Marlins vs Astros Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the deep end tonight as the Miami Marlins swim upstream to Minute Maid Park, hoping to net a win against the Houston Astros in a clash that’s got all the makings of a major league showdown. With the Marlins floundering in the depths of the National League and the Astros orbiting close to the top of the American League, the stakes are as high as the Texas humidity. The first pitch is set to soar at 08:10 PM EST under partly cloudy skies, with a gentle breeze possibly swaying the game’s trajectory. Odds makers have the Astros favored heavily, setting the line as spicy as a Houston BBQ. But as we all know, in baseball, it’s never over till it’s over. So, as the Marlins try to fish out a victory, let’s see if the Astros can rocket their way to another win in this aquatic meets aerospace encounter!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 10, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NNE at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 84.0° with 72% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+215	-265	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+185	-225	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-30	+40	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

107W-174L

35.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

167W-115L

64.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/09/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-1.0
07/09/24	Houston Astros HOU	4	Under	-1.0
08/14/23	Houston Astros HOU	1	Under	-2.0
08/14/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Under	-2.0
08/15/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Over	+3.0
08/15/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+3.0
08/16/23	Houston Astros HOU	12	Over	+9.0
08/16/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+9.0

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Astros Vs Over/Under

Bryan Hoeing

ERA 1.985 | IP 22.7 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 20.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-05-24	vsCWS	3-2L	3.0	5	1	4	Under
05-01-24	vsCOL	1-4W	1.7	1	0	0	Under
04-28-24	vsWAS	12-9L	1.0	3	2	2	Over
04-26-24	vsWAS	3-1L	1.0	0	0	2	Under
04-24-24	@ATL	3-4L	2.0	0	0	1	Under
04-21-24	@CHC	6-3W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
04-20-24	@CHC	3-5L	1.3	0	0	1	Push
04-15-24	vsSF	4-3L	2.0	0	0	2	Under
04-10-24	@NYY	5-2W	1.0	1	1	2	Under
04-06-24	@STL	1-3L	1.0	2	0	0	Under

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-04-24	@TOR	5-3W	6.0	9	3	4	Push
06-29-24	@NYM	9-6W	4.7	10	6	5	Over
06-23-24	vsBAL	1-8W	7.0	6	1	7	Over
06-18-24	@CWS	0-2L	6.0	2	2	5	Under
06-12-24	@SF	3-5L	4.0	8	5	1	Push
06-07-24	@LAA	7-1W	9.0	4	1	8	Push
06-01-24	vsMIN	2-5W	7.0	2	1	4	Under
05-27-24	@SEA	2-3L	6.0	6	3	4	Under
05-20-24	vsLAA	9-7L	5.0	10	8	3	Over
05-15-24	vsOAK	0-3W	7.0	2	0	8	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/11	vs HOU	3-4L	6	2	Under
07/09	@ CWS	7-4W	7	1	Over
07/08	@ CWS	4-3W	9	1	Under
07/07	@ CWS	2-3L	7	0	Under
07/06	@ BOS	5-6L	8	1	Over
07/05	@ BOS	2-7L	9	0	Over
07/04	@ BOS	3-8L	7	2	Over
07/02	vs PHI	6-7L	11	1	Over
07/01	vs PHI	3-2W	8	1	Under
06/30	vs PHI	0-2L	3	0	Under
06/29	vs PHI	7-4W	13	1	Over
06/28	vs KC	1-5L	5	0	Under
06/27	vs KC	2-1W	7	0	Under
06/26	vs KC	1-4L	4	0	Under
06/25	@ SEA	6-4W	7	2	Over

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/11	@ MIA	4-3W	7	1	Under
07/09	vs MIN	2-3L	5	0	Under
07/08	vs MIN	3-9L	7	1	Over
07/07	vs MIN	13-12W	16	1	Over
07/06	vs TOR	5-3W	9	1	Push
07/05	vs TOR	9-2W	11	1	Over
07/04	vs TOR	6-7L	8	1	Over
07/03	vs TOR	3-1W	4	2	Under
07/02	vs NYM	10-5W	15	1	Over
07/01	vs NYM	9-6W	10	1	Over
06/30	vs NYM	2-7L	12	1	Over
06/28	@ COL	7-1W	11	0	Push
06/27	@ COL	5-2W	9	0	Under
06/25	@ BAL	8-1W	15	1	Over
06/24	@ BAL	5-1W	6	3	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	8.4	10.8	0.252	0.411	0.357	0.769	0.313	0.033
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	7.1	9.2	0.241	0.412	0.314	0.725	0.300	0.042
#3 Josh Bell	6.8	8.8	0.226	0.350	0.318	0.668	0.277	0.024
#4 Jake Burger	7.2	9.4	0.213	0.352	0.273	0.625	0.261	0.034
#5 Dane Myers	6.3	8.4	0.267	0.440	0.387	0.827	0.336	0.027
#6 Emmanuel Rivera	5.6	7.4	0.213	0.255	0.333	0.589	0.247	0.000
#7 Xavier Edwards	5.2	6.5	0.278	0.361	0.389	0.750	0.306	0.000
#8 Ali Sanchez	5.2	6.2	0.238	0.238	0.381	0.619	0.259	0.000
#9 Vidal Brujan	4.2	5.5	0.223	0.325	0.337	0.663	0.274	0.006

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	9.9	12.6	0.309	0.464	0.385	0.850	0.347	0.036
#2 Alex Bregman	8.7	11.4	0.254	0.412	0.346	0.758	0.311	0.032
#3 Yordan Alvarez	10.9	14.4	0.295	0.538	0.435	0.973	0.387	0.058
#4 Yainer Diaz	7.7	10.0	0.280	0.410	0.326	0.736	0.305	0.023
#5 Jon Singleton	7.0	9.2	0.244	0.366	0.395	0.761	0.307	0.034
#6 Luis Garcia	8.5	8.5	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#6 Jeremy Pena	7.0	9.0	0.278	0.392	0.348	0.740	0.306	0.020
#7 Jake Meyers	6.5	8.6	0.242	0.406	0.352	0.758	0.310	0.033
#8 Joey Loperfido	5.5	7.1	0.276	0.382	0.355	0.737	0.305	0.013
#9 Cesar Salazar	5.0	6.9	0.350	0.450	0.500	0.950	0.378	0.000

Marlins Notable Injuries

Jesus Luzardo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 6.0
Braxton Garrett OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/19/24. Impact: 6.0
Otto Lopez OUT (2B): Avg: 0.252 SLG:0.35 Last game: 07/02/24. Impact: 1.7

Astros Notable Injuries

Justin Verlander OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/11/24. Impact: 7.1
Victor Caratini OUT (C): Avg: 0.248 SLG:0.429 Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 1.7
Jake Bloss OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 1.2