Marlins vs Phillies Game Breakdown
Marlins
29W-53L
June 29, 2024
04:05PM EST
Odds: 8.5 o/u
Phillies
53W-28L
Get ready to dive into the deep end as the Miami Marlins swim up north to clash with the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park! It’s a sunny showdown with a dash of breeze perfect for baseball, kicking off at 04:05 PM EST today. While the Marlins are trying to find their fins in the standings, the Phillies are sitting pretty at the top of the National League, fresh off a crisp 2-0 victory against these very Marlins. With the odds tipping heavily in Philly’s favor and the run total teasing at 8.5, today’s game promises some slick moves on the field. Will the Marlins manage a splash, or will the Phillies continue to ring Liberty bells? Let’s see if Miami can fish out a win, or if it’s Philly that schools them in their own backyard!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: June 29, 2024 04:05PM EST
Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the S at 16.1 mph. Temperature is at 82.9° with 65% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| MIA ML | PHI ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +210 | -260 | 8.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +220 | -270 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +10 | -10 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance
31.2% Win Probability
68.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/24 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 8 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 2 | ||||
| 05/11/24 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 8 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | ||||
| 05/12/24 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 6 | Over | +4.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 7 | ||||
| 06/27/24 | Miami Marlins MIA | 7 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | ||||
| 06/28/24 | Miami Marlins MIA | 0 | Under | -6.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 2 | ||||
| 04/10/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | Over | +9.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 15 | ||||
| 04/11/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 8 | Over | +3.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | ||||
| 04/12/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 2 | ||||
| 07/07/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | ||||
| 07/08/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 3 | Under | -0.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | ||||
| 07/09/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 3 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 7 | ||||
| 07/31/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 2 | ||||
| 08/01/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 3 | Under | -4.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 1 | ||||
| 08/02/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 8 | Over | +8.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 9 | ||||
| 08/03/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 2 | ||||
| 09/08/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 2 | ||||
| 09/09/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | Over | +3.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 8 | ||||
| 09/10/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | Over | +0.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 |
Marlins Vs Over/Under
Phillies Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24-24 | @KC | 1-4L | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | Under |
| 06-18-24 | vsSTL | 8-9W | 4.0 | 8 | 7 | 3 | Over |
| 06-13-24 | @NYM | 2-3L | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | Under |
| 06-08-24 | vsCLE | 8-0L | 4.0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | Under |
| 05-06-24 | @LAD | 3-6L | 4.7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | Push |
| 05-01-24 | vsCOL | 1-4W | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 04-20-24 | @CHC | 3-5L | 5.0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24-24 | @DET | 8-1W | 7.0 | 6 | 1 | 6 | Push |
| 06-18-24 | vsSD | 3-4W | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Under |
| 06-13-24 | @BOS | 3-9L | 3.7 | 11 | 8 | 2 | Over |
| 06-05-24 | vsMIL | 0-2W | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | Under |
| 05-31-24 | vsSTL | 2-4W | 6.3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | Under |
| 05-25-24 | @COL | 8-4W | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 05-19-24 | vsWAS | 5-11W | 7.0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 05-14-24 | @NYM | 4-0W | 9.0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | Under |
| 05-08-24 | vsTOR | 5-3L | 5.7 | 9 | 4 | 7 | Under |
| 05-03-24 | vsSF | 3-4W | 4.0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | Under |
Marlins Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/30 | vs PHI | 0-2L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 06/29 | vs PHI | 7-4W | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 06/28 | vs KC | 1-5L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 06/27 | vs KC | 2-1W | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 06/26 | vs KC | 1-4L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 06/25 | @ SEA | 6-4W | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 06/24 | @ SEA | 0-9L | 4 | 0 | Push |
| 06/23 | @ SEA | 3-2W | 7 | 2 | Under |
| 06/21 | @ STL | 4-3W | 8 | 2 | Under |
| 06/20 | @ STL | 9-8W | 15 | 2 | Over |
| 06/19 | @ STL | 6-7L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 06/18 | vs WAS | 1-3L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 06/17 | vs WAS | 0-4L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 06/16 | vs WAS | 1-8L | 7 | 0 | Push |
| 06/15 | vs NYM | 2-3L | 8 | 2 | Under |
Phillies Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/30 | @ MIA | 2-0W | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 06/29 | @ MIA | 4-7L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 06/28 | vs DET | 6-2W | 12 | 1 | Under |
| 06/27 | vs DET | 1-4L | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 06/26 | vs DET | 8-1W | 15 | 2 | Push |
| 06/25 | @ ARI | 4-1W | 11 | 0 | Under |
| 06/24 | @ ARI | 12-1W | 14 | 4 | Over |
| 06/23 | @ ARI | 4-5L | 7 | 2 | Push |
| 06/21 | @ SD | 2-5L | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 06/20 | @ SD | 4-3W | 13 | 1 | Under |
| 06/19 | @ SD | 9-2W | 18 | 3 | Over |
| 06/18 | vs BAL | 3-8L | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 06/17 | vs BAL | 2-6L | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 06/16 | vs BAL | 5-3W | 7 | 2 | Under |
| 06/15 | vs BOS | 3-9L | 10 | 0 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
| Miami Marlins | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1 | 10.4 | 0.257 | 0.426 | 0.358 | 0.784 | 0.319 | 0.034 | |
| 7.5 | 9.7 | 0.242 | 0.422 | 0.314 | 0.736 | 0.304 | 0.043 | |
|
#3
Josh Bell
|
6.6 | 8.6 | 0.239 | 0.370 | 0.334 | 0.705 | 0.291 | 0.026 |
|
#4
Jake Burger
|
7.6 | 9.9 | 0.216 | 0.346 | 0.273 | 0.619 | 0.258 | 0.030 |
|
#5
Nick Gordon
|
6.0 | 7.8 | 0.227 | 0.384 | 0.261 | 0.645 | 0.270 | 0.034 |
|
#6
Otto Lopez
|
6.2 | 7.9 | 0.252 | 0.348 | 0.297 | 0.645 | 0.270 | 0.019 |
|
#7
Tim Anderson
|
5.5 | 6.6 | 0.218 | 0.231 | 0.249 | 0.480 | 0.204 | 0.000 |
|
#8
Vidal Brujan
|
4.5 | 5.7 | 0.238 | 0.343 | 0.336 | 0.678 | 0.281 | 0.007 |
|
#9
Nick Fortes
|
4.7 | 6.0 | 0.160 | 0.227 | 0.200 | 0.427 | 0.183 | 0.013 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Bryson Stott
|
9.2 | 12.1 | 0.239 | 0.359 | 0.390 | 0.749 | 0.304 | 0.020 |
|
#2
Trea Turner
|
10.9 | 13.7 | 0.331 | 0.459 | 0.414 | 0.873 | 0.355 | 0.017 |
|
#3
Alec Bohm
|
8.4 | 11.1 | 0.300 | 0.484 | 0.387 | 0.871 | 0.355 | 0.029 |
| 8.8 | 11.5 | 0.265 | 0.423 | 0.398 | 0.821 | 0.331 | 0.036 | |
| 9.0 | 11.9 | 0.222 | 0.378 | 0.308 | 0.686 | 0.284 | 0.035 | |
|
#6
Kody Clemens
|
7.1 | 9.6 | 0.238 | 0.571 | 0.286 | 0.857 | 0.353 | 0.071 |
|
#7
Edmundo Sosa
|
6.7 | 8.7 | 0.281 | 0.486 | 0.377 | 0.863 | 0.350 | 0.034 |
| 5.9 | 7.2 | 0.209 | 0.221 | 0.302 | 0.523 | 0.221 | 0.000 | |
|
#9
Johan Rojas
|
6.3 | 7.9 | 0.237 | 0.301 | 0.285 | 0.586 | 0.246 | 0.011 |
Marlins Notable Injuries
- Ryan Weathers OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/09/24. Impact: 7.4
- Jesus Luzardo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 6.0
- Braxton Garrett OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/19/24. Impact: 6.0
- Sixto Sanchez OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/02/24. Impact: 1.1
Phillies Notable Injuries
- Spencer Turnbull OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: 2.9
- Taijuan Walker OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 4.1
- Bryce Harper OUT (1B): Avg: 0.3 SLG:0.578 Last game: 06/29/24. Impact: 5.9
- Kyle Schwarber OUT (OF): Avg: 0.25 SLG:0.447 Last game: 06/29/24. Impact: 3.6
- J.T. Realmuto OUT (C): Avg: 0.261 SLG:0.411 Last game: 06/11/24. Impact: 1.8
- Kody Clemens OUT (2B/3B): Avg: 0.238 SLG:0.571 Last game: 06/30/24. Impact: 1.2
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