Marlins vs Yankees Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 8th 2024

Hold on to your hot dogs, folks, because we’re in for a real diamond dust-up tonight! Our underdog Miami Marlins, who’ve been floundering a bit with a 1W-9L record, are swimming upstream to the iconic Yankee Stadium, ready to take a bite out of the mighty 8W-2L New York Yankees. The first pitch is set to fly at 06:05PM EST, right as the sun is starting to set on the Big Apple. The Marlins are trailing by 6.0 games in the National League, while the Yankees are sitting pretty at the top of the American League. The over/under is pegged at 8.0, with the Marlins at 136 and the Yankees at a formidable -162. Both teams are riding high on the wave of their recent victories, with the Yankees smashing Toronto 8-3 and the Marlins making a splash against St. Louis 10-3. The weather’s looking as promising as a perfect pitch, with sunny skies, a slight breeze from the WSW, and a comfortable 57.0°. So, whether you’re a die-hard fan or just here for the betting lines, it’s time to see if the Marlins can reel in a victory, or if the Yankees will continue to knock it out of the park!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 08, 2024 06:05PM EST

Location: Yankee Stadium, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the WSW at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 57.0° with 25% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	NYY ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+136	-162	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+124	-148	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-12	+14	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

1W-9L

AWAY

94W-148L

44.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

144W-98L

55.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/11/23	New York Yankees NYY	9	Over	+5.0
08/11/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+5.0
08/12/23	New York Yankees NYY	1	Under	-4.0
08/12/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-4.0
08/13/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+7.0
08/13/23	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+7.0

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Jesus Luzardo

ERA 3.76 | IP 172.3 | 9.0W-10.0L | KO 199.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-02-24	vsLAA	3-1L	5.3	4	3	5	Under
03-28-24	vsPIT	6-5L	5.0	2	2	8	Over
10-02-23	@NYM	0-1L	7.3	4	0	10	Under
09-23-23	vsMIL	4-5W	5.0	3	3	4	Over
09-17-23	vsATL	2-16W	6.0	4	0	8	Over
09-11-23	@MIL	0-12L	5.0	10	6	5	Over
09-05-23	vsLAD	3-6W	6.0	4	2	6	Over
08-30-23	vsTB	3-0L	6.0	1	0	8	Under
08-22-23	@SD	3-0W	6.0	2	0	7	Under
08-16-23	vsHOU	12-5L	3.7	8	6	3	Over

Nestor Cortes

ERA 4.974 | IP 63.3 | 5.0W-2.0L | KO 67.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-02-24	@ARI	0-7L	5.0	8	3	2	Under
03-28-24	@HOU	5-4W	5.0	5	4	5	Over
08-05-23	vsHOU	1-3W	4.0	1	1	8	Under
05-30-23	@SEA	10-2W	5.0	5	2	6	Over
05-24-23	vsBAL	9-6L	6.0	5	4	5	Over
05-18-23	@TOR	4-2W	6.0	5	2	6	Under
05-13-23	vsTB	8-9W	4.3	7	6	3	Over
05-08-23	vsOAK	2-7W	5.0	6	2	4	Over
04-30-23	@TEX	2-15L	4.7	5	7	7	Over
04-25-23	@MIN	2-6L	5.0	5	4	6	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/09	vs STL	10-3W	13	2	Over
04/08	vs STL	1-3L	8	0	Under
04/06	vs STL	5-8L	9	3	Over
04/05	@ LAA	2-10L	4	0	Over
04/04	@ LAA	1-3L	5	1	Under
04/03	@ LAA	4-7L	9	0	Over
04/02	@ PIT	7-9L	7	3	Over
04/01	@ PIT	3-9L	5	0	Over
03/31	@ PIT	2-7L	9	0	Over
03/30	@ PIT	5-6L	8	0	Over
10/04	vs NYM	2-1W	8	0	Under
10/03	vs PIT	0-3L	3	0	Under
10/02	vs PIT	7-3W	14	1	Over
10/01	vs PIT	4-3W	10	0	Under
09/29	vs NYM	2-11L	9	0	Over

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/09	@ TOR	8-3W	8	1	Over
04/08	@ TOR	9-8W	10	3	Over
04/07	@ TOR	0-3L	6	0	Under
04/05	vs ARI	6-5W	8	2	Over
04/04	vs ARI	0-7L	3	0	Under
04/03	vs ARI	5-2W	8	0	Under
04/02	vs HOU	4-3W	10	0	Under
04/01	vs HOU	5-3W	8	3	Under
03/31	vs HOU	7-1W	12	1	Under
03/30	vs HOU	5-4W	8	1	Over
10/03	vs KC	2-5L	7	0	Under
10/02	vs KC	5-2W	12	0	Under
10/01	vs KC	5-12L	8	1	Over
09/30	vs TOR	0-6L	7	0	Under
09/29	vs TOR	6-0W	9	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.2	9.0	0.356	0.472	42.5%	89.6%	1.8%
#2 Josh Bell	7.9	10.3	0.247	0.419	36.6%	78.6%	4.0%
#3 Jake Burger	8.7	11.5	0.248	0.518	33.8%	85.7%	7.0%
#4 Bryan De La Cruz	6.9	8.9	0.253	0.401	32.5%	72.6%	3.1%
#5 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	6.8	8.8	0.252	0.462	33.1%	79.3%	5.4%
#6 Tim Anderson	6.6	8.2	0.248	0.299	30.7%	60.7%	0.2%
#7 Avisail Garcia	6.5	8.5	0.185	0.315	25.9%	57.4%	2.8%
#8 Emmanuel Rivera	5.8	7.5	0.265	0.364	35.2%	71.5%	1.6%
#9 Nick Fortes	5.6	7.3	0.203	0.3	28.6%	58.6%	2.1%

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Gleyber Torres	9.2	12.0	0.272	0.453	39.1%	84.4%	4.2%
#2 Juan Soto	9.7	13.1	0.276	0.522	51.2%	103.4%	6.2%
#3 Aaron Judge	10.2	13.8	0.267	0.613	50.7%	112.0%	10.1%
#4 Giancarlo Stanton	8.1	11.0	0.193	0.425	30.8%	73.3%	6.5%
#5 Anthony Rizzo	7.3	9.5	0.245	0.378	37.2%	75.0%	3.3%
#6 Anthony Volpe	7.4	9.7	0.209	0.378	31.5%	69.3%	3.7%
#7 Alex Verdugo	6.2	8.1	0.262	0.419	35.5%	77.5%	2.4%
#8 Jon Berti	6.4	8.0	0.293	0.404	37.3%	77.6%	1.8%
#9 Jose Trevino	4.9	6.3	0.21	0.312	27.4%	58.6%	2.5%