Marlins vs Padres Game Breakdown

Get ready for a clash of coastal contenders as the Miami Marlins swim west to face the San Diego Padres at the iconic Petco Park tonight at 06:40PM EST. With the Marlins trying to make a splash and escape the depths of the National League standings, and the Padres aiming to ride the wave of their recent victory against the Yankees, this matchup promises to be more than just a drop in the ocean. The stakes are as high as the humidity, and with the betting lines tipping in favor of the Padres, it’s anyone’s game under the overcast skies of San Diego. Both teams are coming off fresh wins and will be hungry to keep that momentum going. So, as the Marlins try to fish for a win and the Padres look to defend their turf, expect a game that’s anything but watered down!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 27, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Overcast with winds from the WNW at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 61.0° with 90% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+151	-183	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+154	-186	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+3	-3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

102W-162L

39.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

140W-127L

60.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/30/23	San Diego Padres SD	9	Over	+5.5
05/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+5.5
05/31/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-4.5
05/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-4.5
06/01/23	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+3.5
06/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Over	+3.5
08/21/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+0.5
08/21/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+0.5
08/22/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-4.5
08/22/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-4.5
08/23/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-3.5
08/23/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-3.5

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Trevor Rogers

ERA 6.109 | IP 45.7 | 1.0W-6.0L | KO 41.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-21-24	vsMIL	7-5L	3.7	6	4	4	Over
05-15-24	@DET	2-0W	5.0	3	0	6	Under
05-10-24	vsPHI	8-2L	3.3	9	5	3	Over
05-04-24	@OAK	4-20L	2.3	8	8	1	Over
04-29-24	vsWAS	7-2L	5.0	4	3	3	Over
04-23-24	@ATL	0-5L	5.7	7	5	4	Under
04-17-24	vsSF	3-1L	5.7	4	1	6	Under
04-12-24	vsATL	8-1L	5.0	8	2	5	Over
04-06-24	@STL	1-3L	5.0	5	3	3	Under
03-31-24	vsPIT	9-7L	5.0	7	4	6	Over

Michael King

ERA 4.058 | IP 57.7 | 3.0W-4.0L | KO 62.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-22-24	@CIN	7-3W	6.7	4	3	6	Over
05-15-24	vsCOL	8-0L	5.3	8	6	7	Over
05-10-24	vsLAD	1-2W	7.0	2	0	11	Under
05-04-24	@ARI	13-1W	6.0	6	0	3	Over
04-28-24	vsPHI	8-6L	5.3	6	6	6	Over
04-23-24	@COL	4-7L	3.7	8	6	5	Over
04-17-24	@MIL	0-1L	7.7	2	1	10	Under
04-12-24	@LAD	8-7W	5.0	6	7	4	Over
04-06-24	@SF	4-0W	7.0	4	0	4	Under
03-31-24	vsSF	4-13W	4.0	2	2	6	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/28	vs ARI	3-1W	9	0	Under
05/27	vs ARI	2-3L	11	0	Under
05/26	vs ARI	3-0W	9	1	Under
05/24	@ MIL	1-0W	4	1	Under
05/23	@ MIL	5-7L	12	0	Over
05/22	@ MIL	3-2W	7	0	Under
05/21	@ NYM	3-7L	8	2	Over
05/20	@ NYM	10-9W	13	2	Over
05/19	@ NYM	7-0W	13	1	Under
05/17	vs DET	2-0W	4	1	Under
05/16	vs DET	1-0W	4	0	Under
05/15	vs DET	5-6L	12	1	Over
05/14	@ PHI	7-6W	8	1	Over
05/13	@ PHI	3-8L	11	2	Over
05/12	@ PHI	2-8L	5	0	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/28	@ NYY	5-2W	9	0	Under
05/27	@ NYY	1-4L	4	1	Under
05/26	@ NYY	0-8L	3	0	Over
05/25	vs CIN	6-4W	12	0	Over
05/24	vs CIN	7-3W	14	1	Over
05/23	vs CIN	0-2L	5	0	Under
05/22	vs ATL	6-5W	10	0	Over
05/22	vs ATL	0-3L	7	0	Under
05/21	vs ATL	9-1W	14	3	Over
05/19	vs ATL	3-1W	13	0	Under
05/17	@ COL	0-8L	4	0	Over
05/16	@ COL	3-6L	11	0	Over
05/15	@ COL	4-5L	4	3	Over
05/14	@ LAD	4-0W	9	3	Under
05/13	@ LAD	0-5L	6	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	7.6	9.9	0.255	0.43	36.5%	79.5%	3.5%
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	7.2	9.3	0.262	0.43	34.6%	77.6%	4.2%
#3 Josh Bell	7.0	9.3	0.223	0.347	34.2%	68.8%	3.0%
#4 Jesus Sanchez	7.3	9.3	0.237	0.302	32.4%	62.6%	1.4%
#5 Jake Burger	6.8	9.0	0.195	0.32	25.0%	57.0%	3.1%
#6 Nick Gordon	5.9	7.6	0.233	0.388	27.1%	65.9%	3.9%
#7 Tim Anderson	5.0	6.1	0.206	0.227	24.8%	47.5%	0.0%
#8 Otto Lopez	5.0	6.6	0.284	0.463	34.3%	80.6%	4.5%
#9 Nick Fortes	4.6	6.0	0.156	0.24	20.8%	44.8%	2.1%

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.1	8.7	0.335	0.411	39.7%	80.8%	0.4%
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	9.4	12.4	0.239	0.416	36.4%	78.0%	4.3%
#3 Jurickson Profar	7.5	9.9	0.319	0.489	48.4%	97.3%	3.8%
#4 Manny Machado	8.3	10.8	0.233	0.352	29.5%	64.8%	2.1%
#5 Jake Cronenworth	6.8	9.0	0.26	0.453	36.5%	81.8%	4.2%
#6 Donovan Solano	7.5	9.1	0.308	0.346	50.0%	84.6%	0.0%
#7 Luis Campusano	6.3	8.4	0.242	0.376	31.5%	69.1%	2.7%
#8 Jackson Merrill	5.9	7.5	0.277	0.361	34.3%	70.5%	1.8%
#9 Ha-Seong Kim	6.1	8.0	0.225	0.376	39.9%	77.5%	3.4%