Marlins vs Cubs Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 19th 2024

Today’s MLB showdown at the iconic Wrigley Field promises to stir up the winds in Chicago as the struggling Miami Marlins, sitting at a chilly 4-15, look to heat things up against the sizzling Chicago Cubs, who are currently boasting an impressive 11-7 record. With the first pitch set to fly at 2:20 PM EST, the stakes are high and the betting lines hotter with an over/under of 10.0. The Cubs are riding the wave of a recent victory, while the Marlins are trying to rebound from their latest dip. With partly cloudy skies and a brisk wind from the NW, today’s game is more than just a battle of bats and gloves—it’s a clash of hope against momentum. So, as the Cubs try to claw their way closer to the top and the Marlins fish for a much-needed win, let’s see if Miami can make a splash or if they’ll just flounder in the Cub’s den.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 19, 2024 02:20PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NW at 15.0 mph. Temperature is at 48.0° with 37% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+141	-170	10.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+153	-185	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+12	-15	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

95W-150L

39.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

122W-120L

60.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/28/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-5.0
04/28/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-5.0
04/29/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+3.0
04/29/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+3.0
04/30/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-3.0
04/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-3.0
05/05/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-5.0
05/05/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-5.0
05/06/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-4.0
05/06/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-4.0
05/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Under	-1.0
05/07/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-1.0

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

A.J. Puk

ERA 4.129 | IP 56.7 | 6.0W-5.0L | KO 78.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-09-24	@NYY	2-3L	4.7	4	2	2	Under
04-03-24	vsLAA	10-2L	4.0	5	4	5	Over
03-29-24	vsPIT	7-2L	2.0	3	4	1	Under
09-30-23	@PIT	7-3W	2.0	3	1	3	Over
09-27-23	@NYM	4-2W	1.7	1	0	2	Under
09-23-23	vsMIL	4-5W	1.0	2	1	1	Under
09-19-23	vsNYM	3-4W	0.7	3	0	1	Under
09-18-23	vsNYM	2-1L	1.7	0	0	2	Under
09-15-23	vsATL	6-9W	1.3	0	0	3	Over
09-12-23	@MIL	1-3L	0.7	2	1	2	Under

Jameson Taillon

ERA 5.015 | IP 154.3 | 8.0W-10.0L | KO 140.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-30-23	@MIL	10-6W	4.0	3	0	3	Over
09-27-23	@ATL	5-6L	6.0	3	2	3	Over
09-22-23	vsCOL	0-6W	6.0	4	0	7	Under
09-13-23	@COL	3-7L	5.0	7	5	5	Over
09-08-23	vsARI	1-0L	6.0	1	0	9	Under
09-03-23	@CIN	15-7W	5.7	7	5	7	Over
08-28-23	vsMIL	6-2L	6.0	9	5	6	Under
08-23-23	@DET	6-4W	5.7	4	4	6	Over
08-18-23	vsKC	4-3L	6.0	6	4	3	Under
08-13-23	@TOR	4-11L	3.0	8	8	2	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/19	@ SF	1-3L	6	1	Under
04/18	@ SF	6-3W	8	0	Under
04/17	@ SF	3-4L	10	1	Under
04/16	@ ATL	7-9L	9	2	Over
04/15	@ ATL	5-1W	8	1	Under
04/14	@ ATL	1-8L	6	0	Under
04/12	vs NYY	5-2W	6	1	Under
04/11	vs NYY	2-3L	4	0	Under
04/10	vs NYY	0-7L	2	0	Under
04/09	vs STL	10-3W	13	2	Over
04/08	vs STL	1-3L	8	0	Under
04/06	vs STL	5-8L	9	3	Over
04/05	@ LAA	2-10L	4	0	Over
04/04	@ LAA	1-3L	5	1	Under
04/03	@ LAA	4-7L	9	0	Over

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/19	vs ARI	5-3W	9	1	Under
04/18	vs ARI	11-11L	14	1	Over
04/17	vs ARI	3-2W	9	1	Under
04/16	vs SEA	3-2W	8	1	Under
04/15	vs SEA	4-1W	6	3	Under
04/14	vs SEA	2-4L	4	1	Under
04/12	vs SD	2-10L	3	1	Over
04/11	vs SD	5-1W	9	2	Under
04/10	vs SD	8-9L	8	0	Over
04/09	@ LAD	8-1W	7	1	Under
04/08	@ LAD	1-4L	7	0	Under
04/07	@ LAD	9-7W	9	2	Over
04/05	@ COL	9-8W	10	1	Over
04/04	@ COL	12-2W	14	4	Over
04/03	@ COL	5-0W	9	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	8.2	10.3	0.356	0.472	42.5%	89.6%	1.8%
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	8.6	11.2	0.253	0.401	32.5%	72.6%	3.1%
#3 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	9.4	12.2	0.252	0.462	33.1%	79.3%	5.4%
#4 Josh Bell	8.2	10.7	0.247	0.419	36.6%	78.6%	4.0%
#5 Jesus Sanchez	8.2	10.8	0.253	0.444	36.5%	80.9%	3.7%
#6 Tim Anderson	6.4	7.9	0.248	0.299	30.7%	60.7%	0.2%
#7 Nick Gordon	6.6	8.7	0.176	0.319	18.7%	50.5%	2.2%
#8 Emmanuel Rivera	5.9	7.6	0.265	0.364	35.2%	71.5%	1.6%
#9 Nick Fortes	5.5	7.2	0.203	0.3	28.6%	58.6%	2.1%

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner	9.7	12.4	0.286	0.387	38.7%	77.4%	1.5%
#2 Dansby Swanson	9.0	11.9	0.244	0.416	37.0%	78.6%	3.9%
#3 Cody Bellinger	8.2	10.8	0.306	0.526	39.5%	92.1%	5.2%
#4 Christopher Morel	8.7	11.6	0.247	0.51	34.6%	85.7%	6.8%
#5 Garrett Cooper	8.5	11.1	0.249	0.419	32.8%	74.6%	4.1%
#6 Michael Busch	7.5	10.0	0.167	0.292	27.8%	56.9%	2.8%
#7 Ian Happ	8.2	10.9	0.25	0.43	42.8%	85.8%	3.6%
#8 Miguel Amaya	6.2	8.3	0.214	0.359	38.9%	74.8%	3.8%
#9 Alexander Canario	5.3	7.0	0.294	0.647	29.4%	94.1%	5.9%