Marlins vs Reds Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the deep end tonight as the Miami Marlins swim upstream to the Great American Ball Park, looking to make a splash against the Cincinnati Reds at 07:10PM EST. With the Marlins floundering 28.5 games back and the Reds fishing for a spot just 9 games behind in the National League standings, this matchup is more than just a game—it’s a quest for redemption. The odds-makers have cast their nets with an over/under at 9.5, favoring the Reds at -154, thanks to their recent 8-1 thrashing of Colorado. Meanwhile, the Marlins are trying to shake off the salt from a 3-6 defeat against Houston. With sunny skies and a gentle breeze setting the stage, tonight’s game promises to be anything but waterlogged. So, will the Marlins find calm waters, or will the Reds keep riding the wave of their recent success? Either way, expect this game to reel you in hook, line, and sinker!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 12, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Weather: Sunny with winds from the NE at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 82.9° with 68% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	CIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+129	-154	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+143	-174	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+14	-20	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

107W-176L

41.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

135W-154L

58.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/12/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+1.5
05/12/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+1.5
05/13/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+1.5
05/13/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+1.5
05/14/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-5.5
05/14/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-5.5
08/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-2.5
08/07/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Under	-2.5
08/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-4.5
08/08/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-4.5
08/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Under	-0.5
08/09/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-0.5

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Yonny Chirinos

ERA 4.19 | IP 19.3 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 20.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-06-24	vsCWS	3-4W	5.0	6	3	5	Under
06-30-24	@PHI	6-7L	4.3	9	3	4	Over
06-25-24	@KC	2-1W	5.0	3	1	5	Under
06-19-24	vsSTL	3-4W	5.0	8	2	6	Under
08-19-23	@SF	5-6W	4.0	7	4	4	Over
08-13-23	@NYM	6-7W	4.7	7	6	5	Over
08-08-23	@PIT	8-6L	5.0	7	6	5	Over
08-02-23	@LAA	5-12W	5.0	6	3	5	Over
07-28-23	@MIL	7-10W	3.7	6	4	3	Over
07-16-23	@KC	4-8W	4.7	4	3	1	Over

Carson Spiers

ERA 3.643 | IP 42.0 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 32.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-05-24	vsDET	5-4L	4.7	8	4	3	Push
06-29-24	@STL	9-4W	6.0	3	2	4	Over
06-24-24	vsPIT	5-11W	6.0	7	3	5	Over
06-17-24	@PIT	1-4L	6.0	7	4	5	Under
06-09-24	vsCHC	4-2L	5.7	4	0	7	Under
05-26-24	vsLAD	1-4W	3.3	3	1	3	Under
05-22-24	vsSD	7-3L	3.3	2	0	1	Over
05-18-24	@LAD	0-4L	3.0	3	1	3	Under
04-09-24	vsMIL	9-5L	4.0	7	4	1	Over
09-29-23	@STL	19-2W	3.0	1	0	1	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/13	vs HOU	3-6L	11	2	Push
07/12	vs HOU	1-9L	6	0	Over
07/11	vs HOU	3-4L	6	2	Under
07/09	@ CWS	7-4W	7	1	Over
07/08	@ CWS	4-3W	9	1	Under
07/07	@ CWS	2-3L	7	0	Under
07/06	@ BOS	5-6L	8	1	Over
07/05	@ BOS	2-7L	9	0	Push
07/04	@ BOS	3-8L	7	2	Over
07/02	vs PHI	6-7L	11	1	Over
07/01	vs PHI	3-2W	8	1	Under
06/30	vs PHI	0-2L	3	0	Under
06/29	vs PHI	7-4W	13	1	Over
06/28	vs KC	1-5L	5	0	Under
06/27	vs KC	2-1W	7	0	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/13	@ COL	8-1W	14	3	Push
07/12	@ COL	5-6L	12	2	Over
07/11	@ COL	12-6W	13	4	Over
07/10	@ COL	6-0W	8	1	Under
07/09	@ DET	1-5L	4	0	Under
07/08	@ DET	3-5L	6	1	Under
07/07	@ DET	4-5L	7	1	Push
07/06	vs NYY	8-4W	9	3	Over
07/05	vs NYY	3-2W	3	2	Under
07/04	vs NYY	5-4W	5	2	Push
07/02	vs STL	0-2L	2	0	Under
07/01	vs STL	9-4W	13	0	Over
06/30	vs STL	0-1L	4	0	Under
06/29	vs STL	11-4W	16	1	Over
06/28	@ PIT	1-6L	4	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	9.5	12.2	0.249	0.413	0.352	0.765	0.312	0.035
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	9.1	11.8	0.247	0.422	0.318	0.740	0.305	0.044
#3 Josh Bell	8.6	11.2	0.227	0.348	0.316	0.664	0.276	0.023
#4 Jesus Sanchez	8.7	11.2	0.244	0.416	0.317	0.733	0.303	0.038
#5 Jake Burger	7.7	10.0	0.211	0.345	0.269	0.615	0.257	0.033
#6 Xavier Edwards	6.6	8.2	0.310	0.381	0.429	0.810	0.327	0.000
#7 Nick Gordon	6.2	8.1	0.226	0.387	0.267	0.654	0.273	0.037
#8 Vidal Brujan	5.0	6.5	0.218	0.318	0.329	0.647	0.269	0.006
#9 Ali Sanchez	5.2	6.1	0.208	0.208	0.333	0.542	0.231	0.000

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	9.4	12.3	0.276	0.419	0.442	0.860	0.343	0.023
#2 Elly De La Cruz	9.7	12.6	0.250	0.466	0.391	0.856	0.343	0.043
#3 Jeimer Candelario	9.2	12.1	0.240	0.449	0.321	0.769	0.316	0.045
#4 Spencer Steer	9.1	12.2	0.245	0.442	0.391	0.833	0.335	0.042
#5 Jake Fraley	8.6	10.7	0.273	0.351	0.361	0.711	0.293	0.005
#6 Tyler Stephenson	7.8	10.4	0.238	0.444	0.347	0.791	0.323	0.042
#7 Noelvi Marte	6.8	9.0	0.164	0.255	0.200	0.455	0.195	0.018
#8 Will Benson	6.9	9.1	0.192	0.384	0.316	0.700	0.287	0.040
#9 Rece Hinds	5.9	7.4	0.500	1.188	0.500	1.688	0.699	0.125

Marlins Notable Injuries

Jesus Luzardo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 6.0
Braxton Garrett OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/19/24. Impact: 6.0
Otto Lopez OUT (2B): Avg: 0.252 SLG:0.35 Last game: 07/02/24. Impact: 1.7

Reds Notable Injuries

TJ Friedl OUT (OF): Avg: 0.208 SLG:0.354 Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 2.4
Nick Martini OUT (OF): Avg: 0.212 SLG:0.37 Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 2.3
Stuart Fairchild OUT (OF): Avg: 0.224 SLG:0.347 Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 2.6
Luke Maile OUT (C): Avg: 0.176 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/06/24. Impact: 1.6