Royals vs Tigers Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 27th 2024

Get ready to rumble at Comerica Park where the surging Kansas City Royals, just a whisker behind in the American League chase, are set to clash with the Detroit Tigers, who are looking to claw their way up the standings. It’s a sunny showdown with a brisk southern breeze setting the stage at 62.6°—perfect baseball weather for an early evening game. The Royals, fresh off a dominating performance, are looking to keep the momentum, while the Tigers, stung by their recent shutout, are hungry for redemption. With the betting lines nearly neck and neck and the over/under teasing an 8-run game, tonight’s matchup promises fireworks. So, as the Royals aim to rule their jungle and the Tigers sharpen their stripes, let’s see who really earns their stripes on the diamond!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 27, 2024 06:10PM EST

Location: Comerica Park, Detroit

Weather: Sunny with winds from the S at 15.0 mph. Temperature is at 62.6° with 83% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	KC ML	DET ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-107	-113	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-102	-118	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+5	-5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

87W-164L

50.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

116W-136L

49.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/26/24	Kansas City Royals KC	8	Push	-0.0
04/26/24	Detroit Tigers DET	0	Push	-0.0
05/22/23	Detroit Tigers DET	8	Over	+5.0
05/22/23	Kansas City Royals KC	5	Over	+5.0
05/23/23	Detroit Tigers DET	1	Under	-3.0
05/23/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-3.0
05/24/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Over	+2.0
05/24/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+2.0
06/19/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+2.0
06/19/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Over	+2.0
06/20/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-7.0
06/20/23	Detroit Tigers DET	0	Under	-7.0
06/21/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+5.0
06/21/23	Detroit Tigers DET	9	Over	+5.0
07/17/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-3.0
07/17/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-3.0
07/18/23	Detroit Tigers DET	10	Over	+13.0
07/18/23	Kansas City Royals KC	11	Over	+13.0
07/19/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-3.0
07/19/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-3.0
07/20/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-5.0
07/20/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-5.0
09/26/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+1.0
09/26/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Over	+1.0
09/28/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Push	-0.0
09/28/23	Detroit Tigers DET	8	Push	-0.0
09/28/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+2.0
09/28/23	Detroit Tigers DET	7	Over	+2.0

Royals Vs Over/Under

Tigers Vs Over/Under

Will Smith

ERA 11.0 | IP 9.0 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 7.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-22-24	vsTOR	5-3L	6.0	5	5	5	Push
04-17-24	@CWS	4-2W	5.0	3	2	5	Under
04-11-24	vsHOU	3-13W	5.0	5	1	4	Over
04-05-24	vsCWS	1-2W	6.3	2	1	4	Under
03-31-24	vsMIN	0-11W	7.0	3	0	10	Over
09-18-23	vsCLE	4-6W	6.0	8	4	4	Over
09-12-23	@CWS	2-6L	5.3	9	6	2	Push
09-05-23	vsCWS	6-7W	5.0	9	6	2	Over
08-25-23	@SEA	5-7L	4.0	9	4	6	Over
08-19-23	@CHC	4-6L	3.7	9	6	3	Over
04-26-24	@DET	8-0W	1.0	1	0	0	Push
04-21-24	vsBAL	5-0L	1.0	0	0	0	Under
04-19-24	vsBAL	4-9W	1.0	4	4	1	Over
04-17-24	@CWS	4-2W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
04-12-24	@NYM	1-6L	1.0	4	1	1	Under
04-07-24	vsCWS	3-5W	1.0	1	0	1	Push
04-05-24	vsCWS	1-2W	0.3	1	0	1	Under
04-03-24	@BAL	3-4L	0.7	2	2	1	Under
04-02-24	@BAL	4-1W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
03-30-24	vsMIN	5-1L	1.0	2	4	0	Under

Casey Mize

ERA 2.953 | IP 21.3 | 1.0W-0.0L | KO 16.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-21-24	@MIN	6-1W	6.0	5	0	4	Under
04-16-24	vsTEX	2-4W	6.0	5	2	6	Under
04-09-24	@PIT	5-3W	5.0	5	2	2	Push
04-04-24	@NYM	6-3W	4.3	5	3	4	Over
04-14-22	@KC	6-3W	5.0	6	2	2	Over
04-09-22	@CWS	6-3W	5.0	7	4	2	Over
09-29-21	@MIN	6-3W	4.0	5	3	4	Over
09-24-21	@KC	6-3W	3.0	2	1	3	Over
09-17-21	@TB	6-3W	3.0	3	1	3	Over
09-11-21	@TB	6-3W	2.0	3	3	2	Over

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/28	vs DET	8-0W	7	0	Push
04/27	@ TOR	2-1W	3	1	Under
04/26	@ TOR	3-2W	9	0	Under
04/25	@ TOR	3-2W	8	0	Under
04/24	@ TOR	3-5L	8	2	Push
04/23	@ BAL	0-5L	5	0	Under
04/22	@ BAL	6-9L	8	1	Over
04/21	@ BAL	9-4W	9	2	Over
04/19	vs CWS	1-2L	5	0	Under
04/19	vs CWS	4-2W	7	2	Under
04/17	vs CWS	2-0W	5	1	Under
04/16	vs NYM	1-2L	3	1	Under
04/15	vs NYM	11-7W	13	1	Over
04/14	vs NYM	1-6L	3	1	Under
04/13	@ HOU	13-3W	16	2	Over

Tigers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/28	@ KC	0-8L	5	0	Push
04/26	vs TB	5-7L	7	0	Over
04/25	vs TB	4-2W	6	3	Under
04/24	vs TB	7-1W	11	2	Push
04/23	vs MIN	6-1W	7	1	Under
04/22	vs MIN	3-4L	5	0	Under
04/21	vs MIN	5-4W	12	0	Over
04/20	@ TEX	7-9L	11	0	Over
04/19	@ TEX	4-5L	7	2	Over
04/18	@ TEX	4-2W	5	0	Under
04/17	@ TEX	0-1L	5	0	Under
04/16	@ MIN	4-3W	8	1	Under
04/15	@ MIN	1-4L	4	0	Under
04/15	@ MIN	5-11L	8	1	Over
04/14	@ MIN	8-2W	10	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Maikel Garcia	7.6	10.1	0.214	0.379	30.1%	68.0%	3.9%
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	9.9	12.7	0.306	0.565	38.0%	94.4%	3.7%
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	7.4	10.0	0.233	0.43	41.9%	84.9%	4.7%
#4 Will Smith	-1.7	11.6	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#4 Salvador Perez	7.9	10.4	0.344	0.604	43.8%	104.2%	7.3%
#5 MJ Melendez	6.7	9.0	0.198	0.407	30.9%	71.6%	4.9%
#6 Michael Massey	6.1	8.2	0.158	0.211	15.8%	36.8%	0.0%
#7 Nelson Velazquez	7.1	9.3	0.234	0.364	33.8%	70.1%	2.6%
#8 Adam Frazier	5.7	7.5	0.207	0.241	41.4%	65.5%	0.0%
#9 Kyle Isbel	5.6	7.1	0.236	0.375	29.2%	66.7%	2.8%

Detroit Tigers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Riley Greene	8.1	11.0	0.233	0.467	46.7%	93.3%	5.6%
#2 Mark Canha	7.8	10.4	0.271	0.518	48.2%	100.0%	5.9%
#3 Spencer Torkelson	7.1	9.4	0.222	0.303	33.3%	63.6%	0.0%
#4 Kerry Carpenter	8.0	10.3	0.278	0.506	34.2%	84.8%	3.8%
#5 Matt Vierling	6.8	8.5	0.271	0.386	30.0%	68.6%	1.4%
#6 Colt Keith	6.7	8.5	0.171	0.183	25.6%	43.9%	0.0%
#7 Javier Baez	5.7	7.4	0.19	0.278	25.3%	53.2%	1.3%
#8 Jake Rogers	5.5	7.3	0.125	0.188	22.9%	41.7%	2.1%
#9 Parker Meadows	5.2	7.0	0.079	0.206	22.2%	42.9%	3.2%