Marlins vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready for a showdown at Citi Field tonight as the Miami Marlins, trailing far behind in the standings, swim upstream to face the New York Mets in a clash that’s sure to add some sparks to the National League’s rankings. With the Marlins fresh off a victory and the Mets looking to flip the script from last night’s defeat, the stakes are high and the betting lines are buzzing. The atmosphere is ripe for drama with an overcast sky, a gentle breeze, and the crowd buzzing under the lights at 07:10 PM EST. As these two teams step onto the field, it’s not just about who wins or loses; it’s about pride, position, and pushing past expectations. So, as the Marlins try to net another victory and the Mets aim to catch a big win at home, let’s see who really gets to ride the wave tonight!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 12, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Overcast with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 71.1° with 57% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+123	-147	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+130	-155	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+7	-8	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

104W-164L

43.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

153W-120L

56.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/17/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Over	+0.5
05/17/24	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+0.5
05/18/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+11.5
05/18/24	Miami Marlins MIA	10	Over	+11.5
05/19/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+2.5
05/19/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+2.5
06/11/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
06/11/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-1.5
03/30/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+0.5
03/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+0.5
03/31/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-4.5
03/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-4.5
04/01/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+0.5
04/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+0.5
04/02/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-1.5
04/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-1.5
04/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+4.5
04/07/23	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+4.5
04/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-0.5
04/08/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-0.5
04/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+1.5
04/09/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+1.5
09/18/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-4.5
09/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-4.5
09/19/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-0.5
09/19/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-0.5
09/20/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+3.5
09/20/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+3.5
09/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
09/27/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-1.5
09/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+5.5
09/27/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+5.5
10/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-6.5
10/02/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-6.5

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Braxton Garrett

ERA 5.81 | IP 26.3 | 2.0W-1.0L | KO 24.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-05-24	vsTB	5-3L	2.7	6	5	3	Over
05-29-24	@SD	9-1W	5.0	6	1	2	Over
05-24-24	@ARI	3-0W	9.0	4	0	6	Under
05-18-24	vsNYM	9-10W	4.3	7	6	5	Over
05-12-24	vsPHI	6-7W	5.3	5	5	8	Over
09-27-23	@NYM	2-11L	4.0	3	4	2	Over
09-19-23	vsNYM	3-4W	6.0	5	1	7	Under
09-13-23	@MIL	2-0W	6.0	4	0	7	Under
09-07-23	vsLAD	10-0L	3.7	3	1	4	Over
08-31-23	@WAS	6-1W	6.0	3	1	1	Under

David Peterson

ERA 3.086 | IP 11.7 | 1.0W-0.0L | KO 5.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-04-24	@WAS	6-3W	6.7	5	2	2	Over
05-29-24	vsLAD	10-3L	5.0	7	3	3	Over
10-02-23	vsMIA	0-1W	6.3	4	0	8	Under
09-21-23	@PHI	4-5L	4.0	5	4	7	Over
09-15-23	vsCIN	5-3L	5.7	6	3	10	Over
09-09-23	@MIN	4-8L	6.0	8	3	8	Over
09-02-23	vsSEA	8-7L	4.0	7	4	4	Over
08-27-23	vsLAA	2-3W	7.0	3	1	8	Under
08-21-23	@ATL	10-4W	4.7	7	4	4	Over
08-15-23	vsPIT	7-4L	3.7	3	1	5	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/13	vs NYM	4-2W	5	0	Under
06/11	@ CLE	3-6L	5	2	Over
06/10	@ CLE	0-8L	4	0	Over
06/09	@ CLE	3-2W	7	2	Under
06/07	@ TB	3-5L	7	0	Over
06/06	@ TB	5-9L	12	1	Over
06/04	@ TEX	0-6L	7	0	Under
06/03	@ TEX	0-7L	7	0	Under
06/02	@ TEX	8-2W	12	2	Over
05/31	vs SD	9-1W	16	1	Over
05/30	vs SD	0-4L	6	0	Under
05/29	vs SD	1-2L	4	1	Under
05/28	vs ARI	3-1W	9	0	Under
05/27	vs ARI	2-3L	11	0	Under
05/26	vs ARI	3-0W	9	1	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/13	@ MIA	2-4L	4	0	Under
06/11	vs PHI	5-5L	7	0	Over
06/10	@ PHI	2-7L	10	0	Over
06/07	vs WAS	9-1W	11	3	Over
06/06	vs WAS	6-3W	13	2	Over
06/05	vs WAS	8-7W	13	1	Over
06/04	@ ARI	4-5L	5	0	Over
06/03	@ ARI	5-10L	12	2	Over
06/02	@ ARI	10-9W	14	1	Over
06/01	@ ARI	3-2W	9	2	Under
05/31	@ LAD	3-10L	9	1	Over
05/30	@ LAD	2-5L	4	1	Under
05/30	@ LAD	0-3L	3	0	Under
05/28	@ SF	4-3W	8	0	Under
05/27	@ SF	2-7L	4	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Dane Myers	8.0	10.7	0.213	0.34	34.0%	68.1%	2.1%
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	8.2	10.6	0.249	0.424	33.1%	75.5%	4.3%
#3 Josh Bell	8.4	10.9	0.249	0.39	35.3%	74.3%	2.8%
#4 Jake Burger	8.6	11.2	0.218	0.333	26.4%	59.8%	2.9%
#5 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	6.9	8.9	0.242	0.419	34.3%	76.2%	3.6%
#6 Otto Lopez	6.7	8.6	0.293	0.414	34.3%	75.8%	3.0%
#7 Tim Anderson	6.8	8.3	0.195	0.213	23.7%	45.0%	0.0%
#8 Emmanuel Rivera	6.1	8.0	0.214	0.252	35.0%	60.2%	0.0%
#9 Nick Fortes	5.6	7.3	0.164	0.238	21.3%	45.1%	1.6%

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	9.2	12.1	0.231	0.402	33.0%	73.1%	3.8%
#2 Pete Alonso	8.7	11.5	0.236	0.468	35.6%	82.4%	5.6%
#3 Brandon Nimmo	7.3	9.8	0.217	0.374	40.4%	77.8%	3.0%
#4 J.D. Martinez	7.7	10.0	0.26	0.432	34.9%	78.1%	3.4%
#5 Starling Marte	8.4	10.7	0.284	0.422	35.8%	78.0%	2.8%
#6 Mark Vientos	6.9	9.1	0.32	0.587	42.7%	101.3%	6.7%
#7 Harrison Bader	7.2	9.3	0.257	0.358	34.1%	69.8%	1.7%
#8 Francisco Alvarez	5.8	7.7	0.224	0.345	29.3%	63.8%	1.7%
#9 Jose Iglesias	5.8	7.2	0.435	0.522	52.2%	104.3%	0.0%

Marlins Notable Injuries

Ryan Weathers OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/09/24. Impact: 7.4
Sixto Sanchez OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/02/24. Impact: 1.1