Royals vs Nationals Game Breakdown

Get ready for a clash of power and pride as the Kansas City Royals, boasting a solid 82-74 record, ride into the heart of D.C. to face the underdog Washington Nationals, who are eyeing redemption with a 69-87 tally. The stage is set at Nationals Park, where the first pitch will zip across the plate at 06:45 PM EST. With the Royals hustling to close a 7.5-game gap in the American League and the Nationals trailing far behind in the National League, stakes are high. The betting realm is buzzing with an over/under of 8.0, favoring the Royals at -165. Despite recent stumbles—Royals falling 0-2 to SF and Nationals getting blanked 0-5 by CHC—the competitive spirit is undampened. Factor in some light rain and a gentle breeze, and you’ve got all the ingredients for a game that’s anything but predictable. Tonight, it’s not just about baseball; it’s about whether the Royals can conquer the capital or if the Nationals will stage a royal upset!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 24, 2024 06:45PM EST

Location: Nationals Park, Washington

Weather: Light rain with winds from the ESE at 6.3 mph. Temperature is at 64.9° with 87% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	KC ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-165	+139	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-170	+141	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-5	+2	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

119W-196L

63.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

128W-186L

37.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/26/23	Washington Nationals WAS	12	Over	+14.0
05/26/23	Kansas City Royals KC	10	Over	+14.0
05/27/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Under	-2.0
05/27/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-2.0
05/28/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-3.0
05/28/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Under	-3.0

Royals Vs Over/Under

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Will Smith

ERA 6.471 | IP 40.3 | 0.0W-4.0L | KO 27.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-17-24	vsDET	3-1L	7.0	4	1	6	Under
09-11-24	@NYY	3-4L	6.0	3	2	7	Under
09-06-24	vsMIN	0-5W	6.0	4	0	7	Under
08-31-24	@HOU	2-5L	5.0	4	5	10	Under
08-26-24	@CLE	4-3W	4.0	3	2	4	Under
08-20-24	vsLAA	9-5L	5.0	3	5	9	Over
08-14-24	@MIN	4-1W	7.0	5	1	8	Under
08-07-24	vsBOS	4-8W	6.3	6	4	7	Over
08-02-24	@DET	9-2W	5.7	2	2	6	Over
07-28-24	vsCHC	7-3L	5.7	8	4	7	Over
08-25-24	vsPHI	11-3L	1.0	4	5	1	Over
08-24-24	vsPHI	11-2L	1.0	3	2	2	Over
08-20-24	vsLAA	9-5L	1.0	1	2	1	Over
08-13-24	@MIN	3-13L	1.3	3	3	1	Over
08-09-24	vsSTL	8-5L	0.3	1	2	0	Over
08-07-24	vsBOS	4-8W	1.0	0	0	0	Over
08-06-24	vsBOS	6-5L	1.0	0	0	1	Over
08-04-24	@DET	3-2W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
08-01-24	@DET	7-1W	1.0	0	0	2	Over
07-29-24	@CWS	8-5W	1.0	0	0	0	Over

Mitchell Parker

ERA 4.438 | IP 146.0 | 7.0W-10.0L | KO 128.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-17-24	@NYM	1-10L	3.7	7	5	1	Over
09-12-24	vsMIA	6-3L	6.3	3	2	5	Over
09-07-24	@PIT	8-6W	3.3	6	4	5	Over
09-01-24	vsCHC	14-1L	6.0	7	4	8	Over
08-26-24	vsNYY	5-2L	4.0	5	2	5	Under
08-21-24	vsCOL	1-6W	7.0	5	1	6	Under
08-15-24	@PHI	3-13L	3.0	10	9	6	Over
08-09-24	vsLAA	2-3W	6.3	8	2	5	Under
08-04-24	vsMIL	3-4W	6.0	3	0	3	Under
07-29-24	@ARI	8-9L	5.0	4	2	3	Over

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/24	@ SF	0-2L	3	0	Under
09/24	@ SF	0-2L	3	0	Under
09/23	@ SF	0-9L	5	0	Over
09/22	@ SF	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/20	@ DET	2-4L	7	0	Under
09/19	@ DET	1-3L	7	0	Under
09/18	@ DET	6-7L	11	1	Over
09/17	vs PIT	3-4L	8	0	Under
09/16	vs PIT	5-1W	7	1	Under
09/15	vs PIT	8-3W	8	3	Over
09/13	vs NYY	3-4L	8	1	Under
09/12	vs NYY	5-0W	11	1	Under
09/11	vs NYY	4-10L	7	2	Over
09/10	@ MIN	2-0W	6	0	Under
09/09	@ MIN	4-2W	6	0	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/24	vs CHC	0-5L	8	0	Under
09/24	vs CHC	0-5L	8	0	Under
09/23	vs CHC	5-1W	12	1	Under
09/22	vs CHC	1-3L	5	1	Under
09/21	vs CHC	6-7L	13	1	Over
09/20	vs NYM	0-10L	3	0	Over
09/19	vs NYM	1-10L	4	0	Over
09/18	vs NYM	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/17	@ MIA	4-3W	8	2	Under
09/16	@ MIA	4-1W	8	3	Under
09/15	@ MIA	4-1W	4	1	Under
09/14	@ MIA	3-6L	6	0	Over
09/13	@ ATL	5-1W	13	1	Under
09/12	@ ATL	0-12L	3	0	Over
09/10	vs PIT	3-7L	6	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Tommy Pham	8.8	11.2	0.252	0.376	0.341	0.717	0.295	0.022
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	10.3	13.4	0.334	0.601	0.437	1.037	0.414	0.052
#3 Salvador Perez	8.8	11.6	0.269	0.453	0.364	0.817	0.334	0.046
#4 Robbie Grossman	7.5	9.8	0.216	0.302	0.397	0.698	0.284	0.015
#5 Hunter Renfroe	8.5	11.2	0.224	0.377	0.326	0.704	0.290	0.035
#6 Yuli Gurriel	7.2	9.5	0.268	0.317	0.415	0.732	0.297	0.000
#6 Will Smith	3.7	9.2	nan	nan	nan	nan	0.000	nan
#7 Maikel Garcia	6.4	8.3	0.237	0.340	0.304	0.644	0.268	0.012
#8 Paul DeJong	6.2	8.1	0.232	0.436	0.303	0.739	0.306	0.055
#9 Garrett Hampson	5.8	7.3	0.225	0.299	0.284	0.583	0.245	0.000

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Dylan Crews	7.3	9.2	0.206	0.333	0.284	0.618	0.258	0.029
#2 James Wood	7.4	9.7	0.269	0.432	0.413	0.845	0.338	0.030
#3 Juan Yepez	6.4	8.3	0.267	0.427	0.350	0.777	0.319	0.029
#4 Andres Chaparro	6.5	8.6	0.218	0.419	0.306	0.726	0.301	0.032
#5 Keibert Ruiz	5.9	7.7	0.224	0.360	0.271	0.631	0.265	0.029
#6 Jose Tena	5.6	6.9	0.308	0.404	0.349	0.753	0.312	0.021
#7 Trey Lipscomb	4.3	5.4	0.196	0.228	0.291	0.519	0.220	0.005
#8 Jacob Young	4.7	6.0	0.256	0.332	0.345	0.677	0.282	0.007
#9 Nasim Nunez	4.1	5.3	0.271	0.292	0.458	0.750	0.301	0.000

Royals Notable Injuries

Michael Lorenzen OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/29/24. Impact: 4.5
Vinnie Pasquantino OUT (1B): Avg: 0.262 SLG:0.447 Last game: 08/31/24. Impact: 2.9
James McArthur OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/18/24. Impact: 0.7
Chris Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/15/24. Impact: -0.3
Will Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: -0.2