Marlins vs Cubs Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 18th 2024
Marlins
4W-15L
April 18, 2024
07:40PM EST
Odds: 8.0 o/u
Cubs
11W-7L
Get ready to dive into the deep end tonight as the struggling Miami Marlins swim upstream to the iconic Wrigley Field, hoping to snap at the heels of the Chicago Cubs in a classic underdog showdown. The Marlins, floundering at the bottom of the National League with just four wins, are looking to make a splash against the Cubs, who are sitting pretty near the top, just a whisker away from the conference lead. With the first pitch at 07:40 PM EST and the air at Wrigley as chilly as the Marlins’ recent game stats, the stage is set for a clash that’s got an over/under of 8.0, tempting bettors to pick sides in this windy city matchup. While the Cubs recently clawed their way to a victory against Arizona, the Marlins are still licking their wounds from a tussle with San Francisco. Tonight, it’s all about whether the Marlins can fish out a win, or if the Cubs will bear down and keep their winning streak growling.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 18, 2024 07:40PM EST
Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago
Weather: Overcast with winds from the N at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 54.0° with 61% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| MIA ML | CHC ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +130 | -155 | 8.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +138 | -164 | 7.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +8 | -9 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
42.0% Win Probability
58.0% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/28/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 2 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | ||||
| 04/29/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 6 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 7 | ||||
| 04/30/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 3 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | ||||
| 05/05/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 1 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 4 | ||||
| 05/06/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 2 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 4 | ||||
| 05/07/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 4 |
Marlins Vs Over/Under
Cubs Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09-24 | @NYY | 2-3L | 4.7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | Under |
| 04-03-24 | vsLAA | 10-2L | 4.0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | Over |
| 03-29-24 | vsPIT | 7-2L | 2.0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | Over |
| 09-30-23 | @PIT | 7-3W | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | Over |
| 09-27-23 | @NYM | 4-2W | 1.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Under |
| 09-23-23 | vsMIL | 4-5W | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Over |
| 09-19-23 | vsNYM | 3-4W | 0.7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 09-18-23 | vsNYM | 2-1L | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Under |
| 09-15-23 | vsATL | 6-9W | 1.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Over |
| 09-12-23 | @MIL | 1-3L | 0.7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | Under |
| 04-17-24 | vsSF | 3-1L | 5.7 | 4 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 04-12-24 | vsATL | 8-1L | 5.0 | 8 | 2 | 5 | Over |
| 04-06-24 | @STL | 1-3L | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | Under |
| 03-31-24 | vsPIT | 9-7L | 5.0 | 7 | 4 | 6 | Over |
| 04-19-23 | vsSF | 5-2L | 3.0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | Under |
| 04-14-23 | vsARI | 1-5W | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 04-08-23 | @NYM | 2-5L | 4.7 | 4 | 3 | 5 | Under |
| 04-02-23 | vsNYM | 5-1L | 4.3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | Under |
| 09-17-22 | vsWAS | 5-1L | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | Under |
| 09-12-22 | vsTEX | 5-1L | 6.3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30-23 | @MIL | 10-6W | 4.0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | Over |
| 09-27-23 | @ATL | 5-6L | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | Over |
| 09-22-23 | vsCOL | 0-6W | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | Under |
| 09-13-23 | @COL | 3-7L | 5.0 | 7 | 5 | 5 | Over |
| 09-08-23 | vsARI | 1-0L | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | Under |
| 09-03-23 | @CIN | 15-7W | 5.7 | 7 | 5 | 7 | Over |
| 08-28-23 | vsMIL | 6-2L | 6.0 | 9 | 5 | 6 | Over |
| 08-23-23 | @DET | 6-4W | 5.7 | 4 | 4 | 6 | Over |
| 08-18-23 | vsKC | 4-3L | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | Under |
| 08-13-23 | @TOR | 4-11L | 3.0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | Over |
| 04-17-24 | @ARI | 5-3W | 4.3 | 5 | 2 | 5 | Over |
| 04-12-24 | @SEA | 2-4L | 4.0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | Under |
| 04-06-24 | vsLAD | 4-1L | 4.7 | 6 | 2 | 7 | Under |
| 03-31-24 | @TEX | 9-5W | 4.0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | Over |
| 09-30-23 | @MIL | 10-6W | 1.7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | Over |
| 09-24-23 | vsCOL | 3-4W | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | Under |
| 09-17-23 | @ARI | 2-6L | 4.3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 09-11-23 | @COL | 5-4W | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | Over |
| 09-06-23 | vsSF | 2-8W | 6.7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | Over |
| 09-01-23 | @CIN | 6-2W | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | Over |
Marlins Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/19 | @ SF | 1-3L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 04/18 | @ SF | 6-3W | 8 | 0 | Over |
| 04/17 | @ SF | 3-4L | 10 | 1 | Under |
| 04/16 | @ ATL | 7-9L | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 04/15 | @ ATL | 5-1W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/14 | @ ATL | 1-8L | 6 | 0 | Over |
| 04/12 | vs NYY | 5-2W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 04/11 | vs NYY | 2-3L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 04/10 | vs NYY | 0-7L | 2 | 0 | Under |
| 04/09 | vs STL | 10-3W | 13 | 2 | Over |
| 04/08 | vs STL | 1-3L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/06 | vs STL | 5-8L | 9 | 3 | Over |
| 04/05 | @ LAA | 2-10L | 4 | 0 | Over |
| 04/04 | @ LAA | 1-3L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 04/03 | @ LAA | 4-7L | 9 | 0 | Over |
Cubs Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/19 | vs ARI | 5-3W | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 04/18 | vs ARI | 11-11L | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 04/17 | vs ARI | 3-2W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 04/16 | vs SEA | 3-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/15 | vs SEA | 4-1W | 6 | 3 | Under |
| 04/14 | vs SEA | 2-4L | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 04/12 | vs SD | 2-10L | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 04/11 | vs SD | 5-1W | 9 | 2 | Under |
| 04/10 | vs SD | 8-9L | 8 | 0 | Over |
| 04/09 | @ LAD | 8-1W | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 04/08 | @ LAD | 1-4L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 04/07 | @ LAD | 9-7W | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 04/05 | @ COL | 9-8W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 04/04 | @ COL | 12-2W | 14 | 4 | Over |
| 04/03 | @ COL | 5-0W | 9 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Miami Marlins | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Luis Arraez
|
7.7 | 9.6 | 0.356 | 0.472 | 42.5% | 89.6% | 1.8% |
| 8.5 | 11.0 | 0.252 | 0.462 | 33.1% | 79.3% | 5.4% | |
| 7.2 | 9.3 | 0.253 | 0.401 | 32.5% | 72.6% | 3.1% | |
|
#4
Josh Bell
|
7.5 | 9.9 | 0.247 | 0.419 | 36.6% | 78.6% | 4.0% |
| 7.0 | 9.2 | 0.253 | 0.444 | 36.5% | 80.9% | 3.7% | |
|
#6
Tim Anderson
|
6.1 | 7.6 | 0.248 | 0.299 | 30.7% | 60.7% | 0.2% |
|
#7
Nick Gordon
|
6.8 | 8.9 | 0.176 | 0.319 | 18.7% | 50.5% | 2.2% |
|
#8
Otto Lopez
|
7.4 | 7.4 | nan | nan | nan% | nan% | nan% |
| 4.9 | 6.4 | 0.265 | 0.364 | 35.2% | 71.5% | 1.6% | |
|
#9
Nick Fortes
|
4.7 | 6.1 | 0.203 | 0.3 | 28.6% | 58.6% | 2.1% |
| 6.8 | 6.8 | nan | nan | nan% | nan% | nan% |
| Chicago Cubs | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Ian Happ
|
9.5 | 12.6 | 0.25 | 0.43 | 42.8% | 85.8% | 3.6% |
| 8.8 | 11.6 | 0.244 | 0.416 | 37.0% | 78.6% | 3.9% | |
| 9.7 | 12.8 | 0.306 | 0.526 | 39.5% | 92.1% | 5.2% | |
| 8.8 | 11.7 | 0.247 | 0.51 | 34.6% | 85.7% | 6.8% | |
| 8.4 | 11.3 | 0.167 | 0.292 | 27.8% | 56.9% | 2.8% | |
| 7.0 | 9.2 | 0.249 | 0.419 | 32.8% | 74.6% | 4.1% | |
|
#7
Nico Hoerner
|
7.6 | 9.7 | 0.286 | 0.387 | 38.7% | 77.4% | 1.5% |
|
#8
Miguel Amaya
|
5.4 | 7.3 | 0.214 | 0.359 | 38.9% | 74.8% | 3.8% |
| 7.1 | 9.5 | 0.253 | 0.38 | 43.4% | 81.3% | 2.4% | |
| 5.1 | 6.8 | 0.294 | 0.647 | 29.4% | 94.1% | 5.9% | |
|
#9
Yan Gomes
|
6.2 | 8.1 | 0.265 | 0.407 | 34.4% | 75.1% | 2.6% |
Marlins Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Cubs Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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