Marlins vs Pirates Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into a clash of underdogs as the Miami Marlins swim up north to battle the Pittsburgh Pirates at the scenic PNC Park! With the first pitch at 06:40 PM EST, it’s a showdown you won’t want to miss. The Marlins, trailing far behind in their conference, are looking to steal some late-season thunder, while the Pirates aim to keep their sails high after a recent victory. Both teams are fresh off convincing wins, setting the stage for an intriguing matchup. The weather’s playing nice too—sunny skies and a gentle breeze perfect for baseball. Betting enthusiasts, take note: the stakes are intriguing with an over/under of 7.5. So, will the Marlins manage to fish out a victory, or will the Pirates plunder yet another win? Let’s find out if the Marlins can swim upstream or if the Pirates’ ship stays afloat in this battle of the seas!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 09, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Sunny with winds from the W at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 73.0° with 34% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+210	-260	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+225	-280	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+15	-20	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

118W-188L

30.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

143W-169L

69.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/28/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+3.5
03/28/24	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+3.5
03/29/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+1.5
03/29/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+1.5
03/30/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	9	Over	+4.5
03/30/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+4.5
03/31/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	9	Over	+8.5
03/31/24	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+8.5
10/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-4.5
10/01/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-4.5
06/22/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Over	+2.5
06/22/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+2.5
06/23/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-3.5
06/23/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-3.5
06/24/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-0.5
06/24/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-0.5
06/25/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-5.5
06/25/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-5.5
09/29/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-0.5
09/29/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-0.5
09/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+2.5
09/30/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+2.5

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Valente Bellozo

ERA 3.776 | IP 47.7 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 33.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-04-24	vsWAS	3-4W	6.0	3	0	1	Under
08-29-24	@COL	12-8W	4.0	7	6	4	Over
08-24-24	vsCHC	14-2L	4.7	7	6	1	Over
08-18-24	@NYM	3-2W	5.3	7	2	4	Under
08-13-24	@PHI	5-0W	7.0	4	0	4	Under
08-07-24	vsCIN	4-6W	5.7	5	0	4	Over
08-02-24	@ATL	3-5L	5.0	2	2	5	Push
07-02-24	vsBOS	8-3L	5.0	7	5	8	Over
06-26-24	@KC	1-5L	5.0	2	0	2	Under

Paul Skenes

ERA 2.132 | IP 114.0 | 9.0W-2.0L | KO 142.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-03-24	@CHC	5-0W	5.0	4	0	6	Under
08-28-24	vsCHC	14-10L	5.0	5	3	6	Over
08-22-24	vsCIN	0-7W	6.0	2	0	9	Under
08-16-24	vsSEA	3-5W	6.0	3	2	6	Push
08-10-24	@LAD	1-4L	6.0	6	4	8	Under
08-04-24	vsARI	6-5L	5.3	5	2	4	Over
07-29-24	@HOU	5-3W	6.0	5	2	6	Push
07-23-24	vsSTL	2-1L	8.3	4	2	8	Under
07-11-24	@MIL	1-0W	7.0	0	0	11	Under
07-05-24	vsNYM	2-14W	7.0	4	2	8	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/10	@ PHI	10-1W	11	2	Over
09/09	@ PHI	9-5W	14	3	Over
09/08	@ PHI	2-16L	5	0	Over
09/07	@ PHI	2-4L	7	0	Under
09/06	@ WAS	4-3W	7	0	Under
09/05	@ WAS	2-6L	8	0	Push
09/03	vs SF	7-5W	10	1	Over
09/02	vs SF	4-3W	7	2	Under
09/01	vs SF	1-3L	4	0	Under
08/31	vs COL	11-8W	18	2	Over
08/30	vs COL	2-8L	8	1	Over
08/29	vs COL	9-8W	12	2	Over
08/28	vs COL	2-3L	9	0	Under
08/27	@ CHC	7-2W	11	2	Over
08/26	@ CHC	2-14L	4	2	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/10	@ WAS	7-3W	12	3	Over
09/09	@ WAS	6-8L	11	0	Over
09/09	@ WAS	3-4L	5	1	Under
09/07	@ WAS	9-4W	8	0	Over
09/06	vs CHC	0-12L	0	0	Over
09/05	vs CHC	5-0W	8	1	Under
09/04	vs CHC	5-3W	8	2	Push
09/03	vs CLE	1-6L	2	0	Under
09/02	vs CLE	3-0W	9	0	Under
09/01	vs CLE	8-10L	12	2	Over
08/30	@ CHC	10-14L	16	2	Over
08/29	@ CHC	5-9L	10	1	Over
08/28	@ CHC	8-18L	13	2	Over
08/27	@ CIN	4-3W	10	1	Under
08/26	@ CIN	2-10L	3	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Xavier Edwards	6.5	8.1	0.320	0.397	0.454	0.851	0.340	0.005
#2 Connor Norby	6.4	8.4	0.286	0.590	0.333	0.924	0.380	0.076
#3 Jake Burger	6.6	8.6	0.242	0.452	0.326	0.778	0.320	0.055
#4 Jesus Sanchez	5.7	7.4	0.249	0.426	0.337	0.763	0.313	0.041
#5 Jonah Bride	5.3	7.0	0.250	0.410	0.423	0.833	0.333	0.038
#6 Griffin Conine	5.3	6.9	0.289	0.474	0.368	0.842	0.342	0.026
#7 Otto Lopez	5.0	6.3	0.253	0.348	0.312	0.661	0.275	0.012
#8 Kyle Stowers	4.2	5.5	0.200	0.317	0.276	0.593	0.249	0.021
#9 Nick Fortes	4.0	5.1	0.232	0.317	0.274	0.591	0.249	0.012

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	7.9	10.0	0.270	0.384	0.336	0.720	0.298	0.020
#2 Bryan Reynolds	9.1	11.8	0.275	0.446	0.377	0.822	0.334	0.038
#3 Oneil Cruz	9.9	12.8	0.268	0.462	0.358	0.819	0.334	0.037
#4 Andrew McCutchen	8.1	10.8	0.237	0.422	0.386	0.808	0.326	0.048
#5 Rowdy Tellez	7.5	9.8	0.259	0.420	0.338	0.758	0.312	0.037
#6 Nick Gonzales	6.9	8.9	0.270	0.382	0.317	0.700	0.291	0.017
#7 Connor Joe	7.3	9.6	0.231	0.376	0.365	0.741	0.302	0.026
#8 Yasmani Grandal	5.8	7.7	0.225	0.387	0.330	0.717	0.295	0.037
#9 Jared Triolo	6.1	8.1	0.207	0.302	0.338	0.641	0.265	0.021

Marlins Notable Injuries

Max Meyer OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/05/24. Impact: 3.6
Derek Hill OUT (OF): Avg: 0.238 SLG:0.427 Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 2.8
Vidal Brujan OUT (OF/SS): Avg: 0.225 SLG:0.324 Last game: 09/01/24. Impact: 1.9
Calvin Faucher OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 1.6
Andrew Nardi OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/23/24. Impact: 1.4

Pirates Notable Injuries

Ke’Bryan Hayes OUT (3B): Avg: 0.228 SLG:0.283 Last game: 08/19/24. Impact: 1.3
Henry Davis OUT (C): Avg: 0.144 SLG:0.212 Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 0.6
Hunter Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 0.7
Ben Heller OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/29/24. Impact: 0.5