Marlins vs Yankees Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 10th 2024

Hold onto your baseball caps, folks! The Miami Marlins, with their less-than-stellar 1W-11L record, are swimming upstream to the Bronx, ready to take a bite out of the 10W-2L New York Yankees in their own backyard – the legendary Yankee Stadium. It’s a classic East Coast showdown kicking off at 7:05 PM EST, with the Marlins trailing a whopping 7 games in the National League conference and the Yankees sitting pretty at the top of the American League conference. The bookies have the over/under at 8.5, favoring the Yanks at -220 and the Marlins at a juicy 180. We’re fresh off a tight 3-2 Yankee victory, with the Marlins hoping to flip the script this time around. With a sunny forecast, gentle ENE winds at 6.9 mph, and a comfortable 59°, it’s the perfect setting for some hot bats and cool plays. So, whether you’re a Yankee fan or a Marlins supporter, get ready to dive into a sea of excitement and anticipation. Because when the Marlins and Yankees collide, you can be sure it’s not just a game of baseball, it’s a ‘fins vs. pinstripes’ spectacle!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 10, 2024 07:05PM EST

Location: Yankee Stadium, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ENE at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 59.0° with 60% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	NYY ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+180	-220	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+176	-216	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-4	+4	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

1W-9L

AWAY

94W-150L

36.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

146W-98L

63.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/08/24	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-1.5
04/08/24	New York Yankees NYY	7	Under	-1.5
04/09/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-3.5
04/09/24	New York Yankees NYY	3	Under	-3.5
08/11/23	New York Yankees NYY	9	Over	+4.5
08/11/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+4.5
08/12/23	New York Yankees NYY	1	Under	-4.5
08/12/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-4.5
08/13/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+6.5
08/13/23	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+6.5

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Ryan Weathers

ERA 6.711 | IP 57.7 | 1.0W-8.0L | KO 43.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-09-24	@NYY	2-3L	4.7	4	2	2	Under
04-03-24	vsLAA	10-2L	4.0	5	4	5	Over
03-29-24	vsPIT	7-2L	2.0	3	4	1	Over
09-30-23	@PIT	7-3W	2.0	3	1	3	Over
09-27-23	@NYM	4-2W	1.7	1	0	2	Under
09-23-23	vsMIL	4-5W	1.0	2	1	1	Over
09-19-23	vsNYM	3-4W	0.7	3	0	1	Under
09-18-23	vsNYM	2-1L	1.7	0	0	2	Under
09-15-23	vsATL	6-9W	1.3	0	0	3	Over
09-12-23	@MIL	1-3L	0.7	2	1	2	Under
04-04-24	@STL	5-8L	5.0	3	3	6	Over
03-30-24	vsPIT	9-3L	4.0	7	3	5	Over
10-01-23	@PIT	0-3L	6.0	2	0	5	Under
08-21-23	@SD	2-6L	3.3	5	5	4	Under
08-05-23	@TEX	8-9L	3.7	6	6	5	Over
07-15-23	@PHI	4-9W	4.7	6	4	2	Over
06-15-23	@CLE	8-6L	1.7	7	6	2	Over
06-10-23	@COL	3-2L	3.0	3	1	2	Under
06-04-23	@CHC	7-1L	1.7	7	5	1	Under
05-30-23	vsMIA	9-4L	4.0	7	3	4	Over

Marcus Stroman

ERA 3.951 | IP 136.7 | 10.0W-9.0L | KO 119.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-09-24	vsMIA	2-3W	6.0	4	2	6	Under
04-03-24	@ARI	6-5W	5.3	7	2	3	Over
03-29-24	@HOU	7-1W	4.3	5	1	4	Under
09-29-23	@KC	5-12L	0.0	6	8	0	Over
09-24-23	vsARI	7-1L	6.3	5	5	4	Under
09-17-23	@PIT	2-3L	6.7	6	3	10	Under
09-12-23	@BOS	4-1W	5.0	4	1	9	Under
09-07-23	vsDET	10-3L	3.7	8	7	4	Over
09-01-23	@HOU	6-2W	5.0	3	2	4	Under
08-27-23	@TB	4-7L	4.7	4	2	7	Over
04-05-24	vsTOR	3-0L	6.0	3	0	6	Under
03-30-24	@HOU	5-3W	6.0	4	3	4	Under
09-28-23	@ATL	3-5W	2.0	4	4	2	Under
09-23-23	@COL	3-6W	3.0	5	3	2	Over
09-16-23	@ARI	6-7W	1.0	1	1	1	Over
09-15-23	@ARI	4-6W	2.0	1	0	3	Over
07-31-23	@CIN	6-5L	3.0	6	6	2	Over
07-26-23	@CWS	10-7L	3.3	9	7	4	Over
07-20-23	@STL	7-2L	3.7	7	5	4	Over
07-15-23	@BOS	4-10W	6.0	3	1	3	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/11	vs NYY	2-3L	4	0	Under
04/10	vs NYY	0-7L	2	0	Under
04/09	vs STL	10-3W	13	2	Over
04/08	vs STL	1-3L	8	0	Under
04/06	vs STL	5-8L	9	3	Over
04/05	@ LAA	2-10L	4	0	Over
04/04	@ LAA	1-3L	5	1	Under
04/03	@ LAA	4-7L	9	0	Over
04/02	@ PIT	7-9L	7	3	Over
04/01	@ PIT	3-9L	5	0	Over
03/31	@ PIT	2-7L	9	0	Over
03/30	@ PIT	5-6L	8	0	Over
10/04	vs NYM	2-1W	8	0	Under
10/03	vs PIT	0-3L	3	0	Under
10/02	vs PIT	7-3W	14	1	Over

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/11	@ MIA	3-2W	7	1	Under
04/10	@ MIA	7-0W	9	2	Under
04/09	@ TOR	8-3W	8	1	Over
04/08	@ TOR	9-8W	10	3	Over
04/07	@ TOR	0-3L	6	0	Under
04/05	vs ARI	6-5W	8	2	Over
04/04	vs ARI	0-7L	3	0	Under
04/03	vs ARI	5-2W	8	0	Under
04/02	vs HOU	4-3W	10	0	Under
04/01	vs HOU	5-3W	8	3	Under
03/31	vs HOU	7-1W	12	1	Under
03/30	vs HOU	5-4W	8	1	Over
10/03	vs KC	2-5L	7	0	Under
10/02	vs KC	5-2W	12	0	Under
10/01	vs KC	5-12L	8	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.8	9.8	0.356	0.472	42.5%	89.6%	1.8%
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	7.5	9.7	0.253	0.401	32.5%	72.6%	3.1%
#3 Jake Burger	9.5	12.6	0.248	0.518	33.8%	85.7%	7.0%
#4 Josh Bell	7.9	10.4	0.247	0.419	36.6%	78.6%	4.0%
#5 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	7.6	9.9	0.252	0.462	33.1%	79.3%	5.4%
#5 Jesus Sanchez	6.9	9.0	0.253	0.444	36.5%	80.9%	3.7%
#6 Tim Anderson	6.9	8.5	0.248	0.299	30.7%	60.7%	0.2%
#7 Avisail Garcia	6.5	8.5	0.185	0.315	25.9%	57.4%	2.8%
#8 Nick Gordon	5.6	7.3	0.176	0.319	18.7%	50.5%	2.2%
#8 Emmanuel Rivera	6.1	7.9	0.265	0.364	35.2%	71.5%	1.6%
#9 C. Bethancourt	6.0	7.8	0.228	0.385	26.6%	65.1%	3.5%
#9 Nick Fortes	4.8	6.2	0.203	0.3	28.6%	58.6%	2.1%

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Gleyber Torres	9.4	12.2	0.272	0.453	39.1%	84.4%	4.2%
#2 Juan Soto	10.2	13.7	0.276	0.522	51.2%	103.4%	6.2%
#3 Aaron Judge	9.7	13.2	0.267	0.613	50.7%	112.0%	10.1%
#4 Giancarlo Stanton	8.9	12.0	0.193	0.425	30.8%	73.3%	6.5%
#5 Anthony Rizzo	7.5	9.8	0.245	0.378	37.2%	75.0%	3.3%
#6 Anthony Volpe	7.4	9.7	0.209	0.378	31.5%	69.3%	3.7%
#7 Alex Verdugo	6.3	8.2	0.262	0.419	35.5%	77.5%	2.4%
#8 Jon Berti	6.9	8.7	0.293	0.404	37.3%	77.6%	1.8%
#8 Jose Trevino	6.4	8.2	0.21	0.312	27.4%	58.6%	2.5%
#9 Austin Wells	6.0	8.0	0.229	0.486	27.1%	75.7%	5.7%