Angels vs Reds Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 21st 2024

Get ready to watch sparks fly at Great American Ball Park as the Los Angeles Angels swoop into Cincinnati to clash with the Reds in a midday showdown that’s loaded with playoff implications. With the Angels trying to claw back from a recent slip and the Reds riding the high from their latest victory over these very Angels, the stakes are as high as the over/under of 9.5. It’s a brisk day in Cincinnati, perfect for some baseball, with just enough wind to keep the outfielders on their toes. Betting lines are buzzing, fans are buzzing, and the bats are about to be buzzing. As the Angels and Reds prepare to go head-to-head once more, let’s see if the Angels can ‘redeem’ themselves or if the Reds will continue to ‘fly’ high on their winning streak.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 21, 2024 01:40PM EST

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NNW at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 42.1° with 55% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	LAA ML	CIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+115	-138	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+107	-128	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-8	+10	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

109W-145L

48.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

118W-132L

51.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/19/24	Los Angeles Angels LAA	1	Under	-1.5
04/19/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Under	-1.5
04/20/24	Los Angeles Angels LAA	5	Over	+2.5
04/20/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+2.5
08/23/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+0.5
08/23/23	Los Angeles Angels LAA	3	Over	+0.5
08/22/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-2.5
08/22/23	Los Angeles Angels LAA	3	Under	-2.5
08/23/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	9	Over	+3.5
08/23/23	Los Angeles Angels LAA	4	Over	+3.5

Angels Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-16-24	@TB	6-7L	5.0	1	1	6	Over
04-10-24	vsTB	4-2L	4.0	6	4	6	Under
04-05-24	vsBOS	8-6L	3.0	3	3	1	Over
03-31-24	@BAL	4-1W	3.0	1	0	2	Under
09-30-23	vsOAK	7-3L	1.0	1	1	2	Over
09-23-23	@MIN	1-0W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-21-23	@TB	4-5L	1.0	1	0	1	Push
09-19-23	@TB	2-6L	1.0	1	0	2	Under
09-16-23	vsDET	5-4L	1.0	1	1	2	Push
09-13-23	@SEA	2-3L	1.0	0	0	2	Under
04-20-24	@CIN	5-7L	4.0	6	7	6	Over
04-15-24	@TB	7-3W	5.0	4	1	3	Over
04-09-24	vsTB	6-4L	5.0	6	4	6	Over
04-03-24	@MIA	10-2W	5.7	4	2	7	Over
03-28-24	@BAL	3-11L	1.7	6	5	2	Over
09-25-23	vsTEX	5-1L	3.0	2	0	2	Under
09-19-23	@TB	2-6L	5.0	5	2	7	Under
09-12-23	@SEA	0-8L	5.0	10	8	4	Under
09-06-23	vsBAL	10-3L	5.0	7	7	3	Over
09-01-23	@OAK	2-9L	3.7	5	5	3	Over

Graham Ashcraft

ERA 5.239 | IP 22.3 | 3.0W-1.0L | KO 23.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-15-24	@SEA	3-9L	2.0	3	5	1	Over
04-09-24	vsMIL	9-5L	5.0	6	5	4	Over
04-03-24	@PHI	4-1W	5.7	5	1	5	Under
03-28-24	vsWAS	2-8W	6.0	4	0	4	Over
09-30-23	@KC	5-2L	1.3	2	0	1	Under
09-16-22	@MIL	5-2L	3.3	4	4	2	Under
09-09-22	@TB	5-2L	5.7	9	4	4	Under
09-04-22	@TB	5-2L	5.0	1	0	7	Under
08-29-22	@LAA	5-2L	6.0	8	4	6	Under
08-23-22	@NYM	5-2L	5.7	6	2	6	Under
04-20-24	vsLAA	5-7W	5.0	5	5	4	Over
04-14-24	@CWS	11-4W	5.7	5	2	8	Over
04-08-24	vsMIL	8-10W	5.7	9	6	6	Over
04-02-24	@PHI	4-9L	6.0	4	3	5	Over
09-01-23	vsCHC	6-2L	5.0	6	3	6	Under
08-27-23	@ARI	2-5L	6.7	7	2	5	Under
08-22-23	@LAA	4-3W	7.0	5	3	10	Under
08-15-23	vsCLE	3-0L	7.0	7	3	2	Under
08-09-23	vsMIA	5-4L	7.0	3	1	7	Push
08-04-23	vsWAS	6-3L	8.0	5	3	5	Push

Angels Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/22	vs CIN	5-7L	7	1	Over
04/21	vs CIN	1-7L	7	0	Under
04/20	vs TB	1-2L	6	0	Under
04/19	vs TB	5-4W	12	1	Push
04/18	vs TB	6-7L	6	2	Over
04/17	vs TB	7-3W	13	2	Over
04/16	vs BOS	4-5L	9	1	Push
04/15	vs BOS	2-7L	8	1	Push
04/14	vs BOS	7-0W	12	1	Under
04/12	@ TB	2-2L	9	1	Under
04/11	@ TB	4-6L	7	1	Over
04/10	@ TB	7-1W	14	1	Under
04/09	@ BOS	2-12L	8	1	Over
04/08	@ BOS	2-1W	6	0	Under
04/07	@ BOS	6-8L	6	1	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/22	@ LAA	7-5W	8	1	Over
04/21	@ LAA	7-1W	5	2	Under
04/19	vs SEA	1-5L	1	1	Under
04/18	vs SEA	1-3L	4	0	Under
04/17	vs SEA	3-9L	7	2	Over
04/16	vs CWS	11-4W	11	2	Over
04/15	vs CWS	5-0W	4	0	Under
04/14	vs CWS	11-1W	12	2	Over
04/12	@ MIL	2-7L	4	1	Push
04/11	@ MIL	5-9L	10	0	Over
04/10	@ MIL	10-8W	10	3	Over
04/09	@ NYM	1-3L	3	0	Under
04/08	@ NYM	9-6W	8	1	Over
04/07	@ NYM	2-3L	7	1	Under
04/05	vs PHI	4-1W	6	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Los Angeles Angels	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Anthony Rendon	8.7	10.8	0.267	0.307	36.0%	66.7%	0.0%
#2 Mike Trout	11.2	14.6	0.256	0.61	37.8%	98.8%	9.8%
#3 Taylor Ward	9.0	12.0	0.287	0.529	33.3%	86.2%	6.9%
#4 Brandon Drury	9.2	11.8	0.21	0.29	32.3%	61.3%	1.6%
#4 Miguel Sano	9.0	11.8	0.298	0.426	44.7%	87.2%	2.1%
#5 Luis Garcia	8.6	8.6	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#5 Mickey Moniak	8.0	10.5	0.159	0.25	25.0%	50.0%	2.3%
#6 Logan O’Hoppe	8.5	10.9	0.29	0.452	40.3%	85.5%	3.2%
#7 Luis Rengifo	7.2	9.0	0.263	0.333	28.1%	61.4%	0.0%
#8 Nolan Schanuel	6.2	8.3	0.185	0.241	37.0%	61.1%	1.9%
#9 Zach Neto	6.8	8.8	0.174	0.217	27.5%	49.3%	0.0%

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Will Benson	9.3	12.2	0.197	0.424	34.8%	77.3%	3.0%
#1 Jonathan India	8.9	11.9	0.174	0.232	40.6%	63.8%	0.0%
#2 Spencer Steer	9.5	12.8	0.324	0.563	52.1%	108.5%	4.2%
#3 C. Encarnacion-Strand	7.9	10.6	0.182	0.312	19.5%	50.6%	2.6%
#4 Jeimer Candelario	9.2	12.5	0.183	0.367	30.0%	66.7%	3.3%
#4 Nick Martini	6.5	8.9	0.244	0.537	29.3%	82.9%	7.3%
#5 Stuart Fairchild	7.6	9.7	0.256	0.282	35.9%	64.1%	0.0%
#6 Elly De La Cruz	8.4	11.2	0.29	0.638	46.4%	110.1%	8.7%
#7 Santiago Espinal	6.6	8.8	0.135	0.162	27.0%	43.2%	0.0%
#8 Luke Maile	6.3	8.8	0.13	0.261	26.1%	52.2%	4.3%
#9 Bubba Thompson	5.9	7.5	0.143	0.214	14.3%	35.7%	0.0%