Dodgers vs Twins Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 10th 2024

Get ready to dodge any plans you had today, folks, because the sizzling Los Angeles Dodgers are packing their 10W-4L record and heading to the Twins’ turf at Target Field for a daytime showdown that’s sure to be anything but Minnesota nice. The first pitch is set to fly at 1:10 PM EST, and with the Dodgers sitting pretty at the top of the National League, and the Twins trailing behind in the American League by a whole 4 games, this is a clash you won’t want to miss. The betting lines are drawn with the over/under at a tantalizing 9.0, and the Dodgers and Twins at -183 and 151 respectively. Fresh off a sweet 6-3 victory over the Twins, the Dodgers are ready to double down, while the Twins, smarting from that loss, are hungry for redemption. With the weather promising a partly cloudy sky, a gentle SW breeze, and a comfy 55.9°, it’s the perfect setting for a game that’s sure to be a home run. So, whether you’re a Dodger devotee or a Twins enthusiast, buckle up because it’s time to play ball. And remember, in this game of baseball, it’s not about whether you win or lose, it’s about how you dodge the twin threats of defeat and despair!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 10, 2024 01:10PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SW at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 55.9° with 45% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	LAD ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-183	+151	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-170	+141	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+13	-10	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

151W-96L

63.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

128W-112L

37.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/08/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	4	Under	-3.0
04/08/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-3.0
04/09/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	6	Push	-0.0
04/09/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Push	-0.0
05/15/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+8.0
05/15/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	9	Over	+8.0
05/16/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Under	-3.0
05/16/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	1	Under	-3.0
05/17/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Over	+1.0
05/17/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	7	Over	+1.0

Dodgers Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Bobby Miller

ERA 3.764 | IP 124.3 | 11.0W-4.0L | KO 119.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-09-24	@MIN	6-3W	7.0	3	0	14	Over
04-03-24	vsSF	4-5W	6.0	4	3	7	Over
03-28-24	vsSTL	1-7W	6.0	2	1	5	Under
09-27-23	@BOS	5-0L	5.0	2	0	9	Under
09-22-23	@TOR	6-2L	5.3	3	4	7	Under
09-16-23	@BAL	0-8W	4.0	8	6	4	Under
09-11-23	@MIN	7-4L	6.0	6	4	8	Over
09-06-23	@BOS	1-3W	6.0	3	1	14	Under
09-01-23	@CLE	2-3W	7.0	7	3	6	Under
08-26-23	@NYY	0-3W	6.0	1	0	4	Under
04-05-24	@CHC	7-9L	1.7	4	5	3	Over
03-29-24	vsSTL	3-6W	6.0	2	0	11	Over
10-01-23	@SF	5-2W	4.0	1	0	4	Under
09-26-23	@COL	11-2W	7.0	7	2	9	Over
09-20-23	vsDET	4-2L	6.0	3	2	7	Under
09-15-23	@SEA	6-3W	5.7	6	3	7	Over
09-09-23	@WAS	6-7L	7.0	6	5	8	Over
09-03-23	vsATL	1-3W	7.0	3	1	5	Under
08-28-23	vsARI	4-7W	6.0	7	4	4	Over
08-22-23	@CLE	3-8L	6.3	6	4	5	Over

Chris Paddack

ERA 5.4 | IP 5.0 | 1.0W-0.0L | KO 8.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-09-24	vsLAD	6-3L	5.0	7	6	6	Over
04-02-24	@MIL	2-3L	4.0	6	3	4	Under
09-28-23	vsOAK	2-1L	1.7	0	0	3	Under
09-24-23	vsLAA	3-9W	1.0	1	0	2	Over
09-22-23	vsLAA	6-8W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-15-23	@CWS	10-2W	2.0	1	0	4	Over
09-12-23	vsTB	2-3W	2.3	1	0	3	Under
09-09-23	vsNYM	4-8W	1.0	2	2	2	Over
09-06-23	@CLE	1-2L	3.0	1	0	2	Under
06-18-23	vsDET	6-4L	4.3	9	6	4	Over
04-03-24	@MIL	7-3W	4.0	6	2	2	Over
09-30-23	@COL	14-6W	3.0	2	0	4	Over
09-26-23	vsOAK	3-11W	2.0	4	3	4	Over
09-24-23	vsLAA	3-9W	0.0	0	0	0	Over
05-08-22	vsOAK	3-9W	2.3	5	3	4	Over
05-02-22	vsBAL	3-9W	5.3	4	1	3	Over
04-26-22	vsDET	3-9W	5.7	5	1	6	Over
04-20-22	vsKC	3-9W	5.0	5	2	4	Over
04-13-22	vsLAD	3-9W	4.0	6	3	3	Over
09-11-21	vsLAD	3-9W	4.7	3	4	4	Over

Dodgers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/11	vs MIN	6-3W	9	2	Over
04/10	vs MIN	4-2W	10	2	Under
04/09	vs CHC	1-8L	4	0	Over
04/08	vs CHC	4-1W	9	0	Under
04/07	vs CHC	7-9L	12	1	Over
04/05	@ SF	5-4W	9	2	Over
04/04	@ SF	5-4W	9	1	Over
04/03	@ SF	8-3W	9	1	Over
04/02	@ STL	5-4W	8	2	Over
04/01	@ STL	5-6L	14	1	Over
03/31	@ STL	6-3W	7	4	Over
03/30	@ STL	7-1W	10	2	Under
10/03	vs SF	5-2W	7	1	Under
10/02	vs SF	1-2L	8	0	Under
10/01	vs SF	6-2W	6	3	Under

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/11	@ LAD	3-6L	6	3	Over
04/10	@ LAD	2-4L	3	1	Under
04/08	@ CLE	1-3L	2	0	Under
04/06	@ CLE	2-4L	7	1	Under
04/05	vs MIL	7-3W	11	1	Over
04/04	vs MIL	2-3L	3	0	Under
04/02	vs KC	0-11L	4	0	Over
04/01	vs KC	5-1W	7	0	Under
03/30	vs KC	4-1W	10	1	Under
10/03	vs COL	2-2L	9	0	Under
10/02	vs COL	14-6W	12	4	Over
10/01	vs COL	7-6W	13	3	Over
09/30	@ OAK	1-2L	4	0	Under
09/29	@ OAK	6-4W	13	2	Over
09/28	@ OAK	11-3W	8	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Los Angeles Dodgers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Mookie Betts	10.4	13.9	0.307	0.579	48.5%	106.3%	6.7%
#2 Shohei Ohtani	11.0	15.1	0.304	0.654	49.3%	114.7%	8.9%
#3 Freddie Freeman	9.5	12.5	0.333	0.568	47.1%	103.9%	4.6%
#4 Will Smith	8.6	11.6	0.261	0.438	42.9%	86.6%	4.1%
#5 Max Muncy	7.9	10.9	0.212	0.475	40.0%	87.6%	7.5%
#6 Kike Hernandez	6.8	9.0	0.238	0.359	31.7%	67.6%	2.4%
#6 Teoscar Hernandez	8.6	11.2	0.257	0.434	33.0%	76.4%	4.2%
#7 James Outman	7.4	9.9	0.248	0.437	41.4%	85.1%	4.8%
#8 Miguel Rojas	5.9	7.5	0.236	0.325	31.7%	64.2%	1.3%
#8 Chris Taylor	6.9	9.2	0.237	0.42	37.0%	79.0%	4.4%
#9 Austin Barnes	5.5	7.1	0.181	0.243	28.8%	53.1%	1.1%
#9 Gavin Lux	nan	8.5	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Edouard Julien	7.2	9.6	0.257	0.442	45.4%	89.6%	4.5%
#2 Carlos Correa	7.1	9.4	0.23	0.4	35.1%	75.0%	3.5%
#3 Alex Kirilloff	6.5	8.6	0.271	0.444	39.7%	84.1%	4.0%
#4 Byron Buxton	8.3	11.1	0.21	0.443	34.0%	78.3%	5.7%
#5 Manuel Margot	6.9	8.9	0.264	0.376	33.4%	71.1%	1.3%
#6 Matt Wallner	7.0	9.5	0.249	0.507	44.1%	94.8%	6.6%
#7 Willi Castro	6.3	8.2	0.258	0.413	38.8%	80.1%	2.5%
#7 Carlos Santana	5.6	7.5	0.243	0.435	35.9%	79.4%	4.2%
#8 Ryan Jeffers	5.7	7.5	0.276	0.49	42.7%	91.6%	4.9%
#8 Christian Vazquez	4.8	6.2	0.225	0.321	30.6%	62.7%	1.9%
#9 Kyle Farmer	5.3	6.9	0.254	0.406	34.3%	74.9%	3.3%
#9 Austin Martin	nan	6.2	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%