Marlins vs Astros Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the sizzle of today’s MLB showdown as the Miami Marlins swim upstream to clash with the Houston Astros at the electric Minute Maid Park! With the first pitch slated for 08:10 PM EST, the scene is set under a partly cloudy sky, where the breeze whispers secrets of strategy at a cool 82 degrees. The Marlins, fresh off a spirited victory, are looking to net another win against the Astros, who are eager to rocket past a recent stumble. With stakes high in the league standings and the betting lines buzzing, tonight’s matchup promises more twists and turns than a high-speed chase through the ocean. So, as the Marlins try to make waves and the Astros aim to launch out of this world, let’s see who will truly dominate the diamond!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 09, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NW at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 82.0° with 88% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+190	-230	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+190	-230	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

107W-173L

34.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

166W-115L

65.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/14/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Over	+4.5
08/14/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+4.5
08/15/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Over	+9.5
08/15/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+9.5
08/16/23	Houston Astros HOU	12	Over	+15.5
08/16/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+15.5

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Astros Vs Over/Under

Trevor Rogers

ERA 4.909 | IP 84.3 | 1.0W-9.0L | KO 70.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-03-24	vsBOS	7-2L	3.0	5	2	6	Over
06-27-24	@PHI	7-4W	6.0	6	3	4	Over
06-21-24	vsSEA	2-3W	6.3	4	2	5	Under
06-15-24	@WAS	0-4L	7.0	6	2	3	Under
06-09-24	vsCLE	6-3L	5.0	2	1	5	Over
06-02-24	vsTEX	6-0L	6.0	6	4	3	Under
05-27-24	@SD	1-2L	5.3	6	1	3	Under
05-21-24	vsMIL	7-5L	3.7	6	4	4	Over
05-15-24	@DET	2-0W	5.0	3	0	6	Under
05-10-24	vsPHI	8-2L	3.3	9	5	3	Over

Ronel Blanco

ERA 2.531 | IP 96.0 | 8.0W-3.0L | KO 88.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-03-24	@TOR	9-2W	5.7	4	2	4	Over
06-28-24	@NYM	2-7L	5.7	6	6	5	Over
06-22-24	vsBAL	1-5W	7.0	4	1	4	Under
06-16-24	vsDET	1-4W	7.0	0	0	8	Under
06-11-24	@SF	3-1W	6.0	3	1	8	Under
06-05-24	vsSTL	4-2L	5.7	5	4	2	Under
05-31-24	vsMIN	6-1L	4.7	3	4	6	Under
05-26-24	@OAK	5-2W	7.0	4	1	6	Under
05-14-24	vsOAK	1-2W	3.0	4	0	4	Under
05-09-24	@NYY	4-3W	5.7	4	2	5	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/09	@ CWS	7-4W	7	1	Over
07/08	@ CWS	4-3W	9	1	Under
07/07	@ CWS	2-3L	7	0	Under
07/06	@ BOS	5-6L	8	1	Over
07/05	@ BOS	2-7L	9	0	Over
07/04	@ BOS	3-8L	7	2	Over
07/02	vs PHI	6-7L	11	1	Over
07/01	vs PHI	3-2W	8	1	Under
06/30	vs PHI	0-2L	3	0	Under
06/29	vs PHI	7-4W	13	1	Over
06/28	vs KC	1-5L	5	0	Under
06/27	vs KC	2-1W	7	0	Under
06/26	vs KC	1-4L	4	0	Under
06/25	@ SEA	6-4W	7	2	Over
06/24	@ SEA	0-9L	4	0	Over

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/09	vs MIN	2-3L	5	0	Under
07/08	vs MIN	3-9L	7	1	Over
07/07	vs MIN	13-12W	16	1	Over
07/06	vs TOR	5-3W	9	1	Under
07/05	vs TOR	9-2W	11	1	Over
07/04	vs TOR	6-7L	8	1	Over
07/03	vs TOR	3-1W	4	2	Under
07/02	vs NYM	10-5W	15	1	Over
07/01	vs NYM	9-6W	10	1	Over
06/30	vs NYM	2-7L	12	1	Over
06/28	@ COL	7-1W	11	0	Under
06/27	@ COL	5-2W	9	0	Under
06/25	@ BAL	8-1W	15	1	Over
06/24	@ BAL	5-1W	6	3	Under
06/23	@ BAL	14-11W	14	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	8.2	10.6	0.249	0.401	0.356	0.757	0.309	0.030
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	7.1	9.2	0.237	0.410	0.308	0.718	0.297	0.042
#3 Josh Bell	7.1	9.2	0.229	0.354	0.321	0.676	0.280	0.024
#4 Jesus Sanchez	7.1	9.2	0.239	0.396	0.314	0.710	0.294	0.035
#5 Jake Burger	7.7	10.0	0.212	0.352	0.269	0.621	0.259	0.034
#6 Xavier Edwards	5.9	7.3	0.312	0.406	0.438	0.844	0.340	0.000
#7 Nick Gordon	5.3	6.9	0.230	0.397	0.273	0.670	0.279	0.038
#8 Vidal Brujan	4.5	5.8	0.227	0.331	0.344	0.675	0.279	0.006
#9 Nick Fortes	4.9	6.3	0.179	0.250	0.214	0.464	0.198	0.012

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	11.1	14.1	0.309	0.464	0.387	0.851	0.347	0.036
#2 Alex Bregman	8.7	11.3	0.251	0.402	0.344	0.746	0.306	0.029
#3 Yordan Alvarez	10.5	13.8	0.298	0.545	0.440	0.985	0.391	0.058
#4 Yainer Diaz	8.4	10.8	0.284	0.416	0.330	0.746	0.309	0.023
#5 Jake Meyers	7.5	9.9	0.241	0.407	0.353	0.759	0.311	0.033
#6 Jeremy Pena	8.0	10.2	0.278	0.393	0.349	0.743	0.307	0.021
#7 Mauricio Dubon	7.1	9.2	0.288	0.397	0.323	0.721	0.300	0.013
#8 Chas McCormick	7.5	9.9	0.204	0.313	0.293	0.605	0.253	0.020
#9 Grae Kessinger	4.6	6.7	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000

Marlins Notable Injuries

Ryan Weathers OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/09/24. Impact: 7.4
Jesus Luzardo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 6.0
Braxton Garrett OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/19/24. Impact: 6.0
Otto Lopez OUT (2B): Avg: 0.252 SLG:0.35 Last game: 07/02/24. Impact: 1.7

Astros Notable Injuries

Justin Verlander OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/11/24. Impact: 7.1
Victor Caratini OUT (C): Avg: 0.248 SLG:0.429 Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 1.7
Jake Bloss OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 1.2