL	5-0L	1.0	0	0	0	Under
04-19-24	vsBAL	4-9W	1.0	4	4	1	Over
04-17-24	@CWS	4-2W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
04-12-24	@NYM	1-6L	1.0	4	1	1	Under
04-07-24	vsCWS	3-5W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
04-05-24	vsCWS	1-2W	0.3	1	0	1	Under
04-03-24	@BAL	3-4L	0.7	2	2	1	Under
04-02-24	@BAL	4-1W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
03-30-24	vsMIN	5-1L	1.0	2	4	0	Under
09-29-23	@SEA	0-8W	1.0	0	0	1	Over

Reese Olson

ERA 3.797 | IP 21.3 | 0.0W-3.0L | KO 18.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	@MIN	3-4L	5.0	5	4	4	Under
04-15-24	vsTEX	1-0L	6.3	6	1	8	Under
04-08-24	@PIT	4-7L	4.3	9	6	3	Over
04-01-24	@NYM	5-0W	5.7	3	0	3	Under
09-26-23	vsKC	3-6W	5.7	5	2	7	Over
09-20-23	@LAD	4-2W	6.0	2	1	5	Under
09-14-23	vsCIN	2-8W	6.0	2	1	7	Over
09-08-23	vsCWS	6-0L	6.7	2	2	5	Under
09-02-23	@CWS	10-0W	7.0	4	0	1	Over
08-28-23	vsNYY	4-1L	4.3	3	1	10	Under

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/27	@ TOR	2-1W	3	1	Under
04/26	@ TOR	3-2W	9	0	Under
04/25	@ TOR	3-2W	8	0	Under
04/24	@ TOR	3-5L	8	2	Over
04/23	@ BAL	0-5L	5	0	Under
04/22	@ BAL	6-9L	8	1	Over
04/21	@ BAL	9-4W	9	2	Over
04/19	vs CWS	1-2L	5	0	Under
04/19	vs CWS	4-2W	7	2	Under
04/17	vs CWS	2-0W	5	1	Under
04/16	vs NYM	1-2L	3	1	Under
04/15	vs NYM	11-7W	13	1	Over
04/14	vs NYM	1-6L	3	1	Under
04/13	@ HOU	13-3W	16	2	Over
04/12	@ HOU	11-2W	11	1	Over

Tigers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/26	vs TB	5-7L	7	0	Over
04/25	vs TB	4-2W	6	3	Under
04/24	vs TB	7-1W	11	2	Over
04/23	vs MIN	6-1W	7	1	Under
04/22	vs MIN	3-4L	5	0	Under
04/21	vs MIN	5-4W	12	0	Over
04/20	@ TEX	7-9L	11	0	Over
04/19	@ TEX	4-5L	7	2	Over
04/18	@ TEX	4-2W	5	0	Under
04/17	@ TEX	0-1L	5	0	Under
04/16	@ MIN	4-3W	8	1	Under
04/15	@ MIN	1-4L	4	0	Under
04/15	@ MIN	5-11L	8	1	Over
04/14	@ MIN	8-2W	10	1	Over
04/11	vs PIT	5-3W	9	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Maikel Garcia	7.5	9.9	0.202	0.374	28.3%	65.7%	4.0%
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	9.1	11.7	0.308	0.558	38.5%	94.2%	3.8%
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	7.5	10.1	0.244	0.451	43.9%	89.0%	4.9%
#4 Will Smith	-3.6	10.0	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#4 Salvador Perez	7.2	9.5	0.352	0.626	45.1%	107.7%	7.7%
#5 MJ Melendez	7.8	10.4	0.203	0.418	30.4%	72.2%	5.1%
#6 Michael Massey	6.3	8.4	0.188	0.25	18.8%	43.8%	0.0%
#7 Nelson Velazquez	6.7	8.7	0.243	0.378	33.8%	71.6%	2.7%
#8 Adam Frazier	6.3	8.3	0.2	0.236	40.0%	63.6%	0.0%
#9 Kyle Isbel	6.1	7.6	0.229	0.371	25.7%	62.9%	2.9%

Detroit Tigers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Riley Greene	8.2	11.1	0.244	0.488	48.8%	97.7%	5.8%
#2 Mark Canha	6.9	9.3	0.259	0.519	48.1%	100.0%	6.2%
#3 Spencer Torkelson	6.9	9.2	0.221	0.305	33.7%	64.2%	0.0%
#4 Kerry Carpenter	8.0	10.4	0.289	0.526	35.5%	88.2%	3.9%
#5 Matt Vierling	6.9	8.6	0.273	0.394	30.3%	69.7%	1.5%
#6 Colt Keith	6.6	8.4	0.165	0.177	24.1%	41.8%	0.0%
#7 Javier Baez	5.8	7.5	0.197	0.289	25.0%	53.9%	1.3%
#8 Carson Kelly	5.2	6.8	0.205	0.295	25.0%	54.5%	2.3%
#9 Parker Meadows	4.8	6.5	0.082	0.213	23.0%	44.3%	3.3%