Dodgers vs Padres Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown under the sunny San Diego skies as the Los Angeles Dodgers roll into Petco Park, bats blazing, to face off against the hometown San Diego Padres tonight at 09:40PM EST. With the Dodgers perched at the top of the National League and the Padres not far behind, this game is more than just a California classic—it’s a battle for conference supremacy. The stakes? High. The odds? Dodgers favored, but with an over/under at 7.5, expect some scoreboard fireworks. Both teams are coming in hot, the Dodgers fresh off a win and the Padres hungry to bounce back. So, as the winds whip lightly from the west and the crowd buzzes with anticipation, get ready for a game where the Dodgers aim to ‘pad’ their lead and the Padres look to ‘dodge’ defeat in a clash that promises more twists than a Hollywood blockbuster!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 30, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Sunny with winds from the W at 5.8 mph. Temperature is at 71.9° with 63% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	LAD ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-140	+117	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-135	+113	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+5	-4	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

176W-117L

57.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

155W-136L

42.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/20/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	5	Under	-0.5
03/20/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-0.5
03/21/24	San Diego Padres SD	15	Over	+18.5
03/21/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	11	Over	+18.5
04/12/24	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+7.5
04/12/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	7	Over	+7.5
04/13/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-0.5
04/13/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	5	Under	-0.5
04/14/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+1.5
04/14/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	3	Over	+1.5
05/10/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	1	Under	-4.5
05/10/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-4.5
05/11/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	5	Under	-2.5
05/11/24	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-2.5
05/12/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	0	Under	-3.5
05/12/24	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-3.5
05/05/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	2	Under	-0.5
05/05/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Under	-0.5
05/06/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	2	Under	-4.5
05/06/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-4.5
05/07/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	5	Under	-0.5
05/07/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-0.5
05/12/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-1.5
05/12/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	4	Under	-1.5
05/13/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-1.5
05/13/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	4	Under	-1.5
05/14/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-3.5
05/14/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	4	Under	-3.5
08/04/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	10	Over	+7.5
08/04/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+7.5
08/05/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	3	Over	+3.5
08/05/23	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+3.5
08/06/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	8	Over	+2.5
08/06/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Over	+2.5
08/07/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	13	Over	+12.5
08/07/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+12.5
09/11/23	San Diego Padres SD	11	Over	+11.5
09/11/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	8	Over	+11.5
09/12/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Over	+5.5
09/12/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	11	Over	+5.5
09/13/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Under	-0.5
09/13/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	1	Under	-0.5

Dodgers Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Tyler Glasnow

ERA 3.468 | IP 109.0 | 8.0W-6.0L | KO 144.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-24-24	vsSF	8-3L	5.0	4	2	4	Over
07-05-24	vsMIL	5-8W	6.0	3	5	7	Over
06-29-24	@SF	14-7W	3.0	7	5	1	Over
06-22-24	vsLAA	2-7W	7.0	2	2	10	Over
06-16-24	vsKC	0-3W	7.0	3	0	9	Under
06-09-24	@NYY	4-6L	6.0	8	5	12	Over
06-04-24	@PIT	0-1L	6.0	3	1	9	Under
05-28-24	@NYM	5-2W	7.0	2	2	8	Under
05-22-24	vsARI	6-0L	5.0	4	3	6	Under
05-16-24	vsCIN	7-2L	5.0	6	4	8	Over

Matt Waldron

ERA 3.64 | IP 118.7 | 6.0W-9.0L | KO 103.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-24-24	@WAS	12-3W	6.0	4	3	4	Over
07-19-24	@CLE	0-7L	6.0	6	1	5	Under
07-12-24	vsATL	6-1L	7.0	6	4	1	Under
07-06-24	vsARI	7-5L	6.0	5	3	6	Over
06-30-24	@BOS	1-4L	4.3	6	4	3	Under
06-24-24	vsWAS	6-7W	6.0	5	2	8	Over
06-19-24	@PHI	5-2W	7.0	5	1	6	Under
06-14-24	@NYM	1-2L	7.0	3	2	2	Under
06-08-24	vsARI	1-13W	6.0	3	1	4	Over
06-03-24	@LAA	1-2L	6.3	2	1	4	Under

Dodgers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/30	vs HOU	6-2W	8	3	Over
07/29	vs HOU	6-7L	7	2	Over
07/28	vs HOU	0-5L	6	0	Under
07/27	@ SF	6-4W	14	2	Over
07/26	@ SF	3-8L	5	0	Over
07/25	@ SF	5-2W	9	0	Under
07/24	@ SF	3-1W	6	1	Under
07/23	@ BOS	9-6W	10	6	Over
07/22	@ BOS	7-6W	12	2	Over
07/21	@ BOS	4-1W	4	1	Under
07/15	vs DET	9-11L	12	2	Over
07/14	vs DET	4-3W	9	1	Under
07/13	vs PHI	1-5L	5	1	Under
07/12	vs PHI	3-4L	9	0	Under
07/11	vs PHI	1-10L	7	1	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/30	vs BAL	6-8L	10	1	Over
07/29	vs BAL	9-4W	14	1	Over
07/28	vs BAL	6-4W	13	2	Over
07/27	vs WAS	3-0W	6	0	Under
07/26	vs WAS	12-3W	20	2	Over
07/25	vs WAS	4-0W	9	2	Under
07/23	vs CLE	2-1W	8	0	Under
07/22	vs CLE	7-0W	11	2	Under
07/21	vs CLE	0-7L	4	0	Under
07/15	@ ATL	4-0W	13	1	Under
07/14	@ ATL	1-6L	5	0	Under
07/12	@ SEA	0-2L	6	0	Under
07/11	@ SEA	3-8L	4	2	Over
07/09	@ ARI	1-9L	4	1	Over
07/08	@ ARI	5-7L	14	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Los Angeles Dodgers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Shohei Ohtani	10.8	14.2	0.316	0.651	0.476	1.127	0.439	0.081
#2 Will Smith	8.0	10.8	0.245	0.449	0.376	0.825	0.333	0.048
#3 Gavin Lux	7.0	9.1	0.242	0.366	0.326	0.692	0.286	0.022
#4 Teoscar Hernandez	7.3	9.6	0.268	0.490	0.365	0.855	0.347	0.056
#5 Jason Heyward	5.9	8.0	0.194	0.395	0.341	0.736	0.300	0.039
#6 James Outman	6.9	9.1	0.161	0.290	0.266	0.556	0.235	0.032
#7 Kike Hernandez	6.0	7.8	0.204	0.320	0.293	0.613	0.256	0.027
#8 Cavan Biggio	5.6	7.5	0.202	0.304	0.369	0.673	0.278	0.024
#9 Nick Ahmed	4.7	6.0	0.233	0.314	0.302	0.616	0.257	0.012

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.0	8.6	0.309	0.384	0.360	0.744	0.308	0.007
#2 Jurickson Profar	6.7	8.9	0.299	0.495	0.451	0.945	0.375	0.049
#3 Jake Cronenworth	6.2	8.2	0.245	0.410	0.350	0.760	0.311	0.037
#4 Manny Machado	7.2	9.4	0.261	0.411	0.331	0.741	0.306	0.035
#5 Xander Bogaerts	6.6	8.3	0.260	0.379	0.320	0.699	0.289	0.023
#6 Jackson Merrill	6.2	8.0	0.288	0.449	0.339	0.788	0.325	0.034
#7 David Peralta	4.4	5.8	0.245	0.336	0.336	0.673	0.279	0.018
#8 Ha-Seong Kim	5.6	7.4	0.236	0.380	0.383	0.764	0.309	0.029
#9 Kyle Higashioka	4.3	5.8	0.234	0.539	0.291	0.830	0.341	0.085

Dodgers Notable Injuries

Freddie Freeman OUT (1B): Avg: 0.292 SLG:0.503 Last game: 07/27/24. Impact: 3.5
Miguel Rojas OUT (SS): Avg: 0.27 SLG:0.407 Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 1.2
Chris Taylor OUT (2B/3B): Avg: 0.171 SLG:0.272 Last game: 07/26/24. Impact: 2.0