Royals vs Rays Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at The Trop as the sizzling Kansas City Royals, boasting a robust 33-19 record, roll into sunny St. Petersburg to clash with the Tampa Bay Rays, who are sitting at a precarious 25-27 this season. The clock is ticking down to a 04:10 PM EST showdown that’s not just about divisional bragging rights but also climbing those tough American League ranks. With the Royals riding high off a recent thrashing of the Rays and an over/under that promises a tight squeeze at 7.5, all bets are on for an electrifying game. The weather gods are smiling too, blessing Tropicana Field with perfect baseball skies—sunny, mild, and just the right whisper of a breeze. So, as the Royals aim to ‘royally’ continue their reign and the Rays look to ‘shine’ back with a vengeance, it’s clear this isn’t just a game—it’s a battle for the crown under the dome!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 25, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Tropicana Field, Tampa Bay

Weather: Sunny with winds from the NNW at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 77.0° with 51% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	KC ML	TB ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+101	-121	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-103	-117	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-204	+4	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

94W-170L

50.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

169W-103L

49.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/24/24	Kansas City Royals KC	8	Over	+1.5
05/24/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	1	Over	+1.5
06/22/23	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Over	+3.5
06/22/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+3.5
06/23/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+6.5
06/23/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	11	Over	+6.5
06/24/23	Kansas City Royals KC	9	Over	+5.5
06/24/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Over	+5.5
06/25/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-3.5
06/25/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Under	-3.5
07/15/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	6	Under	-0.5
07/15/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-0.5
07/15/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Under	-1.5
07/15/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-1.5
07/16/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Over	+4.5
07/16/23	Kansas City Royals KC	8	Over	+4.5

Royals Vs Over/Under

Rays Vs Over/Under

Will Smith

ERA 7.63 | IP 15.3 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 9.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-19-24	vsOAK	4-8W	6.0	6	1	9	Over
05-13-24	@SEA	2-6L	5.0	9	4	6	Push
05-08-24	vsMIL	4-6W	5.3	5	1	4	Over
05-03-24	vsTEX	1-7W	6.0	4	1	8	Push
04-27-24	@DET	5-6L	5.0	4	1	6	Over
04-22-24	vsTOR	5-3L	6.0	5	5	5	Push
04-17-24	@CWS	4-2W	5.0	3	2	5	Under
04-11-24	vsHOU	3-13W	5.0	5	1	4	Over
04-05-24	vsCWS	1-2W	6.3	2	1	4	Under
03-31-24	vsMIN	0-11W	7.0	3	0	10	Over
05-22-24	vsDET	3-8W	0.7	2	2	0	Over
05-19-24	vsOAK	4-8W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
05-15-24	@SEA	2-4L	1.0	0	0	0	Under
05-10-24	@LAA	2-1W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
05-08-24	vsMIL	4-6W	0.7	0	0	0	Over
05-06-24	vsMIL	2-3W	0.7	0	0	0	Under
05-04-24	vsTEX	15-4L	1.0	0	0	0	Over
04-28-24	@DET	1-4L	0.3	0	0	0	Under
04-26-24	@DET	8-0W	1.0	1	0	0	Push
04-21-24	vsBAL	5-0L	1.0	0	0	0	Under

Aaron Civale

ERA 5.923 | IP 51.7 | 2.0W-4.0L | KO 52.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-19-24	@TOR	2-5L	5.3	6	5	3	Under
05-14-24	@BOS	4-5L	5.0	5	3	6	Over
05-08-24	vsCWS	4-1L	4.7	5	2	4	Under
05-03-24	vsNYM	8-10W	4.7	6	7	5	Over
04-27-24	@CWS	7-8L	4.3	8	6	3	Over
04-21-24	@NYY	4-5L	4.7	8	5	5	Over
04-16-24	vsLAA	6-7W	6.0	5	3	8	Over
04-09-24	@LAA	6-4W	5.0	4	3	4	Over
04-03-24	vsTEX	4-1L	6.0	4	1	8	Under
03-29-24	vsTOR	2-8W	6.0	4	1	6	Over

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/26	vs TB	8-1W	12	2	Over
05/24	@ DET	8-3W	9	1	Over
05/23	@ DET	10-3W	15	3	Over
05/22	@ DET	8-3W	11	2	Over
05/21	@ OAK	8-4W	9	0	Over
05/20	@ OAK	5-3W	11	1	Push
05/19	@ OAK	6-2W	11	2	Push
05/17	vs SEA	2-4L	6	0	Under
05/16	vs SEA	4-2W	5	1	Under
05/15	vs SEA	2-6L	6	0	Push
05/14	vs LAA	4-2W	11	0	Under
05/13	vs LAA	3-9L	8	0	Over
05/12	vs LAA	2-1W	7	1	Under
05/11	vs LAA	10-4W	12	2	Over
05/10	@ MIL	6-4W	9	1	Over

Rays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/26	@ KC	1-8L	4	0	Over
05/24	@ BOS	5-8L	8	1	Over
05/23	@ BOS	2-5L	7	0	Under
05/22	@ BOS	0-5L	3	0	Under
05/21	vs TOR	2-5L	4	1	Under
05/20	vs TOR	5-4W	12	1	Over
05/19	vs TOR	4-3W	8	1	Under
05/18	vs BOS	6-5W	8	1	Over
05/17	vs BOS	4-3W	7	0	Under
05/16	vs BOS	4-5L	8	2	Over
05/15	vs BOS	5-3W	10	0	Push
05/14	@ NYY	6-10L	8	2	Over
05/13	@ NYY	7-2W	8	2	Over
05/12	@ NYY	0-2L	6	0	Under
05/10	@ CWS	1-4L	4	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Maikel Garcia	7.4	9.6	0.266	0.425	33.8%	76.3%	2.4%
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	9.4	12.3	0.305	0.557	40.4%	96.1%	3.9%
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	6.8	9.3	0.233	0.407	36.6%	77.3%	2.9%
#4 Will Smith	2.8	13.3	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#4 Salvador Perez	7.8	10.3	0.33	0.538	44.0%	97.8%	4.9%
#5 Michael Massey	6.1	8.1	0.294	0.529	32.4%	85.3%	5.9%
#6 Nelson Velazquez	7.2	9.5	0.226	0.365	32.8%	69.3%	2.9%
#7 MJ Melendez	6.5	8.4	0.179	0.345	24.8%	59.3%	2.8%
#8 Hunter Renfroe	6.1	8.3	0.164	0.291	26.9%	56.0%	3.0%
#9 Kyle Isbel	5.1	6.5	0.226	0.353	28.6%	63.9%	3.0%

Tampa Bay Rays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Yandy Diaz	8.0	10.4	0.255	0.363	35.3%	71.6%	2.0%
#2 Brandon Lowe	7.8	10.6	0.146	0.244	26.8%	51.2%	2.4%
#3 Isaac Paredes	7.9	10.3	0.307	0.506	45.5%	96.0%	5.1%
#4 Jonathan Aranda	5.9	7.8	0.2	0.233	33.3%	56.7%	0.0%
#5 Randy Arozarena	7.5	10.0	0.159	0.317	28.0%	59.8%	4.2%
#6 Richie Palacios	5.7	7.4	0.26	0.378	41.7%	79.5%	3.1%
#7 Jose Caballero	6.6	8.4	0.263	0.365	34.6%	71.2%	1.3%
#8 Ben Rortvedt	5.1	6.7	0.264	0.31	46.0%	77.0%	0.0%
#9 Jose Siri	5.5	7.3	0.168	0.277	28.6%	56.3%	2.5%