Royals vs Nationals Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at Nationals Park as the Kansas City Royals, boasting a strong 83-74 record, ride into Washington to face the underdog Nationals, who are sitting at 69-88 this season. The stage is set for an epic showdown at 6:45 PM EST, where the Royals look to extend their lead and the Nationals aim to shake off their recent skid. With the Royals just 7.5 games shy of the top in the AL and the Nationals trailing by a hefty 23.5 in the NL, every pitch counts. The betting world’s buzzing too, setting the stakes with an over/under of 7.5 and odds leaning slightly towards KC. As the overcast skies loom and the breeze whispers at 6.3 mph, will the Royals continue their reign or will the Nationals orchestrate a capital comeback? It’s a royal clash in the capital, where only one can wear the crown!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 25, 2024 06:45PM EST

Location: Nationals Park, Washington

Weather: Overcast with winds from the SE at 6.3 mph. Temperature is at 71.1° with 87% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	KC ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-118	-102	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-132	+110	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-14	+212	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

120W-196L

56.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

128W-187L

43.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/24/24	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-6.5
09/24/24	Washington Nationals WAS	0	Under	-6.5
05/26/23	Washington Nationals WAS	12	Over	+14.5
05/26/23	Kansas City Royals KC	10	Over	+14.5
05/27/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Under	-1.5
05/27/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-1.5
05/28/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-2.5
05/28/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Under	-2.5

Royals Vs Over/Under

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Will Smith

ERA 6.471 | IP 40.3 | 0.0W-4.0L | KO 27.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-27-24	@CLE	6-1W	1.7	1	0	1	Under
08-21-24	vsLAA	0-3W	7.0	4	0	5	Under
08-16-24	@CIN	7-1W	5.7	2	1	3	Over
08-09-24	vsSTL	8-5L	4.3	6	3	3	Over
08-03-24	@DET	5-6L	5.7	5	1	5	Over
07-28-24	@TOR	3-7W	4.0	3	1	1	Over
07-27-24	@TOR	3-7W	0.7	5	4	1	Over
07-22-24	@CWS	3-4W	5.0	6	2	8	Under
07-10-24	@LAA	2-7W	5.0	5	5	3	Over
07-05-24	@TB	0-3W	5.0	1	0	4	Under
08-25-24	vsPHI	11-3L	1.0	4	5	1	Over
08-24-24	vsPHI	11-2L	1.0	3	2	2	Over
08-20-24	vsLAA	9-5L	1.0	1	2	1	Over
08-13-24	@MIN	3-13L	1.3	3	3	1	Over
08-09-24	vsSTL	8-5L	0.3	1	2	0	Over
08-07-24	vsBOS	4-8W	1.0	0	0	0	Over
08-06-24	vsBOS	6-5L	1.0	0	0	1	Over
08-04-24	@DET	3-2W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
08-01-24	@DET	7-1W	1.0	0	0	2	Over
07-29-24	@CWS	8-5W	1.0	0	0	0	Over

DJ Herz

ERA 4.303 | IP 83.7 | 4.0W-8.0L | KO 103.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-18-24	@NYM	0-10L	3.3	6	7	5	Over
09-13-24	vsMIA	1-4W	5.0	4	1	5	Under
09-07-24	@PIT	5-3W	5.0	0	0	5	Over
08-31-24	vsCHC	5-3L	4.7	3	4	5	Over
08-25-24	@ATL	5-1W	5.0	1	0	8	Under
08-20-24	vsCOL	3-1L	5.7	6	3	7	Under
08-14-24	@BAL	1-4L	6.0	4	2	5	Under
08-08-24	vsSF	9-5L	2.7	4	2	4	Over
08-03-24	vsMIL	4-6W	5.0	2	1	6	Over
07-28-24	@STL	3-4L	5.0	3	2	8	Under

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/26	vs WAS	1-0W	8	0	Under
09/24	@ SF	0-2L	3	0	Under
09/24	@ SF	0-2L	3	0	Under
09/23	@ SF	0-9L	5	0	Over
09/22	@ SF	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/20	@ DET	2-4L	7	0	Under
09/19	@ DET	1-3L	7	0	Under
09/18	@ DET	6-7L	11	1	Over
09/17	vs PIT	3-4L	8	0	Under
09/16	vs PIT	5-1W	7	1	Under
09/15	vs PIT	8-3W	8	3	Over
09/13	vs NYY	3-4L	8	1	Under
09/12	vs NYY	5-0W	11	1	Under
09/11	vs NYY	4-10L	7	2	Over
09/10	@ MIN	2-0W	6	0	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/26	@ KC	0-1L	5	0	Under
09/24	vs CHC	0-5L	8	0	Under
09/24	vs CHC	0-5L	8	0	Under
09/23	vs CHC	5-1W	12	1	Under
09/22	vs CHC	1-3L	5	1	Under
09/21	vs CHC	6-7L	13	1	Over
09/20	vs NYM	0-10L	3	0	Over
09/19	vs NYM	1-10L	4	0	Over
09/18	vs NYM	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/17	@ MIA	4-3W	8	2	Under
09/16	@ MIA	4-1W	8	3	Under
09/15	@ MIA	4-1W	4	1	Under
09/14	@ MIA	3-6L	6	0	Over
09/13	@ ATL	5-1W	13	1	Under
09/12	@ ATL	0-12L	3	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Tommy Pham	8.5	10.8	0.251	0.374	0.339	0.713	0.294	0.021
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	9.9	12.9	0.335	0.600	0.439	1.039	0.415	0.052
#3 Salvador Perez	8.0	10.5	0.269	0.452	0.365	0.817	0.333	0.045
#4 Robbie Grossman	7.1	9.3	0.216	0.302	0.397	0.698	0.284	0.015
#5 Yuli Gurriel	7.3	9.7	0.250	0.295	0.409	0.705	0.287	0.000
#6 Hunter Renfroe	7.1	9.4	0.225	0.377	0.326	0.703	0.290	0.035
#6 Will Smith	3.5	8.7	nan	nan	nan	nan	0.000	nan
#7 Maikel Garcia	6.3	8.1	0.235	0.338	0.304	0.642	0.267	0.012
#8 Paul DeJong	5.8	7.6	0.232	0.436	0.303	0.739	0.306	0.055
#9 Garrett Hampson	5.6	7.0	0.228	0.301	0.286	0.587	0.246	0.000

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Dylan Crews	8.0	10.1	0.198	0.321	0.274	0.594	0.249	0.028
#2 James Wood	8.0	10.4	0.270	0.431	0.416	0.847	0.339	0.029
#3 Juan Yepez	7.2	9.3	0.268	0.426	0.354	0.780	0.320	0.029
#4 Luis Garcia Jr.	7.5	9.5	0.280	0.436	0.336	0.772	0.319	0.033
#5 Jose Tena	6.5	8.0	0.300	0.393	0.340	0.733	0.304	0.020
#6 Keibert Ruiz	6.6	8.6	0.224	0.359	0.271	0.630	0.264	0.029
#7 Joey Gallo	6.5	8.8	0.162	0.333	0.329	0.662	0.272	0.043
#8 Jacob Young	5.8	7.4	0.256	0.333	0.344	0.678	0.282	0.007
#9 Nasim Nunez	4.9	6.3	0.260	0.280	0.460	0.740	0.297	0.000

Royals Notable Injuries

Vinnie Pasquantino OUT (1B): Avg: 0.262 SLG:0.447 Last game: 08/31/24. Impact: 2.9
James McArthur OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/18/24. Impact: 0.7
Chris Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/15/24. Impact: -0.3
Will Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: -0.2