Marlins vs Twins Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into a sizzling matchup as the underdog Miami Marlins swim upstream to clash with the Minnesota Twins at the scenic Target Field tonight at 07:40PM EST! With the Marlins trying to make a splash from the depths of the National League and the Twins looking to chop down their American League deficit, this game is set to be a titanic tussle. The stakes are as high as the Twins’ recent loss to the Marlins, setting the scene for a thrilling revenge or repeat scenario under clear skies and perfect baseball weather. The odds makers have spoken, setting an intriguing line with expectations of a tight scoreline. So, as the Marlins try to net another victory and the Twins aim to axe their recent woes, let’s see if Miami can truly make it rain or if Minnesota will cut through the competition!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 25, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Sunny with winds from the NW at 4.0 mph. Temperature is at 66.9° with 63% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+156	-190	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+154	-186	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-2	+4	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

120W-194L

39.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

170W-142L

60.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/24/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-3.0
09/24/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-3.0
04/03/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	11	Over	+4.0
04/03/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Over	+4.0
04/04/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-7.0
04/04/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-7.0
04/05/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.0
04/05/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Under	-1.0

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Edward Cabrera

ERA 5.124 | IP 91.3 | 4.0W-8.0L | KO 102.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-19-24	vsLAD	20-4L	2.3	4	7	3	Over
09-13-24	@WAS	1-4L	6.0	1	2	9	Under
09-08-24	vsPHI	1-10W	7.0	3	0	6	Over
08-31-24	@SF	4-3W	5.3	6	2	3	Under
08-26-24	@COL	2-3L	5.3	6	3	8	Under
08-20-24	vsARI	3-1L	6.0	4	3	3	Under
08-14-24	@PHI	5-9L	4.0	6	6	2	Over
08-09-24	vsSD	6-2L	7.0	4	0	4	Under
08-04-24	@ATL	7-0W	5.0	3	0	8	Under
07-30-24	@TB	3-9L	5.0	3	2	7	Over

S. Woods

ERA 4.003 | IP 132.7 | 5.0W-5.0L | KO 115.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-19-24	@CLE	2-3L	4.7	5	1	6	Under
09-14-24	vsCIN	11-1L	3.0	5	3	3	Over
09-08-24	@KC	0-2L	4.3	3	2	2	Under
09-02-24	@TB	5-4W	3.7	6	3	2	Over
08-27-24	vsATL	8-6L	4.7	3	4	3	Over
08-21-24	@SD	11-4W	5.0	3	1	7	Over
08-16-24	@TEX	4-3W	5.0	3	2	1	Under
08-10-24	vsCLE	2-1L	7.0	4	2	7	Under
08-04-24	vsCWS	7-13W	4.0	6	3	6	Over
07-29-24	@NYM	2-15L	3.3	7	6	2	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/26	vs MIN	4-1W	10	1	Under
09/24	@ ATL	4-5L	9	4	Over
09/24	@ ATL	4-5L	9	4	Over
09/23	@ ATL	2-6L	6	0	Under
09/22	@ ATL	4-3W	8	0	Under
09/21	@ LAD	4-20L	9	3	Over
09/20	@ LAD	4-8L	8	0	Over
09/19	@ LAD	11-9W	15	2	Over
09/17	vs WAS	3-4L	6	1	Under
09/16	vs WAS	1-4L	6	0	Under
09/15	vs WAS	1-4L	8	1	Under
09/14	vs WAS	6-3W	8	0	Over
09/13	vs PIT	1-3L	5	0	Under
09/12	vs PIT	4-6L	9	0	Over
09/11	vs PIT	2-3L	8	0	Under

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/26	@ MIA	1-4L	8	0	Under
09/24	vs BOS	1-8L	4	0	Over
09/24	vs BOS	3-9L	8	0	Over
09/24	vs BOS	1-8L	4	0	Over
09/24	vs BOS	3-9L	8	0	Over
09/22	vs BOS	4-2W	13	0	Under
09/21	vs CLE	2-3L	3	0	Under
09/20	vs CLE	4-5L	8	0	Over
09/19	vs CLE	4-1W	8	1	Under
09/18	vs CLE	3-4L	8	0	Under
09/17	@ CIN	9-2W	12	1	Over
09/16	@ CIN	1-11L	5	0	Over
09/15	@ CIN	4-8L	5	1	Over
09/13	@ LAA	6-4W	11	1	Over
09/12	@ LAA	10-5W	10	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Xavier Edwards	8.1	10.1	0.303	0.373	0.418	0.791	0.320	0.004
#2 Connor Norby	8.0	10.6	0.247	0.494	0.329	0.823	0.336	0.063
#3 Jesus Sanchez	7.1	9.3	0.248	0.425	0.338	0.763	0.313	0.041
#4 Jake Burger	7.9	10.4	0.243	0.455	0.322	0.776	0.320	0.057
#5 Kyle Stowers	5.7	7.4	0.203	0.328	0.271	0.599	0.251	0.016
#6 Jonah Bride	5.8	7.7	0.261	0.441	0.412	0.853	0.341	0.047
#7 Griffin Conine	6.1	8.0	0.246	0.431	0.354	0.785	0.320	0.031
#8 Otto Lopez	5.9	7.4	0.268	0.374	0.332	0.706	0.292	0.015
#9 Nick Fortes	4.8	6.2	0.224	0.315	0.271	0.586	0.247	0.014

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Byron Buxton	10.5	13.9	0.276	0.511	0.365	0.876	0.358	0.049
#2 Trevor Larnach	7.7	10.2	0.252	0.425	0.371	0.796	0.323	0.042
#3 Carlos Correa	8.6	11.3	0.303	0.500	0.430	0.930	0.371	0.041
#4 Carlos Santana	7.5	9.9	0.232	0.411	0.362	0.774	0.315	0.043
#5 Royce Lewis	8.3	11.0	0.243	0.471	0.339	0.811	0.331	0.057
#6 Willi Castro	8.0	10.5	0.251	0.391	0.385	0.776	0.316	0.022
#7 Kyle Farmer	6.3	8.4	0.230	0.373	0.349	0.722	0.297	0.024
#8 Brooks Lee	5.4	7.1	0.214	0.312	0.273	0.584	0.245	0.019
#9 Christian Vazquez	5.6	7.1	0.240	0.352	0.279	0.631	0.264	0.024

Marlins Notable Injuries

Max Meyer OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/05/24. Impact: 3.6
John McMillon OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/13/24. Impact: 2.0
Calvin Faucher OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 1.6
Mike Baumann OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/24/24. Impact: 0.7