Marlins vs Padres Game Breakdown

Marlins
19W-36L

May 28, 2024
09:40PM EST
Odds: 4.5 o/u
Padres
29W-28L


Get ready to dive deep into the excitement as the Miami Marlins swim west to clash with the San Diego Padres at the stunning Petco Park tonight! With the Marlins trying to find their flow 19 games back and the Padres swinging to close a 5-game gap in the National League standings, the stakes are as high as the 66.9° temperature. The game kicks off at 09:40 PM EST under a partly cloudy sky, with a brisk wind adding an extra challenge. Betting lines are buzzing, setting the stage at an over/under of 4.5, making every pitch count even more. Fresh off a tight game where the Padres edged out a victory, both teams are fired up to tip the scales tonight. So, as the Marlins hope to make a splash and the Padres look to ride the wave of their recent win, expect this matchup to be nothing short of fin-tastic!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: May 28, 2024 09:40PM EST
Location: Petco Park, San Diego
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the W at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 66.9° with 66% humidity.
Vegas Odds
MIA ML | SD ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +104 | -124 | 7.5 | 0.5/-0.5 |
Recent | +119 | -142 | 7.0 | 0.5/-0.5 |
Difference | +15 | -18 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance

45.7% Win Probability

54.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
05/27/24 | Miami Marlins MIA | 1 | Under | -1.5 | ![]() |
San Diego Padres SD | 2 | ||||
05/30/23 | San Diego Padres SD | 9 | Over | +8.5 | ![]() |
Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | ||||
05/31/23 | San Diego Padres SD | 1 | Under | -1.5 | ![]() |
Miami Marlins MIA | 2 | ||||
06/01/23 | San Diego Padres SD | 10 | Over | +6.5 | ![]() |
Miami Marlins MIA | 1 | ||||
08/21/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 2 | Over | +3.5 | ![]() |
San Diego Padres SD | 6 | ||||
08/22/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | Under | -1.5 | ![]() |
San Diego Padres SD | 0 | ||||
08/23/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 0 | Under | -0.5 | ![]() |
San Diego Padres SD | 4 |
Marlins Vs Over/Under
Padres Vs Over/Under

Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-22-24 | vsMIL | 0-1W | 8.0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | Under |
05-17-24 | vsNYM | 0-8W | 6.0 | 5 | 0 | 7 | Over |
05-11-24 | vsPHI | 8-3L | 5.7 | 4 | 2 | 8 | Over |
04-20-24 | @CHC | 3-2W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | Under |
04-14-24 | vsATL | 9-7L | 5.0 | 7 | 5 | 4 | Over |
04-08-24 | @NYY | 0-7L | 4.7 | 8 | 7 | 4 | Push |
04-02-24 | vsLAA | 3-1L | 5.3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | Under |
03-28-24 | vsPIT | 6-5L | 5.0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | Over |
10-02-23 | @NYM | 0-1L | 7.3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | Under |
09-23-23 | vsMIL | 4-5W | 5.0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | Over |

Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-23-24 | @CIN | 6-4W | 5.0 | 6 | 2 | 7 | Over |
05-17-24 | @ATL | 3-1W | 5.7 | 5 | 1 | 10 | Under |
05-11-24 | vsLAD | 5-0L | 5.3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | Under |
05-05-24 | @ARI | 4-11L | 3.0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | Over |
04-29-24 | vsCIN | 5-2L | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | Push |
04-24-24 | @COL | 5-2W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | Push |
04-19-24 | vsTOR | 5-1L | 4.7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | Under |
04-13-24 | @LAD | 2-5L | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | Push |
04-07-24 | @SF | 2-3L | 5.3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | Under |
04-01-24 | vsSTL | 6-2L | 4.0 | 9 | 4 | 7 | Over |
Marlins Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
05/29 | vs SD | 1-2L | 4 | 1 | Under |
05/28 | vs ARI | 3-1W | 9 | 0 | Under |
05/27 | vs ARI | 2-3L | 11 | 0 | Under |
05/26 | vs ARI | 3-0W | 9 | 1 | Under |
05/24 | @ MIL | 1-0W | 4 | 1 | Under |
05/23 | @ MIL | 5-7L | 12 | 0 | Over |
05/22 | @ MIL | 3-2W | 7 | 0 | Under |
05/21 | @ NYM | 3-7L | 8 | 2 | Over |
05/20 | @ NYM | 10-9W | 13 | 2 | Over |
05/19 | @ NYM | 7-0W | 13 | 1 | Push |
05/17 | vs DET | 2-0W | 4 | 1 | Under |
05/16 | vs DET | 1-0W | 4 | 0 | Under |
05/15 | vs DET | 5-6L | 12 | 1 | Over |
05/14 | @ PHI | 7-6W | 8 | 1 | Over |
05/13 | @ PHI | 3-8L | 11 | 2 | Over |
Padres Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
05/29 | @ MIA | 2-1W | 8 | 1 | Under |
05/28 | @ NYY | 5-2W | 9 | 0 | Push |
05/27 | @ NYY | 1-4L | 4 | 1 | Under |
05/26 | @ NYY | 0-8L | 3 | 0 | Over |
05/25 | vs CIN | 6-4W | 12 | 0 | Over |
05/24 | vs CIN | 7-3W | 14 | 1 | Over |
05/23 | vs CIN | 0-2L | 5 | 0 | Under |
05/22 | vs ATL | 6-5W | 10 | 0 | Over |
05/22 | vs ATL | 0-3L | 7 | 0 | Under |
05/21 | vs ATL | 9-1W | 14 | 3 | Over |
05/19 | vs ATL | 3-1W | 13 | 0 | Under |
05/17 | @ COL | 0-8L | 4 | 0 | Over |
05/16 | @ COL | 3-6L | 11 | 0 | Over |
05/15 | @ COL | 4-5L | 4 | 3 | Over |
05/14 | @ LAD | 4-0W | 9 | 3 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
Miami Marlins | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9.9 | 12.9 | 0.26 | 0.451 | 36.8% | 81.9% | 3.9% | |
7.3 | 9.5 | 0.258 | 0.424 | 34.6% | 77.0% | 4.1% | |
#3
Josh Bell
|
8.0 | 10.6 | 0.223 | 0.35 | 34.0% | 68.9% | 2.9% |
8.0 | 10.2 | 0.231 | 0.294 | 31.5% | 60.8% | 1.4% | |
#5
Jake Burger
|
6.7 | 8.9 | 0.189 | 0.311 | 24.2% | 55.3% | 3.0% |
#6
Nick Gordon
|
6.5 | 8.4 | 0.229 | 0.382 | 26.7% | 64.9% | 3.8% |
#7
Tim Anderson
|
5.4 | 6.6 | 0.203 | 0.224 | 25.2% | 47.6% | 0.0% |
#8
Otto Lopez
|
5.2 | 6.9 | 0.271 | 0.443 | 32.9% | 77.1% | 4.3% |
#9
Nick Fortes
|
4.3 | 5.6 | 0.156 | 0.24 | 20.8% | 44.8% | 2.1% |
San Diego Padres | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1
Luis Arraez
|
7.0 | 8.6 | 0.333 | 0.408 | 39.5% | 80.3% | 0.4% |
9.2 | 12.1 | 0.239 | 0.413 | 36.2% | 77.5% | 4.2% | |
7.1 | 9.4 | 0.319 | 0.486 | 48.6% | 97.3% | 3.8% | |
8.0 | 10.4 | 0.234 | 0.35 | 29.4% | 64.5% | 2.0% | |
6.8 | 8.9 | 0.262 | 0.456 | 36.9% | 82.6% | 4.1% | |
6.4 | 8.1 | 0.321 | 0.464 | 53.6% | 100.0% | 3.6% | |
5.9 | 7.9 | 0.237 | 0.368 | 31.6% | 68.4% | 2.6% | |
5.3 | 6.7 | 0.276 | 0.359 | 34.1% | 70.0% | 1.8% | |
#9
Ha-Seong Kim
|
5.6 | 7.3 | 0.225 | 0.374 | 39.6% | 76.9% | 3.3% |
Marlins Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Padres Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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