Marlins vs Pirates Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown at PNC Park as the Miami Marlins, trailing far behind in their conference, dive deep into Pirates’ territory tonight at 06:40 PM EST. With the Marlins swimming upstream after a recent narrow defeat, and the Pirates sailing a bit closer to the middle of the pack, this game is set to make some waves! The betting world’s got the over/under at a tantalizing 9.0, hinting at potential high seas or a calm voyage ahead. Under the clear skies of a gentle Pittsburgh evening, will the Marlins manage to navigate the Pirates’ waters, or will the Pirates defend their ship from another boarding attempt? One thing’s for sure, in this battle of sea-savvy squads, it’s all about who can best steer their crew towards victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 10, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SW at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 64.9° with 58% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+122	-145	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+130	-155	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+8	-10	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

118W-189L

43.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

144W-169L

56.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/28/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+2.0
03/28/24	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+2.0
03/29/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Push	-0.0
03/29/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Push	-0.0
03/30/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	9	Over	+3.0
03/30/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+3.0
03/31/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	9	Over	+7.0
03/31/24	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+7.0
09/09/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-4.0
09/09/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-4.0
10/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-6.0
10/01/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-6.0
06/22/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Over	+1.0
06/22/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+1.0
06/23/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-5.0
06/23/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-5.0
06/24/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-2.0
06/24/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.0
06/25/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-7.0
06/25/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-7.0
09/29/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.0
09/29/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-2.0
09/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+1.0
09/30/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+1.0

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Valente Bellozo

ERA 3.566 | IP 53.0 | 2.0W-3.0L | KO 35.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-09-24	@PIT	2-3L	5.3	6	3	2	Under
09-04-24	vsWAS	3-4W	6.0	3	0	1	Under
08-29-24	@COL	12-8W	4.0	7	6	4	Over
08-24-24	vsCHC	14-2L	4.7	7	6	1	Over
08-18-24	@NYM	3-2W	5.3	7	2	4	Under
08-13-24	@PHI	5-0W	7.0	4	0	4	Under
08-07-24	vsCIN	4-6W	5.7	5	0	4	Over
08-02-24	@ATL	3-5L	5.0	2	2	5	Under
07-02-24	vsBOS	8-3L	5.0	7	5	8	Over
06-26-24	@KC	1-5L	5.0	2	0	2	Under

Paul Skenes

ERA 2.1 | IP 120.0 | 10.0W-2.0L | KO 151.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-09-24	vsMIA	2-3W	6.0	6	1	9	Under
09-03-24	@CHC	5-0W	5.0	4	0	6	Under
08-28-24	vsCHC	14-10L	5.0	5	3	6	Over
08-22-24	vsCIN	0-7W	6.0	2	0	9	Under
08-16-24	vsSEA	3-5W	6.0	3	2	6	Under
08-10-24	@LAD	1-4L	6.0	6	4	8	Under
08-04-24	vsARI	6-5L	5.3	5	2	4	Over
07-29-24	@HOU	5-3W	6.0	5	2	6	Under
07-23-24	vsSTL	2-1L	8.3	4	2	8	Under
07-11-24	@MIL	1-0W	7.0	0	0	11	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/11	vs PIT	2-3L	8	0	Under
09/10	@ PHI	10-1W	11	2	Over
09/09	@ PHI	9-5W	14	3	Over
09/08	@ PHI	2-16L	5	0	Over
09/07	@ PHI	2-4L	7	0	Under
09/06	@ WAS	4-3W	7	0	Under
09/05	@ WAS	2-6L	8	0	Under
09/03	vs SF	7-5W	10	1	Over
09/02	vs SF	4-3W	7	2	Under
09/01	vs SF	1-3L	4	0	Under
08/31	vs COL	11-8W	18	2	Over
08/30	vs COL	2-8L	8	1	Over
08/29	vs COL	9-8W	12	2	Over
08/28	vs COL	2-3L	9	0	Under
08/27	@ CHC	7-2W	11	2	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/11	@ MIA	3-2W	7	1	Under
09/10	@ WAS	7-3W	12	3	Over
09/09	@ WAS	6-8L	11	0	Over
09/09	@ WAS	3-4L	5	1	Under
09/07	@ WAS	9-4W	8	0	Over
09/06	vs CHC	0-12L	0	0	Over
09/05	vs CHC	5-0W	8	1	Under
09/04	vs CHC	5-3W	8	2	Under
09/03	vs CLE	1-6L	2	0	Under
09/02	vs CLE	3-0W	9	0	Under
09/01	vs CLE	8-10L	12	2	Over
08/30	@ CHC	10-14L	16	2	Over
08/29	@ CHC	5-9L	10	1	Over
08/28	@ CHC	8-18L	13	2	Over
08/27	@ CIN	4-3W	10	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Xavier Edwards	7.0	8.7	0.323	0.399	0.455	0.854	0.341	0.005
#2 Connor Norby	6.1	8.0	0.275	0.569	0.321	0.890	0.367	0.073
#3 Jake Burger	6.3	8.3	0.240	0.448	0.323	0.771	0.317	0.055
#4 Jesus Sanchez	5.7	7.4	0.251	0.429	0.339	0.768	0.315	0.040
#5 Jonah Bride	5.1	6.8	0.250	0.406	0.419	0.825	0.330	0.037
#6 Griffin Conine	5.2	6.7	0.268	0.439	0.341	0.780	0.319	0.024
#7 Otto Lopez	5.1	6.5	0.256	0.350	0.315	0.665	0.277	0.012
#8 Kyle Stowers	3.9	5.2	0.196	0.311	0.270	0.581	0.245	0.020
#9 Nick Fortes	4.0	5.1	0.229	0.313	0.275	0.588	0.248	0.011

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	8.6	10.9	0.270	0.384	0.336	0.720	0.298	0.020
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.4	10.9	0.275	0.444	0.376	0.820	0.333	0.038
#3 Oneil Cruz	9.2	12.0	0.268	0.466	0.357	0.823	0.336	0.039
#4 Andrew McCutchen	8.1	10.7	0.240	0.425	0.388	0.812	0.327	0.048
#5 Rowdy Tellez	6.9	9.1	0.257	0.416	0.338	0.754	0.310	0.036
#6 Nick Gonzales	7.5	9.7	0.269	0.380	0.316	0.697	0.290	0.017
#7 Connor Joe	7.2	9.5	0.231	0.376	0.365	0.741	0.302	0.026
#8 Yasmani Grandal	5.5	7.3	0.221	0.379	0.323	0.703	0.289	0.036
#9 Jared Triolo	6.1	8.1	0.208	0.303	0.338	0.641	0.265	0.021

Marlins Notable Injuries

Max Meyer OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/05/24. Impact: 3.6
Derek Hill OUT (OF): Avg: 0.238 SLG:0.427 Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 2.8
Vidal Brujan OUT (OF/SS): Avg: 0.225 SLG:0.324 Last game: 09/01/24. Impact: 1.9
Calvin Faucher OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 1.6
Andrew Nardi OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/23/24. Impact: 1.4

Pirates Notable Injuries

Ke’Bryan Hayes OUT (3B): Avg: 0.228 SLG:0.283 Last game: 08/19/24. Impact: 1.3
Henry Davis OUT (C): Avg: 0.144 SLG:0.212 Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 0.6
Hunter Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 0.7
Ben Heller OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/29/24. Impact: 0.5