Marlins vs Braves Game Breakdown
Marlins
40W-70L
August 03, 2024
07:20PM EST
Odds: 9.0 o/u
Braves
60W-49L
Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Truist Park tonight as the underdog Miami Marlins, trailing far behind in the conference, dive deep into the Braves’ territory at 07:20 PM EST. The Atlanta Braves, just a few swings away from the top of the leaderboard, are set to defend their turf under the partly cloudy skies of a balmy Georgia evening. With the stakes set high and the betting lines buzzing—Braves at a hefty -245 and an over/under that screams a slugfest at 9.0—this game is brewing up more heat than the 89.4° weather can promise. Fresh off a tussle where the Braves clipped the Marlins’ fins 5-3, tonight’s rematch could be anyone’s game. So, as the Marlins try to fish for a win, let’s see if the Braves can keep riding the wave or if Miami is about to make some serious waves of their own!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: August 03, 2024 07:20PM EST
Location: Truist Park, Atlanta
Weather: Partly Cloudy with winds from the W at 7.4 mph. Temperature is at 89.4° with 39% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| MIA ML | ATL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +200 | -245 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +200 | -245 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
33.3% Win Probability
66.7% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/24 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 8 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 1 | ||||
| 04/13/24 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 1 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | ||||
| 04/14/24 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 9 | Over | +7.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 7 | ||||
| 04/22/24 | Miami Marlins MIA | 0 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 3 | ||||
| 04/23/24 | Miami Marlins MIA | 0 | Under | -4.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 5 | ||||
| 04/24/24 | Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 4 | ||||
| 08/01/24 | Miami Marlins MIA | 2 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 4 | ||||
| 08/02/24 | Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 5 | ||||
| 04/24/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 0 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 11 | ||||
| 04/25/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 7 | ||||
| 04/26/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | ||||
| 04/27/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 4 | ||||
| 05/02/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 0 | ||||
| 05/03/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 14 | Over | +11.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 6 | ||||
| 05/04/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | ||||
| 06/30/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | Over | +11.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 16 | ||||
| 07/01/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 0 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 7 | ||||
| 07/02/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | ||||
| 09/15/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | Over | +6.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 9 | ||||
| 09/16/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 5 | Over | +7.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 11 | ||||
| 09/17/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 2 | Over | +9.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 16 |
Marlins Vs Over/Under
Braves Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28-24 | @MIL | 2-6L | 4.0 | 7 | 4 | 5 | Under |
| 07-23-24 | vsBAL | 3-6W | 4.7 | 9 | 3 | 5 | Push |
| 07-04-24 | vsBOS | 6-5L | 5.3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | Over |
| 06-28-24 | @PHI | 0-2L | 4.7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 06-23-24 | vsSEA | 4-6W | 4.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | Over |
| 04-26-24 | vsWAS | 3-1L | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Under |
| 06-15-22 | vsCHC | 3-1L | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 06-14-22 | vsCHC | 3-1L | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 09-21-21 | vsHOU | 3-1L | 2.7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | Under |
| 09-17-21 | vsOAK | 3-1L | 2.7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29-24 | @MIL | 3-8L | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | Over |
| 07-24-24 | vsCIN | 9-4L | 3.3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | Over |
| 07-20-24 | vsSTL | 9-5L | 3.0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | Over |
| 07-11-24 | @ARI | 0-1L | 1.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 07-08-24 | @ARI | 5-4W | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Push |
| 07-04-24 | vsSF | 4-2L | 2.7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | Under |
| 06-30-24 | vsPIT | 4-2L | 3.0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | Under |
| 06-26-24 | @STL | 1-4L | 2.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | Under |
| 06-21-24 | @NYY | 8-1W | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Push |
| 06-19-24 | vsDET | 0-7W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
Marlins Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04 | vs ATL | 3-5L | 8 | 2 | Under |
| 08/03 | vs ATL | 2-4L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 08/02 | vs TB | 6-2W | 8 | 2 | Under |
| 08/01 | vs TB | 3-9L | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 07/30 | vs MIL | 2-6L | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 07/29 | vs MIL | 7-3W | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 07/28 | vs MIL | 6-2W | 11 | 3 | Under |
| 07/27 | @ BAL | 6-7L | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 07/26 | @ BAL | 6-3W | 9 | 1 | Push |
| 07/25 | @ BAL | 6-3W | 10 | 1 | Push |
| 07/24 | @ NYM | 4-6L | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 07/23 | @ NYM | 4-2W | 9 | 2 | Under |
| 07/22 | @ NYM | 0-1L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 07/21 | @ NYM | 6-4W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 07/15 | vs CIN | 6-10L | 15 | 2 | Over |
Braves Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04 | @ MIA | 5-3W | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 08/03 | @ MIA | 4-2W | 7 | 3 | Under |
| 08/02 | vs MIL | 6-2W | 8 | 4 | Under |
| 08/01 | vs MIL | 5-1W | 14 | 1 | Under |
| 07/31 | vs MIL | 3-8L | 4 | 3 | Over |
| 07/30 | vs NYM | 8-2W | 8 | 4 | Over |
| 07/29 | vs NYM | 4-0W | 6 | 3 | Under |
| 07/28 | vs NYM | 4-8L | 7 | 3 | Over |
| 07/27 | vs NYM | 2-3L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 07/26 | @ CIN | 4-9L | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 07/24 | @ CIN | 1-4L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 07/23 | @ STL | 2-6L | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 07/22 | @ STL | 5-9L | 9 | 4 | Over |
| 07/22 | @ STL | 3-2W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 07/15 | vs SD | 0-4L | 5 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Miami Marlins | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.8 | 9.8 | 0.374 | 0.475 | 0.525 | 1.000 | 0.391 | 0.010 | |
|
#2
Jake Burger
|
8.5 | 11.1 | 0.236 | 0.421 | 0.306 | 0.727 | 0.301 | 0.048 |
| 7.7 | 10.0 | 0.239 | 0.406 | 0.311 | 0.717 | 0.297 | 0.038 | |
|
#4
Jonah Bride
|
5.7 | 7.5 | 0.244 | 0.422 | 0.333 | 0.756 | 0.311 | 0.044 |
|
#5
Kyle Stowers
|
5.6 | 7.4 | 0.239 | 0.391 | 0.261 | 0.652 | 0.275 | 0.022 |
|
#6
Otto Lopez
|
6.3 | 8.0 | 0.226 | 0.307 | 0.269 | 0.575 | 0.242 | 0.014 |
|
#7
Nick Gordon
|
6.0 | 7.8 | 0.222 | 0.366 | 0.268 | 0.634 | 0.265 | 0.031 |
| 5.0 | 6.6 | 0.209 | 0.273 | 0.337 | 0.610 | 0.254 | 0.006 | |
|
#9
Nick Fortes
|
5.0 | 6.4 | 0.205 | 0.273 | 0.239 | 0.512 | 0.218 | 0.010 |
| Atlanta Braves | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Jorge Soler
|
9.6 | 12.8 | 0.239 | 0.415 | 0.380 | 0.795 | 0.322 | 0.035 |
|
#2
Austin Riley
|
10.6 | 13.9 | 0.258 | 0.458 | 0.358 | 0.817 | 0.333 | 0.042 |
| 10.1 | 13.5 | 0.301 | 0.582 | 0.425 | 1.007 | 0.401 | 0.077 | |
|
#4
Matt Olson
|
10.1 | 13.4 | 0.226 | 0.420 | 0.349 | 0.769 | 0.314 | 0.045 |
| 8.4 | 11.1 | 0.257 | 0.456 | 0.350 | 0.806 | 0.330 | 0.044 | |
| 7.5 | 9.9 | 0.181 | 0.330 | 0.238 | 0.567 | 0.238 | 0.035 | |
| 6.8 | 8.7 | 0.228 | 0.373 | 0.290 | 0.663 | 0.276 | 0.031 | |
| 7.3 | 9.4 | 0.243 | 0.416 | 0.325 | 0.741 | 0.305 | 0.038 | |
| 5.9 | 7.6 | 0.196 | 0.301 | 0.313 | 0.613 | 0.255 | 0.018 |
Marlins Notable Injuries
- Dane Myers OUT (OF): Avg: 0.265 SLG:0.422 Last game: 07/15/24. Impact: 2.8
Braves Notable Injuries
- Max Fried OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/13/24. Impact: 8.8
- Ozzie Albies OUT (2B): Avg: 0.254 SLG:0.402 Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 2.4
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