Royals vs Twins Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at Target Field tonight as the Kansas City Royals, sitting pretty with a 34-22 record, roll into town to clash with the Minnesota Twins, who aren’t too far behind at 30-24. It’s a showdown under the clear evening skies at 07:40 PM EST, where the stakes are as high as the humidity—67%, to be exact. With the Royals looking to close a 3.5-game gap and the Twins aiming to chop down their 6.5-game deficit in the American League standings, the tension’s as thick as Minnesota’s famous hotdish. Fresh off a head-to-head where the Twins took the spoils, both teams are set to battle it out again with the betting lines tilting slightly in favor of the home team. So, as the sun sets and the lights blaze, let’s see if the Royals can crown their efforts with a win or if the Twins will double down to split the series. Tonight, it’s all about kings and twins, but only one will rule the realm!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 29, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 59.0° with 67% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	KC ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+113	-135	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+115	-138	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+2	-3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

95W-173L

46.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

143W-120L

53.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/28/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-2.5
03/28/24	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-2.5
03/30/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Under	-1.5
03/30/24	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-1.5
03/31/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Over	+3.5
03/31/24	Kansas City Royals KC	11	Over	+3.5
05/27/24	Kansas City Royals KC	5	Over	+3.5
05/27/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+3.5
05/28/24	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-1.5
05/28/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-1.5
03/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-5.5
03/30/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-5.5
04/01/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-5.5
04/01/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-5.5
04/02/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+3.5
04/02/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+3.5
04/27/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Over	+0.5
04/27/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+0.5
04/28/23	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Over	+6.5
04/28/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+6.5
04/29/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Under	-2.5
04/29/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.5
04/30/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+4.5
04/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+4.5
07/03/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+4.5
07/03/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+4.5
07/04/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+4.5
07/04/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	9	Over	+4.5
07/05/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-2.5
07/05/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Under	-2.5
07/28/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+5.5
07/28/23	Kansas City Royals KC	8	Over	+5.5
07/29/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+9.5
07/29/23	Kansas City Royals KC	10	Over	+9.5
07/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-4.5
07/30/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-4.5

Royals Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Will Smith

ERA 7.163 | IP 16.3 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 10.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-24-24	@TB	8-1W	7.0	4	1	3	Over
05-18-24	vsOAK	3-5W	5.7	6	2	10	Over
05-12-24	@LAA	4-2W	8.0	5	1	12	Under
05-07-24	vsMIL	6-5L	6.7	6	3	5	Over
05-01-24	@TOR	6-1W	7.0	2	1	8	Under
04-26-24	@DET	8-0W	7.0	3	0	9	Over
04-21-24	vsBAL	5-0L	5.3	9	4	1	Under
04-15-24	@CWS	2-0W	7.0	4	0	4	Under
04-10-24	vsHOU	2-11W	6.0	7	2	2	Over
04-04-24	vsCWS	1-10W	6.7	8	1	3	Over
05-26-24	@TB	1-4L	1.0	1	0	1	Under
05-22-24	vsDET	3-8W	0.7	2	2	0	Over
05-19-24	vsOAK	4-8W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
05-15-24	@SEA	2-4L	1.0	0	0	0	Under
05-10-24	@LAA	2-1W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
05-08-24	vsMIL	4-6W	0.7	0	0	0	Over
05-06-24	vsMIL	2-3W	0.7	0	0	0	Under
05-04-24	vsTEX	15-4L	1.0	0	0	0	Over
04-28-24	@DET	1-4L	0.3	0	0	0	Under
04-26-24	@DET	8-0W	1.0	1	0	0	Over

Bailey Ober

ERA 4.327 | IP 52.0 | 5.0W-2.0L | KO 54.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-24-24	vsTEX	2-3W	5.0	4	2	5	Under
05-18-24	@CLE	4-11L	4.0	8	5	4	Over
05-12-24	@TOR	5-1W	6.3	1	0	10	Under
05-07-24	vsSEA	10-6L	5.0	3	2	7	Over
05-01-24	@CWS	10-5W	6.0	6	4	3	Over
04-26-24	@LAA	5-3W	7.3	3	2	8	Over
04-20-24	vsDET	3-4W	6.0	2	1	6	Under
04-14-24	@DET	3-4L	6.0	3	0	3	Under
04-08-24	vsLAD	4-2L	5.0	3	1	7	Under
03-31-24	@KC	0-11L	1.3	9	8	1	Over

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/30	vs MIN	2-4L	5	0	Under
05/29	vs MIN	5-6L	10	0	Over
05/28	vs TB	1-4L	7	1	Under
05/27	vs TB	7-4W	11	1	Over
05/26	vs TB	8-1W	12	2	Over
05/24	@ DET	8-3W	9	1	Over
05/23	@ DET	10-3W	15	3	Over
05/22	@ DET	8-3W	11	2	Over
05/21	@ OAK	8-4W	9	0	Over
05/20	@ OAK	5-3W	11	1	Over
05/19	@ OAK	6-2W	11	2	Over
05/17	vs SEA	2-4L	6	0	Under
05/16	vs SEA	4-2W	5	1	Under
05/15	vs SEA	2-6L	6	0	Over
05/14	vs LAA	4-2W	11	0	Under

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/30	@ KC	4-2W	11	0	Under
05/29	@ KC	6-5W	7	2	Over
05/28	@ TEX	2-6L	3	0	Over
05/27	@ TEX	5-3W	7	1	Over
05/26	@ TEX	3-2W	10	1	Under
05/24	vs WAS	3-2W	7	2	Under
05/23	vs WAS	10-0W	10	4	Over
05/22	vs WAS	3-12L	8	1	Over
05/21	vs CLE	2-5L	4	1	Under
05/20	vs CLE	4-11L	10	0	Over
05/19	vs CLE	2-3L	4	1	Under
05/18	@ NYY	0-5L	3	0	Under
05/17	@ NYY	0-4L	4	0	Under
05/16	@ NYY	1-5L	7	1	Under
05/14	vs TOR	5-1W	6	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Maikel Garcia	7.3	9.5	0.265	0.412	33.2%	74.3%	2.2%
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	9.0	11.8	0.303	0.548	40.3%	95.0%	4.1%
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	6.8	9.2	0.224	0.388	36.1%	74.9%	2.7%
#4 Will Smith	3.3	12.6	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#4 Salvador Perez	7.2	9.4	0.322	0.518	42.2%	94.0%	4.5%
#5 Adam Frazier	6.0	7.8	0.218	0.282	35.5%	63.6%	0.9%
#6 Nelson Velazquez	7.3	9.6	0.217	0.368	31.6%	68.4%	3.3%
#7 MJ Melendez	5.8	7.6	0.178	0.336	25.7%	59.2%	2.6%
#8 Hunter Renfroe	5.6	7.7	0.167	0.299	27.8%	57.6%	2.8%
#9 Kyle Isbel	4.9	6.3	0.219	0.343	28.5%	62.8%	2.9%

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Trevor Larnach	6.3	8.3	0.27	0.427	37.1%	79.8%	4.5%
#2 Carlos Correa	7.9	10.4	0.269	0.454	40.8%	86.2%	3.1%
#3 Max Kepler	7.0	9.2	0.294	0.513	39.5%	90.8%	3.4%
#4 Ryan Jeffers	7.2	9.7	0.252	0.509	38.7%	89.6%	6.1%
#5 Alex Kirilloff	6.1	8.1	0.215	0.415	31.1%	72.6%	3.7%
#6 Byron Buxton	8.0	10.4	0.254	0.426	33.6%	76.2%	2.5%
#7 Willi Castro	5.9	7.6	0.249	0.409	36.5%	77.3%	2.2%
#8 Edouard Julien	5.5	7.3	0.212	0.381	36.2%	74.4%	4.4%
#9 Jose Miranda	5.6	7.2	0.278	0.46	32.5%	78.6%	4.0%