Marlins vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the deep end tonight as the Miami Marlins swim up to the Big Apple, ready to clash fins with the New York Mets at Citi Field! With first pitch at 07:10 PM EST, the Marlins are looking to make a splash and reel in some much-needed wins, trailing far behind in the National League standings. Meanwhile, the Mets, fresh off a gritty performance against Philly, are set to defend their turf and climb up from their own mid-pack muddle. The stakes are high with the over/under tantalizingly set at 7.5, and the weather playing nice at a cool 66.9° under partly cloudy skies. Will the Marlins manage to fish out a victory, or will the Mets swing their way to triumph? One thing’s for sure, tonight’s game is going to be a real ‘Met’-chup!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 11, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 66.9° with 61% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+117	-140	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+125	-149	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+8	-9	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

103W-164L

44.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

153W-119L

55.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/17/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Over	+0.5
05/17/24	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+0.5
05/18/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+11.5
05/18/24	Miami Marlins MIA	10	Over	+11.5
05/19/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+2.5
05/19/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+2.5
03/30/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+0.5
03/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+0.5
03/31/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-4.5
03/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-4.5
04/01/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+0.5
04/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+0.5
04/02/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-1.5
04/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-1.5
04/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+4.5
04/07/23	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+4.5
04/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-0.5
04/08/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-0.5
04/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+1.5
04/09/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+1.5
09/18/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-4.5
09/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-4.5
09/19/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-0.5
09/19/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-0.5
09/20/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+3.5
09/20/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+3.5
09/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
09/27/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-1.5
09/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+5.5
09/27/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+5.5
10/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-6.5
10/02/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-6.5

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Jesus Luzardo

ERA 5.304 | IP 56.0 | 2.0W-5.0L | KO 52.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-04-24	vsTB	9-5L	4.3	9	9	2	Over
05-28-24	@SD	0-4L	6.0	7	3	4	Under
05-22-24	vsMIL	0-1W	8.0	3	0	4	Under
05-17-24	vsNYM	0-8W	6.0	5	0	7	Over
05-11-24	vsPHI	8-3L	5.7	4	2	8	Over
04-20-24	@CHC	3-2W	6.0	3	2	6	Under
04-14-24	vsATL	9-7L	5.0	7	5	4	Over
04-08-24	@NYY	0-7L	4.7	8	7	4	Under
04-02-24	vsLAA	3-1L	5.3	4	3	5	Under
03-28-24	vsPIT	6-5L	5.0	2	2	8	Over

Tylor Megill

ERA 3.0 | IP 21.0 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 24.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-03-24	@WAS	8-7W	5.0	7	5	4	Over
05-28-24	vsLAD	5-2L	7.0	3	0	9	Under
05-20-24	@CLE	1-3L	5.0	4	3	7	Under
03-31-24	vsMIL	4-1L	4.0	3	2	4	Under
09-30-23	vsPHI	3-4W	7.3	4	1	7	Under
09-22-23	@PHI	4-5L	6.0	5	3	6	Over
09-16-23	vsCIN	3-2L	5.7	9	3	2	Under
09-10-23	@MIN	2-0W	5.0	2	0	2	Under
09-03-23	vsSEA	3-6W	5.3	5	3	6	Over
08-28-23	vsTEX	4-3L	6.0	5	1	8	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/11	@ CLE	3-6L	5	2	Over
06/10	@ CLE	0-8L	4	0	Over
06/09	@ CLE	3-2W	7	2	Under
06/07	@ TB	3-5L	7	0	Over
06/06	@ TB	5-9L	12	1	Over
06/04	@ TEX	0-6L	7	0	Under
06/03	@ TEX	0-7L	7	0	Under
06/02	@ TEX	8-2W	12	2	Over
05/31	vs SD	9-1W	16	1	Over
05/30	vs SD	0-4L	6	0	Under
05/29	vs SD	1-2L	4	1	Under
05/28	vs ARI	3-1W	9	0	Under
05/27	vs ARI	2-3L	11	0	Under
05/26	vs ARI	3-0W	9	1	Under
05/24	@ MIL	1-0W	4	1	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/11	vs PHI	5-5L	7	0	Over
06/10	@ PHI	2-7L	10	0	Over
06/07	vs WAS	9-1W	11	3	Over
06/06	vs WAS	6-3W	13	2	Over
06/05	vs WAS	8-7W	13	1	Over
06/04	@ ARI	4-5L	5	0	Over
06/03	@ ARI	5-10L	12	2	Over
06/02	@ ARI	10-9W	14	1	Over
06/01	@ ARI	3-2W	9	2	Under
05/31	@ LAD	3-10L	9	1	Over
05/30	@ LAD	2-5L	4	1	Under
05/30	@ LAD	0-3L	3	0	Under
05/28	@ SF	4-3W	8	0	Under
05/27	@ SF	2-7L	4	2	Over
05/26	@ SF	7-8L	9	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	9.7	12.5	0.245	0.424	34.3%	76.7%	3.7%
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	7.6	9.8	0.248	0.421	32.7%	74.8%	4.3%
#3 Josh Bell	8.1	10.6	0.252	0.394	35.4%	74.8%	2.8%
#4 Jake Burger	7.8	10.2	0.224	0.341	27.1%	61.2%	2.9%
#5 Jesus Sanchez	8.1	10.4	0.239	0.341	31.2%	65.3%	2.3%
#7 Nick Gordon	6.3	8.1	0.234	0.38	27.2%	65.2%	3.8%
#8 Tim Anderson	5.1	6.2	0.188	0.206	23.0%	43.6%	0.0%
#9 Nick Fortes	4.8	6.2	0.169	0.246	22.0%	46.6%	1.7%

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	8.5	11.2	0.235	0.408	33.5%	74.2%	3.8%
#2 Pete Alonso	8.4	11.1	0.24	0.476	36.2%	83.7%	5.7%
#3 Brandon Nimmo	6.9	9.3	0.221	0.381	41.2%	79.2%	3.1%
#4 J.D. Martinez	8.1	10.4	0.264	0.438	34.0%	77.8%	3.5%
#5 Starling Marte	7.3	9.4	0.28	0.421	35.5%	77.6%	2.8%
#6 Mark Vientos	6.5	8.5	0.324	0.592	43.7%	102.8%	7.0%
#7 Harrison Bader	6.2	8.0	0.26	0.362	34.5%	70.6%	1.7%
#8 Jose Iglesias	5.8	7.3	0.409	0.5	45.5%	95.5%	0.0%
#9 Francisco Alvarez	5.4	7.2	0.236	0.364	30.9%	67.3%	1.8%

Marlins Notable Injuries

Ryan Weathers OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/09/24. Impact: 7.4
Sixto Sanchez OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/02/24. Impact: 1.1

Mets Notable Injuries

Edwin Diaz OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/27/24. Impact: 0.9
Drew Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/11/24. Impact: 0.8