Royals vs Astros Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Minute Maid Park as the Kansas City Royals, hovering just shy of the top spot in their conference, gear up to take on the equally ambitious Houston Astros. It’s a neck-and-neck race with the Royals at 75-61, just a whisker behind in the standings, while the Astros at 74-62 hold their ground, making today’s 2:10 PM EST game a critical pivot in the American League leaderboard. With the stakes mirrored in their recent face-off where the Astros clinched a 4-2 victory, and the Vegas lines buzzing with a 9.0 over/under, it’s clear we’re in for some major league drama. The Houston sky promises a partly cloudy day with a breeze, setting the perfect stage for what’s sure to be a royal clash with a dash of astro-nomical excitement!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 01, 2024 02:10PM EST

Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the ENE at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 77.5° with 100% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	KC ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+140	-168	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+135	-161	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-5	+7	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

116W-192L

42.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

180W-124L

57.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/09/24	Houston Astros HOU	3	Under	-2.0
04/09/24	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-2.0
04/10/24	Houston Astros HOU	2	Over	+4.0
04/10/24	Kansas City Royals KC	11	Over	+4.0
04/11/24	Houston Astros HOU	3	Over	+7.0
04/11/24	Kansas City Royals KC	13	Over	+7.0
08/29/24	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Push	-0.0
08/29/24	Houston Astros HOU	6	Push	-0.0
08/30/24	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-4.0
08/30/24	Houston Astros HOU	3	Under	-4.0
08/31/24	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-2.0
08/31/24	Houston Astros HOU	5	Under	-2.0
09/15/23	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-3.0
09/15/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-3.0
09/16/23	Houston Astros HOU	8	Over	+9.0
09/16/23	Kansas City Royals KC	10	Over	+9.0
09/17/23	Houston Astros HOU	7	Under	-1.0
09/17/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-1.0
09/22/23	Kansas City Royals KC	7	Over	+3.0
09/22/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Over	+3.0
09/23/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Under	-4.0
09/23/23	Houston Astros HOU	2	Under	-4.0
09/24/23	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Over	+2.0
09/24/23	Houston Astros HOU	5	Over	+2.0

Royals Vs Over/Under

Astros Vs Over/Under

Alec Marsh

ERA 4.67 | IP 106.0 | 7.0W-7.0L | KO 95.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-26-24	@CLE	9-4W	4.7	5	4	2	Over
07-29-24	@CWS	8-5W	4.7	6	2	3	Over
07-23-24	vsARI	6-2L	5.0	5	5	6	Under
07-19-24	vsCWS	1-7W	1.0	2	0	1	Under
07-10-24	@STL	6-4W	6.0	3	3	8	Over
07-04-24	vsTB	10-8L	3.0	6	5	1	Over
06-28-24	vsCLE	3-10W	6.0	4	1	5	Over
06-23-24	@TEX	0-4L	5.7	8	3	4	Under
06-18-24	@OAK	5-7L	3.0	7	7	4	Over
06-13-24	vsNYY	3-4W	7.0	1	0	7	Under

Ronel Blanco

ERA 3.146 | IP 137.3 | 9.0W-5.0L | KO 136.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-26-24	@PHI	2-3L	5.7	7	2	5	Under
08-20-24	vsBOS	6-5L	3.7	6	5	6	Over
08-14-24	@TB	2-1W	6.0	2	0	4	Under
08-09-24	@BOS	8-4W	4.0	4	3	5	Over
08-03-24	vsTB	6-1L	5.0	6	2	7	Under
07-27-24	vsLAD	6-7W	4.3	3	4	9	Over
07-21-24	@SEA	4-6L	5.7	6	4	5	Over
07-09-24	vsMIA	3-4W	7.0	4	2	7	Under
07-03-24	@TOR	9-2W	5.7	4	2	4	Over
06-28-24	@NYM	2-7L	5.7	6	6	5	Over

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/02	vs HOU	2-4L	7	1	Under
09/01	vs HOU	2-3L	2	1	Under
08/31	vs HOU	3-6L	4	0	Over
08/30	vs CLE	5-7L	11	3	Over
08/29	vs CLE	6-1W	9	1	Under
08/28	vs CLE	4-3W	6	2	Under
08/28	vs CLE	9-4W	15	3	Over
08/27	@ PHI	3-11L	10	3	Over
08/26	@ PHI	2-11L	5	0	Over
08/25	@ PHI	7-4W	12	2	Over
08/23	@ LAA	3-0W	8	1	Under
08/22	@ LAA	5-9L	12	0	Over
08/21	@ LAA	5-3W	9	1	Under
08/20	vs CIN	8-1W	13	1	Over
08/19	vs CIN	13-1W	15	2	Over

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/02	@ KC	4-2W	5	0	Under
09/01	@ KC	3-2W	10	1	Under
08/31	@ KC	6-3W	8	0	Over
08/30	vs PHI	10-0W	18	4	Over
08/29	vs PHI	0-5L	6	0	Under
08/28	vs PHI	2-3L	8	0	Under
08/27	vs BAL	6-3W	10	2	Over
08/26	vs BAL	2-3L	6	2	Under
08/25	vs BAL	5-7L	10	2	Over
08/24	vs BAL	6-0W	8	0	Under
08/23	@ BOS	1-4L	8	1	Under
08/22	@ BOS	5-6L	7	2	Over
08/21	@ BOS	5-4W	13	1	Over
08/20	@ CWS	2-0W	5	2	Under
08/19	@ CWS	6-1W	13	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Tommy Pham	7.6	9.7	0.254	0.380	0.356	0.737	0.302	0.021
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	8.4	11.0	0.341	0.616	0.435	1.052	0.421	0.054
#3 Michael Massey	7.3	9.5	0.268	0.468	0.312	0.780	0.323	0.044
#4 Salvador Perez	7.4	9.8	0.275	0.474	0.370	0.844	0.344	0.049
#5 MJ Melendez	7.8	10.2	0.214	0.423	0.296	0.718	0.296	0.048
#6 Freddy Fermin	6.5	8.3	0.292	0.405	0.366	0.771	0.317	0.021
#8 Maikel Garcia	5.3	6.8	0.240	0.346	0.311	0.656	0.272	0.014
#9 Kyle Isbel	5.5	7.2	0.234	0.378	0.306	0.684	0.283	0.022

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	11.1	14.2	0.297	0.442	0.381	0.823	0.336	0.034
#2 Yordan Alvarez	11.7	15.3	0.315	0.564	0.466	1.030	0.405	0.060
#3 Yainer Diaz	9.0	11.6	0.301	0.456	0.344	0.801	0.330	0.033
#4 Jeremy Pena	8.7	11.2	0.270	0.406	0.337	0.744	0.308	0.028
#5 Ben Gamel	8.2	10.8	0.304	0.411	0.482	0.893	0.352	0.018
#6 Jon Singleton	6.6	8.6	0.238	0.373	0.363	0.736	0.300	0.036
#7 Jake Meyers	6.7	8.8	0.223	0.366	0.318	0.684	0.283	0.028
#8 Shay Whitcomb	5.7	7.5	0.250	0.357	0.429	0.786	0.315	0.000
#9 Mauricio Dubon	6.0	7.7	0.257	0.358	0.301	0.660	0.276	0.012

Royals Notable Injuries

Michael Lorenzen OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/29/24. Impact: 4.5
Vinnie Pasquantino OUT (1B): Avg: 0.262 SLG:0.447 Last game: 08/31/24. Impact: 2.9
Hunter Renfroe OUT (OF): Avg: 0.233 SLG:0.397 Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 2.6
Hunter Harvey OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/06/24. Impact: 0.4
Will Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: -0.2