Royals vs Twins Game Breakdown
Royals
65W-52L
August 12, 2024
07:40PM EST
Odds: 8.0 o/u
Twins
64W-52L
Get ready to slide into some serious MLB action as the Kansas City Royals gallop into Target Field, ready to duke it out with the Minnesota Twins under a sky that’s just as undecided as this season’s standings. With both teams neck-and-neck in the American League chase, tonight’s showdown at 07:40 PM EST is anything but ordinary. The Royals, riding high off their latest victory, are set to clash with the Twins, who are itching to bounce back from a recent stumble. The stakes? Just a breezy evening with a hint of rain, whispers of wind, and the buzz of fans betting on an over/under that promises a tight game. So, as the Royals try to ‘royally’ outmaneuver the Twins, and Minnesota aims to ‘twin’ their way to redemption, it’s clear we’re in for a match where only the bravest reign supreme!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: August 12, 2024 07:40PM EST
Location: Target Field, Minnesota
Weather: Patchy rain nearby with winds from the N at 3.1 mph. Temperature is at 78.4° with 37% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| KC ML | MIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +126 | -150 | 8.0 | 0.5/-0.5 |
| Recent | +139 | -165 | 8.5 | 0.5/-0.5 |
| Difference | +13 | -15 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance
41.8% Win Probability
58.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/28/24 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 4 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 1 | ||||
| 03/30/24 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 5 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 1 | ||||
| 03/31/24 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 0 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 11 | ||||
| 05/27/24 | Kansas City Royals KC | 5 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 6 | ||||
| 05/28/24 | Kansas City Royals KC | 2 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 4 | ||||
| 05/29/24 | Kansas City Royals KC | 6 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 1 | ||||
| 05/30/24 | Kansas City Royals KC | 6 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 7 | ||||
| 03/30/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 2 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 0 | ||||
| 04/01/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 2 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 0 | ||||
| 04/02/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 7 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 4 | ||||
| 04/27/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 1 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 7 | ||||
| 04/28/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 6 | Over | +6.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 8 | ||||
| 04/29/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 3 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 2 | ||||
| 04/30/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 4 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 8 | ||||
| 07/03/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 4 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 8 | ||||
| 07/04/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 3 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 9 | ||||
| 07/05/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 0 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 5 | ||||
| 07/28/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 5 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 8 | ||||
| 07/29/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 7 | Over | +9.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 10 | ||||
| 07/30/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 1 | Under | -5.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 2 |
Royals Vs Over/Under
Twins Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05-24 | vsBOS | 9-5L | 5.7 | 10 | 4 | 6 | Over |
| 07-31-24 | @CWS | 10-3W | 7.0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | Over |
| 07-26-24 | vsCHC | 0-6W | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | Under |
| 07-20-24 | vsCWS | 1-6W | 7.0 | 5 | 0 | 7 | Under |
| 07-07-24 | @COL | 10-1W | 7.0 | 6 | 1 | 7 | Over |
| 07-02-24 | vsTB | 5-1L | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 06-26-24 | vsMIA | 1-5W | 7.3 | 5 | 1 | 5 | Under |
| 06-21-24 | @TEX | 2-6L | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 06-16-24 | @LAD | 0-3L | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | Under |
| 06-11-24 | vsNYY | 10-1L | 5.7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | Over |
| 08-09-24 | vsSTL | 8-5L | 0.3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | Over |
| 08-07-24 | vsBOS | 4-8W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Over |
| 08-06-24 | vsBOS | 6-5L | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Over |
| 08-04-24 | @DET | 3-2W | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 08-01-24 | @DET | 7-1W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Under |
| 07-29-24 | @CWS | 8-5W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Over |
| 07-26-24 | vsCHC | 0-6W | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Under |
| 07-22-24 | vsARI | 4-10W | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Over |
| 07-10-24 | @STL | 6-4W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Over |
| 07-04-24 | vsTB | 10-8L | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06-24 | @CHC | 3-7L | 5.0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | Over |
| 07-31-24 | @NYM | 8-3W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | Over |
| 07-26-24 | @DET | 9-3W | 7.0 | 6 | 2 | 7 | Over |
| 07-20-24 | vsMIL | 8-4L | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | Over |
| 07-10-24 | @CWS | 3-2W | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | Under |
| 07-05-24 | vsHOU | 13-12L | 5.0 | 8 | 6 | 6 | Over |
| 06-29-24 | @SEA | 5-1W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | Under |
| 06-23-24 | @OAK | 3-0W | 8.0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | Under |
| 06-18-24 | vsTB | 6-7W | 4.0 | 7 | 5 | 3 | Over |
| 06-12-24 | vsCOL | 9-17W | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | Over |
Royals Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12 | @ STL | 8-3W | 12 | 1 | Over |
| 08/11 | @ STL | 5-8L | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 08/09 | @ BOS | 8-4W | 7 | 3 | Over |
| 08/08 | @ BOS | 5-6L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 08/07 | @ BOS | 5-9L | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 08/06 | vs DET | 3-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 08/05 | vs DET | 5-6L | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 08/04 | vs DET | 9-2W | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 08/03 | vs DET | 7-1W | 10 | 3 | Under |
| 08/02 | vs CWS | 10-3W | 16 | 2 | Over |
| 08/01 | vs CWS | 4-3W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 07/31 | vs CWS | 8-5W | 15 | 3 | Over |
| 07/30 | @ CHC | 3-7L | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 07/29 | @ CHC | 4-9L | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 07/28 | @ CHC | 6-0W | 10 | 1 | Under |
Twins Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/13 | @ CLE | 3-5L | 11 | 2 | Under |
| 08/12 | @ CLE | 1-2L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 08/11 | @ CLE | 6-3W | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 08/11 | @ CLE | 4-2W | 8 | 2 | Under |
| 08/09 | vs CHC | 2-8L | 6 | 0 | Over |
| 08/08 | vs CHC | 3-7L | 3 | 2 | Over |
| 08/07 | vs CHC | 3-0W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 08/06 | @ CWS | 13-7W | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 08/05 | @ CWS | 6-2W | 8 | 2 | Under |
| 08/04 | @ CWS | 10-2W | 9 | 3 | Over |
| 08/02 | vs NYM | 8-3W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 08/01 | vs NYM | 0-2L | 2 | 0 | Under |
| 07/31 | vs NYM | 2-15L | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 07/30 | vs DET | 5-0W | 12 | 0 | Under |
| 07/29 | vs DET | 2-7L | 6 | 1 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
| Kansas City Royals | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0 | 9.3 | 0.265 | 0.485 | 0.310 | 0.795 | 0.329 | 0.050 | |
| 9.0 | 11.7 | 0.346 | 0.605 | 0.434 | 1.038 | 0.416 | 0.047 | |
| 7.4 | 9.9 | 0.264 | 0.454 | 0.356 | 0.810 | 0.331 | 0.040 | |
| 7.6 | 10.0 | 0.278 | 0.468 | 0.375 | 0.843 | 0.343 | 0.048 | |
| 6.9 | 9.2 | 0.229 | 0.395 | 0.339 | 0.734 | 0.301 | 0.037 | |
|
#5
Will Smith
|
4.7 | 9.7 | nan | nan | nan | nan | 0.000 | nan |
|
#6
MJ Melendez
|
6.5 | 8.6 | 0.201 | 0.396 | 0.289 | 0.685 | 0.283 | 0.044 |
| 5.7 | 7.3 | 0.298 | 0.421 | 0.377 | 0.798 | 0.327 | 0.026 | |
| 5.6 | 7.3 | 0.239 | 0.346 | 0.309 | 0.654 | 0.271 | 0.013 | |
|
#9
Kyle Isbel
|
5.4 | 7.0 | 0.230 | 0.380 | 0.310 | 0.690 | 0.284 | 0.026 |
| Minnesota Twins | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Willi Castro
|
8.1 | 10.5 | 0.263 | 0.407 | 0.393 | 0.800 | 0.325 | 0.019 |
| 7.4 | 9.8 | 0.242 | 0.414 | 0.357 | 0.770 | 0.314 | 0.045 | |
|
#3
Royce Lewis
|
7.9 | 10.7 | 0.265 | 0.640 | 0.397 | 1.037 | 0.412 | 0.103 |
|
#4
Matt Wallner
|
8.7 | 11.8 | 0.281 | 0.640 | 0.494 | 1.135 | 0.438 | 0.079 |
|
#5
Byron Buxton
|
7.5 | 9.9 | 0.278 | 0.533 | 0.371 | 0.904 | 0.368 | 0.053 |
|
#6
Max Kepler
|
7.4 | 9.6 | 0.268 | 0.409 | 0.348 | 0.757 | 0.312 | 0.022 |
|
#7
Ryan Jeffers
|
5.9 | 7.9 | 0.230 | 0.454 | 0.355 | 0.809 | 0.330 | 0.056 |
| 6.6 | 8.7 | 0.247 | 0.426 | 0.373 | 0.799 | 0.324 | 0.040 | |
| 4.9 | 6.4 | 0.234 | 0.329 | 0.342 | 0.671 | 0.277 | 0.006 |
Royals Notable Injuries
- Hunter Harvey OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/06/24. Impact: 0.4
- John Schreiber OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/30/24. Impact: 0.5
Twins Notable Injuries
- Joe Ryan OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 7.6
- Carlos Correa OUT (SS): Avg: 0.308 SLG:0.52 Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 4.1
- Brooks Lee OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.263 SLG:0.347 Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 2.1
- Brock Stewart OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 0.4
- Kody Funderburk OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 0.6
- Steven Okert OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/06/24. Impact: 0.1
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