Marlins vs Pirates Game Breakdown

Get ready for a midday showdown at PNC Park as the Miami Marlins, trailing far behind in their conference, dive into the deep end against the Pittsburgh Pirates, who are looking to hoist their sails higher in the National League standings. The first pitch is slated for 12:35 PM EST under a perfect sunny sky, with just a gentle northern breeze to cool off the 80-degree heat. Today’s matchup is a fresh chance for the Marlins to flip the script after yesterday’s 6-4 slip against the Pirates, who are still riding the wave of that victory. With the betting lines setting the Pirates as favorites and an over/under of 8.5, all eyes will be on whether these teams can exceed expectations or if they’ll stay the course. So as these two teams prepare to clash, let’s see if the Marlins can swim upstream or if the Pirates will continue to treasure their winning ways!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 11, 2024 12:35PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 80.1° with 39% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+152	-184	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+650	-1200	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+498	-1016	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

118W-190L

13.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

145W-169L

86.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/28/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+2.5
03/28/24	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+2.5
03/29/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+0.5
03/29/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+0.5
03/30/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	9	Over	+3.5
03/30/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+3.5
03/31/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	9	Over	+7.5
03/31/24	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+7.5
09/09/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-3.5
09/09/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-3.5
09/10/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+1.5
09/10/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+1.5
10/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-5.5
10/01/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-5.5
06/22/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Over	+1.5
06/22/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+1.5
06/23/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-4.5
06/23/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-4.5
06/24/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-1.5
06/24/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
06/25/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-6.5
06/25/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-6.5
09/29/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
09/29/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-1.5
09/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+1.5
09/30/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+1.5

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Jonathan Bermudez

ERA 5.786 | IP 4.7 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 4.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-08-24	vsPHI	1-10W	1.0	2	1	1	Over
08-27-24	@COL	9-8W	3.7	6	2	3	Over

Bailey Falter

ERA 4.451 | IP 121.3 | 7.0W-7.0L | KO 84.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-05-24	vsWAS	4-9W	5.0	7	3	3	Over
08-30-24	@CLE	8-10L	4.0	7	4	2	Over
08-23-24	vsCIN	5-6W	5.0	6	5	4	Over
08-17-24	vsSEA	2-7W	5.7	8	2	8	Over
08-11-24	@LAD	5-6L	4.0	7	4	2	Over
08-06-24	vsSD	6-0L	2.0	2	0	1	Under
07-30-24	@HOU	6-2W	5.3	6	2	3	Over
07-06-24	vsNYM	5-2L	2.0	5	3	2	Under
06-30-24	@ATL	4-2W	5.0	2	1	5	Under
06-24-24	@CIN	5-11L	4.0	5	5	2	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/12	vs PIT	4-6L	9	0	Over
09/11	vs PIT	2-3L	8	0	Under
09/10	@ PHI	10-1W	11	2	Over
09/09	@ PHI	9-5W	14	3	Over
09/08	@ PHI	2-16L	5	0	Over
09/07	@ PHI	2-4L	7	0	Under
09/06	@ WAS	4-3W	7	0	Under
09/05	@ WAS	2-6L	8	0	Over
09/03	vs SF	7-5W	10	1	Over
09/02	vs SF	4-3W	7	2	Under
09/01	vs SF	1-3L	4	0	Under
08/31	vs COL	11-8W	18	2	Over
08/30	vs COL	2-8L	8	1	Over
08/29	vs COL	9-8W	12	2	Over
08/28	vs COL	2-3L	9	0	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/12	@ MIA	6-4W	8	1	Over
09/11	@ MIA	3-2W	7	1	Under
09/10	@ WAS	7-3W	12	3	Over
09/09	@ WAS	6-8L	11	0	Over
09/09	@ WAS	3-4L	5	1	Under
09/07	@ WAS	9-4W	8	0	Over
09/06	vs CHC	0-12L	0	0	Over
09/05	vs CHC	5-0W	8	1	Under
09/04	vs CHC	5-3W	8	2	Over
09/03	vs CLE	1-6L	2	0	Under
09/02	vs CLE	3-0W	9	0	Under
09/01	vs CLE	8-10L	12	2	Over
08/30	@ CHC	10-14L	16	2	Over
08/29	@ CHC	5-9L	10	1	Over
08/28	@ CHC	8-18L	13	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Xavier Edwards	8.3	10.4	0.323	0.399	0.455	0.854	0.341	0.005
#2 Connor Norby	8.0	10.5	0.275	0.569	0.321	0.890	0.367	0.073
#3 Jake Burger	8.0	10.5	0.239	0.446	0.322	0.767	0.316	0.054
#4 Jonah Bride	6.3	8.3	0.252	0.405	0.417	0.822	0.329	0.037
#5 Otto Lopez	7.3	9.2	0.256	0.349	0.317	0.666	0.277	0.012
#6 David Hensley	6.2	8.4	0.213	0.298	0.340	0.638	0.264	0.021
#7 Cristian Pache	6.0	7.8	0.203	0.291	0.311	0.601	0.250	0.007
#8 Javier Sanoja	5.8	7.8	0.300	0.400	0.400	0.800	0.326	0.000
#9 Nick Fortes	5.5	7.0	0.229	0.313	0.275	0.588	0.248	0.011

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	7.2	9.1	0.273	0.385	0.338	0.723	0.299	0.020
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.0	10.4	0.277	0.445	0.377	0.821	0.334	0.037
#3 Oneil Cruz	8.1	10.6	0.266	0.463	0.357	0.820	0.334	0.039
#4 Andrew McCutchen	7.8	10.4	0.241	0.433	0.393	0.826	0.332	0.050
#5 Rowdy Tellez	6.5	8.6	0.254	0.412	0.334	0.746	0.307	0.036
#6 Nick Gonzales	6.9	8.9	0.271	0.381	0.324	0.706	0.293	0.017
#7 Yasmani Grandal	6.0	7.9	0.221	0.379	0.323	0.703	0.289	0.036
#8 Billy Cook	5.4	7.2	0.250	0.375	0.250	0.625	0.264	0.000
#9 Jose Rojas	6.5	6.5	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#9 Jared Triolo	5.5	7.2	0.208	0.305	0.337	0.642	0.266	0.021

Marlins Notable Injuries

Max Meyer OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/05/24. Impact: 3.6
Connor Norby OUT (3B): Avg: 0.275 SLG:0.569 Last game: 09/11/24. Impact: 4.5
Derek Hill OUT (OF): Avg: 0.238 SLG:0.427 Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 2.8
Vidal Brujan OUT (OF/SS): Avg: 0.225 SLG:0.324 Last game: 09/01/24. Impact: 1.9
Calvin Faucher OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 1.6
Andrew Nardi OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/23/24. Impact: 1.4

Pirates Notable Injuries

Ke’Bryan Hayes OUT (3B): Avg: 0.228 SLG:0.283 Last game: 08/19/24. Impact: 1.3
Henry Davis OUT (C): Avg: 0.144 SLG:0.212 Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 0.6
Hunter Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 0.7
Ben Heller OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/29/24. Impact: 0.5