Marlins vs Phillies Game Breakdown

Strap in, sports fans! Tonight’s MLB showdown at Citizens Bank Park is not just another game; it’s a clash of oceanic proportions as the underdog Miami Marlins swim upstream to challenge the soaring Philadelphia Phillies. With the first pitch at 06:20 PM EST, the Marlins, trailing far behind in the National League standings, are looking to cause a ripple against the top-tier Phillies, who are flying high with zero games back. The stakes? An over/under of 7.5 that’s got bettors buzzing. The Phillies, fresh off a fiery win against Detroit, are the odds-on favorites, while the Marlins, still reeling from their recent stumble against Kansas City, are the long shots tonight. As the partly cloudy skies loom over a breezy 79-degree game time, expect every swing and pitch to matter in this battle of sea and sky. So, will the Marlins manage to fish out a victory, or will the Phillies clip their fins? Stay tuned!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 27, 2024 06:20PM EST

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NW at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 79.0° with 60% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	PHI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+230	-290	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+235	-300	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+5	-10	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

105W-171L

29.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

171W-109L

70.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/10/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+2.5
05/10/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+2.5
05/11/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+3.5
05/11/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+3.5
05/12/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+5.5
05/12/24	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+5.5
04/10/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+10.5
04/10/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	15	Over	+10.5
04/11/23	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+4.5
04/11/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+4.5
04/12/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-2.5
04/12/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
07/07/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-0.5
07/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-0.5
07/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+0.5
07/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+0.5
07/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+2.5
07/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+2.5
07/31/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-1.5
07/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.5
08/01/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-3.5
08/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-3.5
08/02/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+9.5
08/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	9	Over	+9.5
08/03/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-1.5
08/03/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.5
09/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-2.5
09/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
09/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+4.5
09/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+4.5
09/10/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+1.5
09/10/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+1.5

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Trevor Rogers

ERA 4.898 | IP 75.3 | 1.0W-8.0L | KO 60.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-21-24	vsSEA	2-3W	6.3	4	2	5	Under
06-15-24	@WAS	0-4L	7.0	6	2	3	Under
06-09-24	vsCLE	6-3L	5.0	2	1	5	Over
06-02-24	vsTEX	6-0L	6.0	6	4	3	Under
05-27-24	@SD	1-2L	5.3	6	1	3	Under
05-21-24	vsMIL	7-5L	3.7	6	4	4	Over
05-15-24	@DET	2-0W	5.0	3	0	6	Under
05-10-24	vsPHI	8-2L	3.3	9	5	3	Over
05-04-24	@OAK	4-20L	2.3	8	8	1	Over
04-29-24	vsWAS	7-2L	5.0	4	3	3	Over

Zack Wheeler

ERA 2.727 | IP 99.0 | 9.0W-4.0L | KO 107.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-22-24	vsARI	1-12W	7.0	2	1	8	Over
06-16-24	@BAL	3-8L	4.3	9	8	4	Over
06-11-24	@BOS	4-1W	7.0	3	1	4	Under
06-03-24	vsMIL	1-3W	7.0	5	1	6	Under
05-28-24	@SF	0-1L	6.0	2	0	9	Under
05-23-24	vsTEX	2-5W	7.0	5	2	5	Under
05-17-24	vsWAS	2-4W	7.3	3	2	6	Under
05-12-24	@MIA	6-7L	4.0	6	6	2	Over
05-06-24	vsSF	1-6W	7.0	4	1	11	Under
05-01-24	@LAA	2-1W	5.0	5	1	6	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/28	vs KC	1-5L	5	0	Under
06/27	vs KC	2-1W	7	0	Under
06/26	vs KC	1-4L	4	0	Under
06/25	@ SEA	6-4W	7	2	Over
06/24	@ SEA	0-9L	4	0	Over
06/23	@ SEA	3-2W	7	2	Under
06/21	@ STL	4-3W	8	2	Under
06/20	@ STL	9-8W	15	2	Over
06/19	@ STL	6-7L	8	1	Over
06/18	vs WAS	1-3L	8	0	Under
06/17	vs WAS	0-4L	4	0	Under
06/16	vs WAS	1-8L	7	0	Over
06/15	vs NYM	2-3L	8	2	Under
06/14	vs NYM	4-10L	9	0	Over
06/13	vs NYM	4-2W	5	0	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/28	vs DET	6-2W	12	1	Push
06/27	vs DET	1-4L	4	1	Under
06/26	vs DET	8-1W	15	2	Over
06/25	@ ARI	4-1W	11	0	Under
06/24	@ ARI	12-1W	14	4	Over
06/23	@ ARI	4-5L	7	2	Over
06/21	@ SD	2-5L	6	2	Under
06/20	@ SD	4-3W	13	1	Under
06/19	@ SD	9-2W	18	3	Over
06/18	vs BAL	3-8L	10	0	Over
06/17	vs BAL	2-6L	7	1	Push
06/16	vs BAL	5-3W	7	2	Push
06/15	vs BOS	3-9L	10	0	Over
06/14	vs BOS	6-8L	9	0	Over
06/13	vs BOS	4-1W	7	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	8.2	10.6	0.260	0.432	0.360	0.791	0.322	0.034
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	6.1	7.9	0.242	0.424	0.312	0.736	0.304	0.045
#3 Josh Bell	6.9	8.9	0.243	0.375	0.341	0.716	0.295	0.027
#4 Jesus Sanchez	6.5	8.4	0.233	0.370	0.308	0.678	0.282	0.031
#5 Jake Burger	5.7	7.4	0.206	0.327	0.265	0.592	0.248	0.027
#6 Otto Lopez	5.1	6.6	0.250	0.351	0.297	0.649	0.271	0.020
#7 Tim Anderson	4.5	5.4	0.220	0.234	0.252	0.486	0.207	0.000
#8 Nick Gordon	5.4	7.0	0.227	0.384	0.263	0.646	0.270	0.035
#9 Nick Fortes	3.7	4.8	0.160	0.227	0.200	0.427	0.183	0.013

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	10.1	13.7	0.250	0.449	0.459	0.909	0.355	0.057
#2 Trea Turner	9.9	12.5	0.329	0.445	0.410	0.855	0.349	0.017
#3 Bryce Harper	9.3	12.5	0.301	0.582	0.468	1.050	0.410	0.071
#4 Alec Bohm	7.9	10.4	0.304	0.492	0.393	0.884	0.360	0.030
#5 Nick Castellanos	8.6	11.3	0.223	0.382	0.304	0.686	0.284	0.036
#6 Edmundo Sosa	7.8	10.2	0.275	0.486	0.373	0.859	0.349	0.035
#7 Whit Merrifield	7.5	9.8	0.188	0.289	0.297	0.586	0.245	0.023
#8 Cristian Pache	6.2	8.3	0.195	0.260	0.364	0.623	0.257	0.000
#9 Rafael Marchan	5.9	7.6	0.240	0.400	0.280	0.680	0.283	0.040

Marlins Notable Injuries

Ryan Weathers OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/09/24. Impact: 7.4
Jesus Luzardo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 6.0
Braxton Garrett OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/19/24. Impact: 6.0
Sixto Sanchez OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/02/24. Impact: 1.1

Phillies Notable Injuries

Taijuan Walker OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 4.1
J.T. Realmuto OUT (C): Avg: 0.261 SLG:0.411 Last game: 06/11/24. Impact: 1.8
Kody Clemens OUT (2B/3B): Avg: 0.256 SLG:0.615 Last game: 05/30/24. Impact: 1.4