Marlins vs Phillies Game Breakdown
Marlins
30W-53L
June 30, 2024
01:35PM EST
Odds: 8.5 o/u
Phillies
53W-29L
Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Citizens Bank Park as the underdog Miami Marlins, swimming deep in the standings, splash into Philadelphia to face the soaring Phillies in a midday melee that’s set to start at 01:35 PM EST. With the Phillies freshly nicked by the Marlins in their last outing, and the Marlins looking to repeat their surprise victory, the stakes are as high as the humidity! The odds are stacked with Philly as the favorite, but as the overcast skies loom and the winds whip up, today’s game promises to be anything but predictable. So, as these teams prepare to dive and fly in their quest for victory, remember—today, we find out whether it’s more powerful to rule the sea or to rule the skies!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: June 30, 2024 01:35PM EST
Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Weather: Overcast with winds from the SSW at 10.5 mph. Temperature is at 78.1° with 93% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| MIA ML | PHI ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +205 | -250 | 8.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +210 | -260 | 8.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +5 | -10 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
32.3% Win Probability
67.7% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/24 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 8 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 2 | ||||
| 05/11/24 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 8 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | ||||
| 05/12/24 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 6 | Over | +4.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 7 | ||||
| 06/27/24 | Miami Marlins MIA | 7 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | ||||
| 06/28/24 | Miami Marlins MIA | 0 | Under | -6.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 2 | ||||
| 06/29/24 | Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 2 | ||||
| 04/10/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | Over | +9.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 15 | ||||
| 04/11/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 8 | Over | +3.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | ||||
| 04/12/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 2 | ||||
| 07/07/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | ||||
| 07/08/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 3 | Under | -0.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | ||||
| 07/09/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 3 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 7 | ||||
| 07/31/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 2 | ||||
| 08/01/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 3 | Under | -4.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 1 | ||||
| 08/02/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 8 | Over | +8.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 9 | ||||
| 08/03/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 2 | ||||
| 09/08/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 2 | ||||
| 09/09/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | Over | +3.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 8 | ||||
| 09/10/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | Over | +0.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 |
Marlins Vs Over/Under
Phillies Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25-24 | @KC | 2-1W | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | Under |
| 06-19-24 | vsSTL | 3-4W | 5.0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | Under |
| 08-19-23 | @SF | 5-6W | 4.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | Over |
| 08-13-23 | @NYM | 6-7W | 4.7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | Over |
| 08-08-23 | @PIT | 8-6L | 5.0 | 7 | 6 | 5 | Over |
| 08-02-23 | @LAA | 5-12W | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 07-28-23 | @MIL | 7-10W | 3.7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | Over |
| 07-16-23 | @KC | 4-8W | 4.7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 07-08-23 | @ATL | 6-1L | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Under |
| 07-05-23 | @PHI | 8-4L | 2.7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25-24 | @DET | 1-4L | 6.0 | 9 | 4 | 4 | Under |
| 06-19-24 | vsSD | 5-2L | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 06-14-24 | @BAL | 5-3W | 6.7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | Push |
| 06-08-24 | @NYM | 7-2W | 5.7 | 8 | 2 | 6 | Over |
| 06-01-24 | vsSTL | 1-6W | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Under |
| 05-26-24 | @COL | 2-5L | 6.0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | Under |
| 05-21-24 | vsTEX | 2-5W | 7.0 | 5 | 1 | 10 | Under |
| 05-15-24 | vsNYM | 5-10W | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | Over |
| 05-10-24 | @MIA | 8-2W | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | Over |
| 05-04-24 | vsSF | 3-14W | 6.0 | 7 | 3 | 6 | Over |
Marlins Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01 | vs PHI | 3-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 06/30 | vs PHI | 0-2L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 06/29 | vs PHI | 7-4W | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 06/28 | vs KC | 1-5L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 06/27 | vs KC | 2-1W | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 06/26 | vs KC | 1-4L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 06/25 | @ SEA | 6-4W | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 06/24 | @ SEA | 0-9L | 4 | 0 | Over |
| 06/23 | @ SEA | 3-2W | 7 | 2 | Under |
| 06/21 | @ STL | 4-3W | 8 | 2 | Under |
| 06/20 | @ STL | 9-8W | 15 | 2 | Over |
| 06/19 | @ STL | 6-7L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 06/18 | vs WAS | 1-3L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 06/17 | vs WAS | 0-4L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 06/16 | vs WAS | 1-8L | 7 | 0 | Over |
Phillies Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01 | @ MIA | 2-3L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 06/30 | @ MIA | 2-0W | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 06/29 | @ MIA | 4-7L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 06/28 | vs DET | 6-2W | 12 | 1 | Push |
| 06/27 | vs DET | 1-4L | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 06/26 | vs DET | 8-1W | 15 | 2 | Over |
| 06/25 | @ ARI | 4-1W | 11 | 0 | Under |
| 06/24 | @ ARI | 12-1W | 14 | 4 | Over |
| 06/23 | @ ARI | 4-5L | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 06/21 | @ SD | 2-5L | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 06/20 | @ SD | 4-3W | 13 | 1 | Under |
| 06/19 | @ SD | 9-2W | 18 | 3 | Over |
| 06/18 | vs BAL | 3-8L | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 06/17 | vs BAL | 2-6L | 7 | 1 | Push |
| 06/16 | vs BAL | 5-3W | 7 | 2 | Push |
Team’s Batting Order
| Miami Marlins | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0 | 9.0 | 0.257 | 0.423 | 0.357 | 0.780 | 0.318 | 0.033 | |
|
#2
Otto Lopez
|
6.4 | 8.2 | 0.258 | 0.358 | 0.302 | 0.660 | 0.276 | 0.019 |
| 6.5 | 8.4 | 0.239 | 0.417 | 0.310 | 0.727 | 0.301 | 0.043 | |
|
#4
Josh Bell
|
6.9 | 8.9 | 0.239 | 0.369 | 0.333 | 0.702 | 0.290 | 0.026 |
|
#5
Jake Burger
|
6.9 | 8.9 | 0.213 | 0.340 | 0.268 | 0.609 | 0.254 | 0.030 |
|
#6
Dane Myers
|
5.7 | 7.7 | 0.217 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.667 | 0.277 | 0.017 |
|
#7
Tim Anderson
|
5.3 | 6.3 | 0.218 | 0.231 | 0.249 | 0.480 | 0.204 | 0.000 |
| 4.7 | 6.2 | 0.192 | 0.232 | 0.312 | 0.544 | 0.231 | 0.000 | |
|
#9
Ali Sanchez
|
5.0 | 6.1 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 0.417 | 0.667 | 0.277 | 0.000 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Bryson Stott
|
8.6 | 11.3 | 0.244 | 0.362 | 0.398 | 0.760 | 0.307 | 0.020 |
|
#2
Trea Turner
|
9.7 | 12.2 | 0.324 | 0.449 | 0.405 | 0.854 | 0.349 | 0.016 |
|
#3
Alec Bohm
|
8.5 | 11.3 | 0.298 | 0.481 | 0.388 | 0.869 | 0.354 | 0.029 |
| 8.6 | 11.3 | 0.260 | 0.415 | 0.390 | 0.805 | 0.325 | 0.035 | |
| 7.8 | 10.3 | 0.223 | 0.376 | 0.307 | 0.683 | 0.283 | 0.034 | |
|
#6
Kody Clemens
|
6.6 | 8.9 | 0.244 | 0.578 | 0.289 | 0.867 | 0.357 | 0.067 |
| 6.6 | 8.6 | 0.185 | 0.281 | 0.296 | 0.578 | 0.242 | 0.022 | |
|
#8
David Dahl
|
6.9 | 9.1 | 0.250 | 0.500 | 0.295 | 0.795 | 0.329 | 0.068 |
| 6.1 | 7.9 | 0.233 | 0.467 | 0.267 | 0.733 | 0.305 | 0.067 |
Marlins Notable Injuries
- Ryan Weathers OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/09/24. Impact: 7.4
- Jesus Luzardo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/18/24. Impact: 6.0
- Braxton Garrett OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/19/24. Impact: 6.0
- Sixto Sanchez OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/02/24. Impact: 1.1
Phillies Notable Injuries
- Spencer Turnbull OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: 2.9
- Taijuan Walker OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 4.1
- Bryce Harper OUT (1B): Avg: 0.3 SLG:0.578 Last game: 06/29/24. Impact: 5.9
- Kyle Schwarber OUT (OF): Avg: 0.25 SLG:0.447 Last game: 06/29/24. Impact: 3.6
- J.T. Realmuto OUT (C): Avg: 0.261 SLG:0.411 Last game: 06/11/24. Impact: 1.8
- Kody Clemens OUT (1B/3B): Avg: 0.244 SLG:0.578 Last game: 07/01/24. Impact: 1.2
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