Marlins vs Cardinals Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 4th 2024

Hold onto your baseball caps, folks! The Miami Marlins, currently swimming in a sea of despair with a 0-7 record, are hoping to flip their luck as they dive into the lion’s den that is Busch Stadium. They’re squaring off against the St. Louis Cardinals, who are perched at a modest 3-4, just 2.5 games back in the National League conference. The first pitch is set to sizzle across the plate at 04:15 PM EST, under a sunny sky with winds gusting from the NNW at 13.6 mph. The over/under is teasing us at 8.5, with the Marlins at 126 and the Cardinals at -150. The Cards are still nursing the sting of a 2-3 loss against SD, while the Marlins are reeling from a 2-10 blowout against LAA. But hey, with a temperature of 84.2° and 37% humidity, we’re all set for a scorching showdown. So, will the Marlins manage to fly out of their losing streak, or will the Cardinals clip their fins and send them back to the depths? Only time will tell in this clash of feathers and fins!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 04, 2024 04:15PM EST

Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis

Weather: Sunny with winds from the NNW at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 84.2° with 37% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	STL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+126	-150	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+132	-158	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+6	-8	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

1W-9L

AWAY

93W-146L

43.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

131W-110L

56.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/03/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Over	+0.5
07/03/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+0.5
07/04/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Over	+8.5
07/04/23	Miami Marlins MIA	15	Over	+8.5
07/05/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	9	Over	+10.5
07/05/23	Miami Marlins MIA	10	Over	+10.5
07/06/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	3	Under	-5.5
07/06/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-5.5
07/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+1.5
07/17/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	6	Over	+1.5
07/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.5
07/18/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	5	Under	-1.5
07/19/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+1.5
07/19/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	6	Over	+1.5

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Cardinals Vs Over/Under

Ryan Weathers

ERA 6.711 | IP 58 | 1W-8L | KO 43

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
03-30-24	vsPIT	9-3L	4.0	7	3	5	Over
10-01-23	@PIT	0-3L	6.0	2	0	5	Under
08-21-23	@SD	2-6L	3.3	5	5	4	Under
08-05-23	@TEX	8-9L	3.7	6	6	5	Over
07-15-23	@PHI	4-9W	4.7	6	4	2	Over
06-15-23	@CLE	8-6L	1.7	7	6	2	Over
06-10-23	@COL	3-2L	3.0	3	1	2	Under
06-04-23	@CHC	7-1L	1.7	7	5	1	Under
05-30-23	vsMIA	9-4L	4.0	7	3	4	Over
05-24-23	@WAS	3-5W	6.0	7	5	4	Under

Lance Lynn

ERA 5.733 | IP 184 | 13W-11L | KO 191

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
03-30-24	@LAD	6-5W	4.0	4	0	5	Over
09-29-23	@SF	6-2L	6.0	2	2	4	Under
09-24-23	@SF	2-3W	6.0	5	2	6	Under
09-18-23	@DET	3-8W	5.0	6	3	6	Over
09-12-23	@SD	2-11W	7.0	5	2	3	Over
09-06-23	@MIA	4-11W	4.7	7	8	1	Over
08-31-23	@ATL	8-7L	4.3	7	7	1	Over
08-25-23	@BOS	7-4L	6.0	10	4	1	Over
08-17-23	@MIL	0-1W	7.0	4	0	3	Under
08-11-23	@COL	1-6W	5.0	4	1	9	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/05	@ LAA	2-10L	4	0	Over
04/04	@ LAA	1-3L	5	1	Under
04/03	@ LAA	4-7L	9	0	Over
04/02	@ PIT	7-9L	7	3	Over
04/01	@ PIT	3-9L	5	0	Over
03/31	@ PIT	2-7L	9	0	Over
03/30	@ PIT	5-6L	8	0	Over
10/04	vs NYM	2-1W	8	0	Under
10/03	vs PIT	0-3L	3	0	Under
10/02	vs PIT	7-3W	14	1	Over
10/01	vs PIT	4-3W	10	0	Under
09/29	vs NYM	2-11L	9	0	Over
09/29	vs NYM	4-2W	7	2	Under
09/26	@ MIL	6-1W	17	3	Under
09/25	@ MIL	5-4W	8	1	Over

Cardinals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/05	vs SD	2-3L	6	0	Under
04/04	vs SD	5-2W	6	1	Under
04/03	vs SD	6-2W	14	2	Under
04/02	vs LAD	4-5L	8	0	Over
04/01	vs LAD	6-5W	6	0	Over
03/31	vs LAD	3-6L	6	0	Over
03/30	vs LAD	1-7L	3	1	Under
10/03	@ CIN	4-3W	9	0	Under
10/02	@ CIN	15-6W	13	1	Over
10/01	@ CIN	2-19L	6	1	Over
09/30	vs MIL	0-3L	6	0	Under
09/29	vs MIL	2-3L	8	0	Under
09/28	vs MIL	4-1W	5	1	Under
09/26	vs SD	2-12L	6	1	Over
09/25	vs SD	5-2W	6	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	8.9	11.1	0.356	0.472	42.5%	89.6%	1.8%
#2 Josh Bell	8.3	10.9	0.247	0.419	36.6%	78.6%	4.0%
#3 Jake Burger	8.6	11.4	0.248	0.518	33.8%	85.7%	7.0%
#4 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	8.5	11.0	0.252	0.462	33.1%	79.3%	5.4%
#5 Bryan De La Cruz	7.2	9.3	0.253	0.401	32.5%	72.6%	3.1%
#6 Jesus Sanchez	8.0	10.5	0.253	0.444	36.5%	80.9%	3.7%
#7 Tim Anderson	6.0	7.4	0.248	0.299	30.7%	60.7%	0.2%
#8 Nick Gordon	6.2	8.1	0.176	0.319	18.7%	50.5%	2.2%
#9 C. Bethancourt	5.1	6.7	0.228	0.385	26.6%	65.1%	3.5%

St. Louis Cardinals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brendan Donovan	8.0	10.3	0.276	0.412	40.2%	81.4%	3.4%
#2 Paul Goldschmidt	9.2	12.1	0.27	0.451	42.1%	87.2%	4.3%
#3 Nolan Arenado	8.8	11.6	0.271	0.467	34.7%	81.4%	4.7%
#4 Willson Contreras	8.5	11.3	0.261	0.459	40.7%	86.6%	4.5%
#5 Jordan Walker	8.1	10.4	0.278	0.45	38.0%	83.1%	3.9%
#6 Ivan Herrera	7.2	9.5	0.297	0.351	48.6%	83.8%	0.0%
#7 Nolan Gorman	6.9	9.3	0.236	0.482	37.7%	85.9%	6.8%
#8 Masyn Winn	6.1	8.0	0.172	0.238	25.4%	49.2%	1.6%