Marlins vs Cubs Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 18th 2024

Get ready to dive into the deep end tonight as the struggling Miami Marlins swim upstream to the iconic Wrigley Field, hoping to snap at the heels of the Chicago Cubs in a classic underdog showdown. The Marlins, floundering at the bottom of the National League with just four wins, are looking to make a splash against the Cubs, who are sitting pretty near the top, just a whisker away from the conference lead. With the first pitch at 07:40 PM EST and the air at Wrigley as chilly as the Marlins’ recent game stats, the stage is set for a clash that’s got an over/under of 8.0, tempting bettors to pick sides in this windy city matchup. While the Cubs recently clawed their way to a victory against Arizona, the Marlins are still licking their wounds from a tussle with San Francisco. Tonight, it’s all about whether the Marlins can fish out a win, or if the Cubs will bear down and keep their winning streak growling.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 18, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Overcast with winds from the N at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 54.0° with 61% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+130	-155	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+138	-164	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+8	-9	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

95W-150L

42.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

122W-120L

58.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/28/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-3.0
04/28/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-3.0
04/29/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+5.0
04/29/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+5.0
04/30/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-1.0
04/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.0
05/05/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-3.0
05/05/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-3.0
05/06/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-2.0
05/06/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-2.0
05/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+1.0
05/07/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+1.0

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Trevor Rogers

ERA 4.0 | IP 18.0 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 19.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-09-24	@NYY	2-3L	4.7	4	2	2	Under
04-03-24	vsLAA	10-2L	4.0	5	4	5	Over
03-29-24	vsPIT	7-2L	2.0	3	4	1	Over
09-30-23	@PIT	7-3W	2.0	3	1	3	Over
09-27-23	@NYM	4-2W	1.7	1	0	2	Under
09-23-23	vsMIL	4-5W	1.0	2	1	1	Over
09-19-23	vsNYM	3-4W	0.7	3	0	1	Under
09-18-23	vsNYM	2-1L	1.7	0	0	2	Under
09-15-23	vsATL	6-9W	1.3	0	0	3	Over
09-12-23	@MIL	1-3L	0.7	2	1	2	Under
04-17-24	vsSF	3-1L	5.7	4	1	6	Under
04-12-24	vsATL	8-1L	5.0	8	2	5	Over
04-06-24	@STL	1-3L	5.0	5	3	3	Under
03-31-24	vsPIT	9-7L	5.0	7	4	6	Over
04-19-23	vsSF	5-2L	3.0	3	1	3	Under
04-14-23	vsARI	1-5W	6.0	5	1	7	Under
04-08-23	@NYM	2-5L	4.7	4	3	5	Under
04-02-23	vsNYM	5-1L	4.3	4	4	4	Under
09-17-22	vsWAS	5-1L	1.0	3	2	1	Under
09-12-22	vsTEX	5-1L	6.3	4	2	9	Under

Jordan Wicks

ERA 4.413 | IP 34.7 | 4.0W-1.0L | KO 24.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-30-23	@MIL	10-6W	4.0	3	0	3	Over
09-27-23	@ATL	5-6L	6.0	3	2	3	Over
09-22-23	vsCOL	0-6W	6.0	4	0	7	Under
09-13-23	@COL	3-7L	5.0	7	5	5	Over
09-08-23	vsARI	1-0L	6.0	1	0	9	Under
09-03-23	@CIN	15-7W	5.7	7	5	7	Over
08-28-23	vsMIL	6-2L	6.0	9	5	6	Over
08-23-23	@DET	6-4W	5.7	4	4	6	Over
08-18-23	vsKC	4-3L	6.0	6	4	3	Under
08-13-23	@TOR	4-11L	3.0	8	8	2	Over
04-17-24	@ARI	5-3W	4.3	5	2	5	Over
04-12-24	@SEA	2-4L	4.0	5	4	6	Under
04-06-24	vsLAD	4-1L	4.7	6	2	7	Under
03-31-24	@TEX	9-5W	4.0	5	5	6	Over
09-30-23	@MIL	10-6W	1.7	6	6	1	Over
09-24-23	vsCOL	3-4W	6.0	4	3	3	Under
09-17-23	@ARI	2-6L	4.3	4	3	5	Over
09-11-23	@COL	5-4W	6.0	3	1	2	Over
09-06-23	vsSF	2-8W	6.7	9	2	1	Over
09-01-23	@CIN	6-2W	5.0	5	1	3	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/19	@ SF	1-3L	6	1	Under
04/18	@ SF	6-3W	8	0	Over
04/17	@ SF	3-4L	10	1	Under
04/16	@ ATL	7-9L	9	2	Over
04/15	@ ATL	5-1W	8	1	Under
04/14	@ ATL	1-8L	6	0	Over
04/12	vs NYY	5-2W	6	1	Under
04/11	vs NYY	2-3L	4	0	Under
04/10	vs NYY	0-7L	2	0	Under
04/09	vs STL	10-3W	13	2	Over
04/08	vs STL	1-3L	8	0	Under
04/06	vs STL	5-8L	9	3	Over
04/05	@ LAA	2-10L	4	0	Over
04/04	@ LAA	1-3L	5	1	Under
04/03	@ LAA	4-7L	9	0	Over

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/19	vs ARI	5-3W	9	1	Over
04/18	vs ARI	11-11L	14	1	Over
04/17	vs ARI	3-2W	9	1	Under
04/16	vs SEA	3-2W	8	1	Under
04/15	vs SEA	4-1W	6	3	Under
04/14	vs SEA	2-4L	4	1	Under
04/12	vs SD	2-10L	3	1	Over
04/11	vs SD	5-1W	9	2	Under
04/10	vs SD	8-9L	8	0	Over
04/09	@ LAD	8-1W	7	1	Over
04/08	@ LAD	1-4L	7	0	Under
04/07	@ LAD	9-7W	9	2	Over
04/05	@ COL	9-8W	10	1	Over
04/04	@ COL	12-2W	14	4	Over
04/03	@ COL	5-0W	9	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.7	9.6	0.356	0.472	42.5%	89.6%	1.8%
#2 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	8.5	11.0	0.252	0.462	33.1%	79.3%	5.4%
#3 Bryan De La Cruz	7.2	9.3	0.253	0.401	32.5%	72.6%	3.1%
#4 Josh Bell	7.5	9.9	0.247	0.419	36.6%	78.6%	4.0%
#5 Jesus Sanchez	7.0	9.2	0.253	0.444	36.5%	80.9%	3.7%
#6 Tim Anderson	6.1	7.6	0.248	0.299	30.7%	60.7%	0.2%
#7 Nick Gordon	6.8	8.9	0.176	0.319	18.7%	50.5%	2.2%
#8 Otto Lopez	7.4	7.4	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#8 Emmanuel Rivera	4.9	6.4	0.265	0.364	35.2%	71.5%	1.6%
#9 Nick Fortes	4.7	6.1	0.203	0.3	28.6%	58.6%	2.1%
#9 Jhonny Pereda	6.8	6.8	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ian Happ	9.5	12.6	0.25	0.43	42.8%	85.8%	3.6%
#2 Dansby Swanson	8.8	11.6	0.244	0.416	37.0%	78.6%	3.9%
#3 Cody Bellinger	9.7	12.8	0.306	0.526	39.5%	92.1%	5.2%
#4 Christopher Morel	8.8	11.7	0.247	0.51	34.6%	85.7%	6.8%
#5 Michael Busch	8.4	11.3	0.167	0.292	27.8%	56.9%	2.8%
#5 Garrett Cooper	7.0	9.2	0.249	0.419	32.8%	74.6%	4.1%
#7 Nico Hoerner	7.6	9.7	0.286	0.387	38.7%	77.4%	1.5%
#8 Miguel Amaya	5.4	7.3	0.214	0.359	38.9%	74.8%	3.8%
#8 Mike Tauchman	7.1	9.5	0.253	0.38	43.4%	81.3%	2.4%
#9 Alexander Canario	5.1	6.8	0.294	0.647	29.4%	94.1%	5.9%
#9 Yan Gomes	6.2	8.1	0.265	0.407	34.4%	75.1%	2.6%