Royals vs Pirates Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some midday MLB action as the Kansas City Royals, boasting a solid 81-66 record, gallop into PNC Park to clash with the Pittsburgh Pirates, who are trying to find their treasure map at 70-77. The stakes are high with the Royals just a couple of games shy of the top in the American League, while the Pirates are struggling to make waves in the National League. With the first pitch at 01:05 PM EST and the sun shining bright over the field, the weather gods are smiling down with perfect baseball temps. Betting enthusiasts are eyeing the over/under at 8.0, hinting at a potentially tight scoreboard. Fresh off a victory, the Royals are looking to keep their swords sharp against the Pirates, who’ll be eager to turn the tides after yesterday’s skirmish. So, as the Royals aim to rule the seas and the Pirates seek to defend their cove, expect nothing less than a royal clash with pirate flair!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 14, 2024 01:05PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ESE at 7.6 mph. Temperature is at 80.1° with 47% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	KC ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-112	-108	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-175	+135	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-63	+243	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

118W-195L

63.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

146W-170L

36.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/13/24	Kansas City Royals KC	8	Over	+3.0
09/13/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+3.0
08/28/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Under	-3.0
08/28/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-3.0
08/29/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+1.0
08/29/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+1.0
08/30/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-3.0
08/30/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-3.0

Royals Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Will Smith

ERA 6.471 | IP 40.3 | 0.0W-4.0L | KO 27.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-08-24	vsMIN	0-2W	7.0	4	0	7	Under
09-02-24	vsCLE	4-2L	5.0	5	2	3	Under
08-28-24	@CLE	5-7L	6.0	9	5	7	Over
08-23-24	vsPHI	4-7W	6.0	6	2	5	Over
08-17-24	@CIN	13-1W	6.0	4	0	9	Over
08-10-24	vsSTL	3-8W	7.0	5	2	6	Over
08-04-24	@DET	3-2W	6.0	7	2	2	Under
07-30-24	@CWS	4-3W	7.0	5	2	5	Under
07-24-24	vsARI	8-6L	4.7	6	3	1	Over
07-19-24	vsCWS	1-7W	7.0	4	0	7	Over
08-25-24	vsPHI	11-3L	1.0	4	5	1	Over
08-24-24	vsPHI	11-2L	1.0	3	2	2	Over
08-20-24	vsLAA	9-5L	1.0	1	2	1	Over
08-13-24	@MIN	3-13L	1.3	3	3	1	Over
08-09-24	vsSTL	8-5L	0.3	1	2	0	Over
08-07-24	vsBOS	4-8W	1.0	0	0	0	Over
08-06-24	vsBOS	6-5L	1.0	0	0	1	Over
08-04-24	@DET	3-2W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
08-01-24	@DET	7-1W	1.0	0	0	2	Over
07-29-24	@CWS	8-5W	1.0	0	0	0	Over

Mitch Keller

ERA 3.809 | IP 160.7 | 11.0W-9.0L | KO 150.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-07-24	vsWAS	8-6L	6.0	7	2	8	Over
09-01-24	@CLE	1-6L	5.3	11	4	7	Under
08-26-24	vsCHC	18-8L	4.0	7	3	4	Over
08-20-24	@TEX	4-0W	7.0	3	0	9	Under
08-14-24	@SD	2-8L	5.0	8	8	2	Over
08-09-24	@LAD	5-9L	4.0	7	7	5	Over
08-03-24	vsARI	2-4W	4.0	1	0	4	Under
07-28-24	@ARI	6-5W	7.0	2	2	6	Over
07-22-24	vsSTL	1-2W	7.0	6	1	3	Under
07-08-24	vsNYM	2-8W	8.0	7	2	6	Over

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/15	vs PIT	8-3W	8	3	Over
09/13	vs NYY	3-4L	8	1	Under
09/12	vs NYY	5-0W	11	1	Under
09/11	vs NYY	4-10L	7	2	Over
09/10	@ MIN	2-0W	6	0	Under
09/09	@ MIN	4-2W	6	0	Under
09/08	@ MIN	5-0W	10	1	Under
09/06	@ CLE	4-1W	10	1	Under
09/05	@ CLE	1-7L	4	0	Over
09/04	@ CLE	2-4L	2	0	Under
09/03	vs HOU	2-7L	7	1	Over
09/02	vs HOU	2-4L	7	1	Under
09/01	vs HOU	2-3L	2	1	Under
08/31	vs HOU	3-6L	4	0	Over
08/30	vs CLE	5-7L	11	3	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/15	@ KC	3-8L	9	0	Over
09/13	@ MIA	3-1W	6	1	Under
09/12	@ MIA	6-4W	8	1	Over
09/11	@ MIA	3-2W	7	1	Under
09/10	@ WAS	7-3W	12	3	Over
09/09	@ WAS	6-8L	11	0	Over
09/09	@ WAS	3-4L	5	1	Under
09/07	@ WAS	9-4W	8	0	Over
09/06	vs CHC	0-12L	0	0	Over
09/05	vs CHC	5-0W	8	1	Under
09/04	vs CHC	5-3W	8	2	Over
09/03	vs CLE	1-6L	2	0	Under
09/02	vs CLE	3-0W	9	0	Under
09/01	vs CLE	8-10L	12	2	Over
08/30	@ CHC	10-14L	16	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Tommy Pham	8.4	10.8	0.261	0.392	0.358	0.750	0.307	0.024
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	10.5	13.7	0.332	0.596	0.424	1.020	0.409	0.051
#3 Salvador Perez	7.3	9.6	0.279	0.476	0.379	0.855	0.348	0.049
#4 Michael Massey	7.7	10.0	0.255	0.451	0.304	0.755	0.313	0.045
#5 Freddy Fermin	7.5	9.6	0.285	0.388	0.359	0.748	0.308	0.019
#6 MJ Melendez	6.8	9.0	0.207	0.404	0.295	0.699	0.289	0.044
#6 Will Smith	3.4	8.5	nan	nan	nan	nan	0.000	nan
#7 Adam Frazier	6.2	8.1	0.203	0.282	0.311	0.593	0.250	0.012
#8 Maikel Garcia	6.6	8.5	0.237	0.341	0.304	0.646	0.268	0.013
#9 Kyle Isbel	6.0	7.8	0.234	0.376	0.305	0.681	0.282	0.023

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	7.8	9.9	0.269	0.379	0.333	0.711	0.295	0.020
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.3	10.8	0.280	0.453	0.381	0.834	0.339	0.037
#3 Oneil Cruz	9.1	11.9	0.266	0.462	0.357	0.819	0.334	0.038
#4 Andrew McCutchen	7.6	10.1	0.239	0.429	0.392	0.820	0.330	0.049
#5 Rowdy Tellez	6.2	8.1	0.252	0.408	0.332	0.740	0.305	0.036
#6 Nick Gonzales	6.9	8.9	0.271	0.379	0.327	0.706	0.293	0.016
#7 Yasmani Grandal	5.4	7.1	0.221	0.379	0.323	0.703	0.289	0.036
#8 Billy Cook	5.2	6.9	0.182	0.273	0.182	0.455	0.193	0.000
#9 Jose Rojas	7.1	7.1	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#9 Jared Triolo	5.2	6.9	0.213	0.317	0.343	0.660	0.272	0.023

Royals Notable Injuries

Michael Lorenzen OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/29/24. Impact: 4.5
Vinnie Pasquantino OUT (1B): Avg: 0.262 SLG:0.447 Last game: 08/31/24. Impact: 2.9
Will Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: -0.2

Pirates Notable Injuries

Ke’Bryan Hayes OUT (3B): Avg: 0.228 SLG:0.283 Last game: 08/19/24. Impact: 1.3
Henry Davis OUT (C): Avg: 0.144 SLG:0.212 Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 0.6
Hunter Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 0.7
Ben Heller OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/29/24. Impact: 0.5